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Recent advances in transformer-based Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various tasks. However, their quadratic computational complexity concerning sequence length remains a significant bottleneck…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Zichuan Fu , Wentao Song , Yejing Wang , Xian Wu , Yefeng Zheng , Yingying Zhang , Derong Xu , Xuetao Wei , Tong Xu , Xiangyu Zhao

In the real world, long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF) is needed in many cases, such as power consumption prediction and air quality prediction.Multi-dimensional long time series model has more strict requirements on the model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Ning Wang

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) demonstrate impressive zero-shot performance for time series forecasting. However, an important yet underexplored challenge is how to effectively finetune TSFMs on specific downstream tasks. While naive…

Supervised fine-tuning (SFT) provides the standard approach for teaching LLMs new behaviors from offline expert demonstrations. However, standard SFT uniformly fits all samples -- including those with low likelihood under the base model --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Mahdi Sabbaghi , George Pappas , Adel Javanmard , Hamed Hassani

Long-term urban mobility predictions play a crucial role in the effective management of urban facilities and services. Conventionally, urban mobility data has been structured as spatiotemporal videos, treating longitude and latitude grids…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Jinguo Cheng , Ke Li , Yuxuan Liang , Lijun Sun , Junchi Yan , Yuankai Wu

Forecasting long-term time series in IoT environments remains a significant challenge due to the non-stationary and multi-scale characteristics of sensor signals. Furthermore, error accumulation causes a decrease in forecast quality when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Qianyang Li , Xingjun Zhang , Peng Tao , Shaoxun Wang , Yancheng Pan , Jia Wei

The ubiquity of time series data creates a strong demand for general-purpose foundation models, yet developing them for classification remains a significant challenge, largely due to the high cost of labeled data. Foundation models capable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Chin-Chia Michael Yeh , Uday Singh Saini , Junpeng Wang , Xin Dai , Xiran Fan , Jiarui Sun , Yujie Fan , Yan Zheng

Nonstationary time series forecasting suffers from the distribution shift issue due to the different distributions that produce the training and test data. Existing methods attempt to alleviate the dependence by, e.g., removing low-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Lingwei Zhu , Yushun Dong , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Time-series forecasting has seen significant advancements with the introduction of token prediction mechanisms such as multi-head attention. However, these methods often struggle to achieve the same performance as in language modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Panayiotis Christou , Shichu Chen , Xupeng Chen , Parijat Dube

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Financial Times Series such as stock price and exchange rates are, often, non-linear and non-stationary. Use of decomposition models has been found to improve the accuracy of predictive models. The paper proposes a hybrid approach…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-25 Dhanya Jothimani , Ravi Shankar , Surendra S. Yadav

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

Since context modeling is critical for estimating depth from a single image, researchers put tremendous effort into obtaining global context. Many global manipulations are designed for traditional CNN-based architectures to overcome the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Chang Shu , Ziming Chen , Lei Chen , Kuan Ma , Minghui Wang , Haibing Ren

The recent boom of large pre-trained models witnesses remarkable success in developing foundation models (FMs) for time series forecasting. Despite impressive performance across diverse downstream forecasting tasks, existing time series FMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Hui He , Kun Yi , Yuanchi Ma , Qi Zhang , Zhendong Niu , Guansong Pang

The analysis of multivariate time series data is challenging due to the various frequencies of signal changes that can occur over both short and long terms. Furthermore, standard deep learning models are often unsuitable for such datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Iman Deznabi , Madalina Fiterau

This article combines wavelet analysis techniques with machine learning methods for univariate time series forecasting, focusing on three main contributions. Firstly, we consider the use of Daubechies wavelets with different numbers of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Guy P Nason , James L. Wei

Large language models have transformed natural language processing, yet supervised fine-tuning (SFT) remains computationally intensive. This paper formally proves that capabilities acquired through SFT can be approximated by a base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Asankhaya Sharma

While recent advances in machine learning have equipped Weather Foundation Models (WFMs) with substantial generalization capabilities across diverse downstream tasks, the escalating computational requirements associated with their expanding…

Deep learning is an increasingly popular approach for inverting surface wave dispersion curves to obtain Vs profiles. However, its generalizability is constrained by the depth and velocity scales of training data. We propose a unified deep…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-09-30 Tianjian Cheng , Hongrui Xu , Jiayu Feng , Xiongyu Hu , Chaofan Yao

Understanding the robustness of deep learning models for multivariate long-term time series forecasting (M-LTSF) remains challenging, as evaluations typically rely on real-world datasets with unknown noise properties. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Nick Janssen , Melanie Schaller , Bodo Rosenhahn
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