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We consider the problem of kernel classification. While worst-case bounds on the decay rate of the prediction error with the number of samples are known for some classifiers, they often fail to accurately describe the learning curves of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-07 Hugo Cui , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Model selection is indispensable to high-dimensional sparse modeling in selecting the best set of covariates among a sequence of candidate models. Most existing work assumes implicitly that the model is correctly specified or of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Pallavi Basu , Yang Feng , Jinchi Lv

Bounding the best achievable error probability for binary classification problems is relevant to many applications including machine learning, signal processing, and information theory. Many bounds on the Bayes binary classification error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Salimeh Yasaei Sekeh , Morteza Noshad , Kevin R. Moon , Alfred O. Hero

Neural networks are not learning optimal decision boundaries. We show that decision boundaries are situated in areas of low training data density. They are impacted by few training samples which can easily lead to overfitting. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Johannes Schneider

In parametric Bayesian learning, a prior is assumed on the parameter $W$ which determines the distribution of samples. In this setting, Minimum Excess Risk (MER) is defined as the difference between the minimum expected loss achievable when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Hassan Hafez-Kolahi , Behrad Moniri , Shohreh Kasaei , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah

In this paper, we study the accuracy of values aggregated over classes predicted by a classification algorithm. The problem is that the resulting aggregates (e.g., sums of a variable) are known to be biased. The bias can be large even for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-02 Q. A. Meertens , C. G. H. Diks , H. J. van den Herik , F W Takes

This paper presents the intrinsic limit determination algorithm (ILD Algorithm), a novel technique to determine the best possible performance, measured in terms of the AUC (area under the ROC curve) and accuracy, that can be obtained from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Umberto Michelucci , Michela Sperti , Dario Piga , Francesca Venturini , Marco A. Deriu

Binary classification involves predicting the label of an instance based on whether the model score for the positive class exceeds a threshold chosen based on the application requirements (e.g., maximizing recall for a precision bound).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Gundeep Arora , Srujana Merugu , Anoop Saladi , Rajeev Rastogi

We propose a new splitting criterion for a meta-learning approach to multiclass classifier design that adaptively merges the classes into a tree-structured hierarchy of increasingly difficult binary classification problems. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Gerrit J. J. van den Burg , Alfred O. Hero

We address the problem of classification when data are collected from two samples with measurement errors. This problem turns to be an inverse problem and requires a specific treatment. In this context, we investigate the minimax rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-15 Sébastien Loustau , Clément Marteau

Achieving the Bayes optimal binary classification rule subject to group fairness constraints is known to be reducible, in some cases, to learning a group-wise thresholding rule over the Bayes regressor. In this paper, we extend this result…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Ibrahim Alabdulmohsin

In this paper, we extend the transfer learning classification framework from regression function-based methods to decision rules. We propose a novel methodology for modeling posterior drift through Bayes decision rules. By exploiting the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-29 Xiaohan Wang , Yang Ning

We clarify what fairness guarantees we can and cannot expect to follow from unconstrained machine learning. Specifically, we characterize when unconstrained learning on its own implies group calibration, that is, the outcome variable is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Lydia T. Liu , Max Simchowitz , Moritz Hardt

Artificial intelligence nowadays plays an increasingly prominent role in our life since decisions that were once made by humans are now delegated to automated systems. A machine learning algorithm trained based on biased data, however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Chen Zhao , Changbin Li , Jincheng Li , Feng Chen

In machine learning, it is common to optimize the parameters of a probabilistic model, modulated by an ad hoc regularization term that penalizes some values of the parameters. Regularization terms appear naturally in Variational Inference,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Pierre Wolinski , Guillaume Charpiat , Yann Ollivier

This paper considers the classification of linear subspaces with mismatched classifiers. In particular, we assume a model where one observes signals in the presence of isotropic Gaussian noise and the distribution of the signals conditioned…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-04 Jure Sokolic , Francesco Renna , Robert Calderbank , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

There is a growing interest in societal concerns in machine learning systems, especially in fairness. Multicalibration gives a comprehensive methodology to address group fairness. In this work, we address the multicalibration error and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Eliran Shabat , Lee Cohen , Yishay Mansour

The Minimum Description Length principle for online sequence estimation/prediction in a proper learning setup is studied. If the underlying model class is discrete, then the total expected square loss is a particularly interesting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-16 Jan Poland , Marcus Hutter

Machine learning (ML) is often viewed as a powerful data analysis tool that is easy to learn because of its black-box nature. Yet this very nature also makes it difficult to quantify confidence in predictions extracted from ML models, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Paul Patrone , Anthony Kearsley

While the expected calibration error (ECE), which employs binning, is widely adopted to evaluate the calibration performance of machine learning models, theoretical understanding of its estimation bias is limited. In this paper, we present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Futoshi Futami , Masahiro Fujisawa