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Estimating and controlling large risks has become one of the main concern of financial institutions. This requires the development of adequate statistical models and theoretical tools (which go beyond the traditionnal theories based on…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We consider a discrete-time model of a financial market where a risky asset is bought and sold with transactions having a transient price impact. It is shown that the corresponding utility maximization problem admits a solution. We manage…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Lóránt Nagy , Miklós Rásonyi

In this paper, we propose an equilibrium pricing model in a dynamic multi-period stochastic framework with uncertain income streams. In an incomplete market, there exist two traded risky assets (e.g. stock/commodity and weather derivative)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

Algorithmic trading relies on machine learning models to make trading decisions. Despite strong in-sample performance, these models often degrade when confronted with evolving real-world market regimes, which can shift dramatically due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Haochong Xia , Simin Li , Ruixiao Xu , Zhixia Zhang , Hongxiang Wang , Zhiqian Liu , Teng Yao Long , Molei Qin , Chuqiao Zong , Bo An

In this paper we formulate and study an optimal switching problem under partial information. In our model the agent/manager/investor attempts to maximize the expected reward by switching between different states/investments. However, he is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Kai Li , Kaj Nyström , Marcus Olofsson

The explicit solution of the discrete time filtering problems with exponential criteria for a general Gaussian signal is obtained through an approach based on a conditional Cameron-Martin type formula. This key formula is derived for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-14 M. L. Kleptsyna , A. Le Breton , M. Viot

We investigate the optimal investment-reinsurance problem for insurance company with partial information on the market price of the risk. Through the use of filtering techniques we convert the original optimization problem involving…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-15 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri

We consider the pricing problem facing a seller of a contingent claim. We assume that this seller has some general level of partial information, and that he is not allowed to sell short in certain assets. This pricing problem, which is our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-28 Kristina Rognlien Dahl

We develop a multi-period Kyle-type model that incorporates both mandatory disclosure of informed trades and imperfect competition among market makers. We prove the existence and uniqueness of a linear equilibrium and show that the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Seongjin Kim , Jin Hyuk Choi

We study linear-quadratic games of incomplete information with Gaussian uncertainty, where each player's payoff depends on a privately observed type and a common state. The designer observes the state, elicits types, and sells action…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Alessandro Bonatti , Munther A. Dahleh , Thibaut Horel

In an equity market model with "Knightian" uncertainty regarding the relative risk and covariance structure of its assets, we characterize in several ways the highest return relative to the market that can be achieved using nonanticipative…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Daniel Fernholz , Ioannis Karatzas

Adversarial optimal transport has been proven useful as a mathematical formulation to model resource allocation problems to maximize the efficiency of transportation with an adversary, who modifies the data. It is often the case, however,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Yinan Hu , Juntao Chen , Quanyan Zhu

While many questions in robust finance can be posed in the martingale optimal transport framework or its weak extension, others like the subreplication price of VIX futures, the robust pricing of American options or the construction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-20 Benjamin Jourdain , Gudmund Pammer

No-arbitrage asset pricing characterizes valuation through the existence of equivalent martingale measures relative to a filtration and a class of admissible trading strategies. In practice, pricing is performed across multiple asset…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

We model the trading activity between a broker and her clients (informed and uninformed traders) as an infinite-horizon stochastic control problem. We derive the broker's optimal dealing strategy in closed form and use this to introduce an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Álvaro Cartea , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

We explore a nuance to 'no arbitrage' in relation to 'information efficiency': acting immediately on an arbitrage is sometimes suboptimal; in such cases optimised trading can suppress the anticipation of predictable risk-outcomes, thereby…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Kangda Ken Wren

Computational level explanations based on optimal feedback control with signal-dependent noise have been able to account for a vast array of phenomena in human sensorimotor behavior. However, commonly a cost function needs to be assumed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Matthias Schultheis , Dominik Straub , Constantin A. Rothkopf

A methodology is developed to extract $d$ invariant features $W=f(X)$ that predict a response variable $Y$ without being confounded by variables $Z$ that may influence both $X$ and $Y$. The methodology's main ingredient is the penalization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Ian Bounos , Pablo Groisman , Mariela Sued , Esteban Tabak

General equilibrium, the cornerstone of modern economics and finance, rests on assumptions many markets do not meet. Spectrum auctions, electricity markets, and cap-and-trade programs for resource rights often feature non-convexities in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-05-11 Jacob K Goeree

In many first-price auctions, bidders face considerable strategic uncertainty: They cannot perfectly anticipate the other bidders' bidding behavior. We propose a model in which bidders do not know the entire distribution of opponent bids…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-30 Bernhard Kasberger
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