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In this paper, we study an irreversible investment problem under Knightian uncertainty. In a general framework, in which Knightian uncertainty is modeled through a set of multiple priors, we prove existence and uniqueness of the optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Giorgio Ferrari , Hanwu Li , Frank Riedel

We consider a stochastic game between three types of players: an inside trader, noise traders and a market maker. In a similar fashion to Kyle's model, we assume that the insider first chooses the size of her market-order and then the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Charles-Albert Lehalle , Eyal Neuman , Segev Shlomov

We characterise the solutions to a continuous-time optimal liquidity provision problem in a market populated by informed and uninformed traders. In our model, the asset price exhibits fads -- these are short-term deviations from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-18 Emilio Barucci , Adrien Mathieu , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

A seller sells an object over time but is uncertain how the buyer learns their willingness-to-pay. We consider informational robustness under \textit{limited commitment}, where the seller offers a price \textit{each period} to maximize…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-10 Zihao Li , Jonathan Libgober , Xiaosheng Mu

We apply the theory of McKean-Vlasov-type SDEs to study several problems related to market efficiency in the context of partial information and partially observable financial markets: (i) convergence of reduced-information market price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-05 Karen Grigorian , Robert Jarrow

We study the perfect information Nash equilibrium between a broker and her clients -- an informed trader and an uniformed trader. In our model, the broker trades in the lit exchange where trades have instantaneous and transient price impact…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Álvaro Cartea , Sebastian Jaimungal , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

Given the marginal distribution information of the underlying asset price at two future times $T_1$ and $T_2$, we consider the problem of determining a model-free upper bound on the price of a class of American options that must be…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Tongseok Lim

An asymmetric information model is introduced for the situation in which there is a small agent who is more susceptible to the flow of information in the market than the general market participant, and who tries to implement strategies…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Mark H. A. Davis , Robyn L. Friedman , Lane P. Hughston

We consider the mean-variance hedging problem under partial information in the case where the flow of observable events does not contain the full information on the underlying asset price process. We introduce a martingale equation of a new…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 M. Mania , R. Tevzadze , T. Toronjadze

Optimal multi-asset trading with Markovian predictors is well understood in the case of quadratic transaction costs, but remains intractable when these costs are $L_1$. We present a mean-field approach that reduces the multi-asset problem…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Matt Emschwiller , Benjamin Petit , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We suggest a new approach to creation of general market equilibrium models involving economic agents with local and partial knowledge about the system and under different restrictions. The market equilibrium problem is then formulated as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Igor Konnov

In this paper we study optimal trading strategies in a financial market in which stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Investors obtain information on that drift by observing stock returns. Moreover, expert…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Abdelali Gabih , Hakam Kondakji , Ralf Wunderlich

Kyle model in continuous time where the insider may be subject to legal penalties is considered. In equilibrium the insider internalises this legal risk by trading less aggressively. The equilibrium is characterised via the solution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-22 Umut Çetin

A speculative agent with Prospect Theory preference chooses the optimal time to purchase and then to sell an indivisible risky asset to maximize the expected utility of the round-trip profit net of transaction costs. The optimization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Alex S. L. Tse , Harry Zheng

We consider a Markov decision process subject to model uncertainty in a Bayesian framework, where we assume that the state process is observed but its law is unknown to the observer. In addition, while the state process and the controls are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Andrzej Ruszczyński

The estimation of asset return distributions is crucial for determining optimal trading strategies. In this paper we describe the constrained mixture model, based on a mixture of Gamma and Gaussian distributions, to provide an accurate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-03-15 Iead Rezek

We consider statistical Markov Decision Processes where the decision maker is risk averse against model ambiguity. The latter is given by an unknown parameter which influences the transition law and the cost functions. Risk aversion is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

The article poses a general model for optimal control subject to information constraints, motivated in part by recent work of Sims and others on information-constrained decision-making by economic agents. In the average-cost optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Ehsan Shafieepoorfard , Maxim Raginsky , Sean P. Meyn

We consider a trader who aims to liquidate a large position in the presence of an arbitrageur who hopes to profit from the trader's activity. The arbitrageur is uncertain about the trader's position and learns from observed price…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-03-11 Ciamac C. Moallemi , Beomsoo Park , Benjamin Van Roy

We study price discovery in a model where an informed agent has arbitrary private information about state probabilities and trades state-contingent claims. The model unifies the key elements of Arrow-Debreu (1954) and Kyle (1985). When the…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-23 Christian Keller , Michael C. Tseng