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Multi-step prediction models, such as diffusion and rectified flow models, have emerged as state-of-the-art solutions for generation tasks. However, these models exhibit higher latency in sampling new frames compared to single-step methods.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Gaurav Shrivastava , Abhinav Shrivastava

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) track prediction is crucial for mitigating the catastrophic impacts of TCs on human life and the environment. Despite decades of research on tropical cyclone (TC) track prediction, large errors known as track…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-01 Haoran Zhao , Shaoqing Zhang , Yang Gao , Lixin Wu , Yihan Cao , Wenju Cai , Bin Wang , L. Ruby Leung , Zebin Lu , Zhong Zhong , Xiaolin Yu , Mingkui Li , Chenyu Zhu

Generating temporally coherent high fidelity video is an important milestone in generative modeling research. We make progress towards this milestone by proposing a diffusion model for video generation that shows very promising initial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Jonathan Ho , Tim Salimans , Alexey Gritsenko , William Chan , Mohammad Norouzi , David J. Fleet

The stable periodic patterns present in time series data serve as the foundation for conducting long-horizon forecasts. In this paper, we pioneer the exploration of explicitly modeling this periodicity to enhance the performance of models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Xinyi Hu , Wentai Wu , Ruichao Mo , Haocheng Zhong

Accurate forecasting of tropical cyclones (TCs) remains challenging due to limited satellite observations probing TC structure and difficulties in resolving cloud properties involved in TC intensification. Recent research has demonstrated…

Short-term forecasting is an important tool in understanding environmental processes. In this paper, we incorporate machine learning algorithms into a conditional distribution estimator for the purposes of forecasting tropical cyclone…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-19 David B. Huberman , Brian J. Reich , Howard D. Bondell

Accurate tropical cyclone (TC) short-term intensity forecasting with a 24-hour lead time is essential for disaster mitigation in the Atlantic TC basin. Since most TCs evolve far from land-based observing networks, satellite imagery is…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Elizabeth Cucuzzella , Tria McNeely , Kimberly Wood , Ann B. Lee

The development of video diffusion models unveils a significant challenge: the substantial computational demands. To mitigate this challenge, we note that the reverse process of diffusion exhibits an inherent entropy-reducing nature. Given…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Lingmin Ran , Mike Zheng Shou

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Hurricanes and, more generally, tropical cyclones (TCs) are rare, complex natural phenomena of both scientific and public interest. The importance of understanding TCs in a changing climate has increased as recent TCs have had devastating…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-24 Niccolò Dalmasso , Robin Dunn , Benjamin LeRoy , Chad Schafer

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) poses a great challenge due to their highly nonlinear dynamics and inherent uncertainties. Conventional statistical dynamics and artificial intelligence prediction models typically rely…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-10 Xuepeng Chen , Jing-Jia Luo , Qingqing Li , Fan Meng

Tropical cyclone (TC) is an extreme tropical weather system and its trajectory can be described by a variety of spatio-temporal data. Effective mining of these data is the key to accurate TCs track forecasting. However, existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Zili Liu , Kun Hao , Xiaoyi Geng , Zhenwei Shi

Time-to-Collision (TTC) forecasting is a critical task in collision prevention, requiring precise temporal prediction and comprehending both local and global patterns encapsulated in a video, both spatially and temporally. To address the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Nishq Poorav Desai , Ali Etemad , Michael Greenspan

Accurate tropical cyclones (TCs) tracking represents a critical challenge in the context of weather and climate science. Traditional tracking schemes mainly rely on subjective thresholds, which may introduce biases in their skills on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Davide Donno , Donatello Elia , Gabriele Accarino , Marco De Carlo , Enrico Scoccimarro , Silvio Gualdi

Tropical cyclones present a serious threat to many coastal communities around the world. Many numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic forecasts with limited measures of their forecast uncertainty. Standard postprocessing…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-01 Stephen A. Walsh , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Dave Higdon , Stephanie Zick

Diffusion models have recently emerged as powerful frameworks for generating high-quality images. While recent studies have explored their application to time series forecasting, these approaches face significant challenges in cross-modal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Weilin Ruan , Siru Zhong , Haomin Wen , Yuxuan Liang

We introduce a novel deep learning approach that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence to enhance the accuracy of contextual forecasting in sewerage systems. By developing a diffusion-based model that processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Davide Russo , Francesca Zanello

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Realistic temporal dynamics are crucial for many video generation, processing and modelling applications, e.g. in computational fluid dynamics, weather prediction, or long-term climate simulations. Video diffusion models (VDMs) are the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Philipp Hess , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Christof Schötz , Michael Aich , Yu Huang , Shangshang Yang , Niklas Boers

Diffusion Transformers (DiTs) have demonstrated remarkable performance in visual generation tasks. However, their low inference speed limits their deployment in low-resource applications. Recent training-free approaches exploit the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Xiaoliu Guan , Lielin Jiang , Hanqi Chen , Xu Zhang , Jiaxing Yan , Guanzhong Wang , Yi Liu , Zetao Zhang , Yu Wu