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Information accounting provides a better foundation for hypothesis testing than does uncertainty quantification. A quantitative account of science is derived under this perspective that alleviates the need for epistemic bridge principles,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-26 Grey Nearing , Hoshin Gupta

Large Language Models (LLMs) are often asked to explain their outputs to enhance accuracy and transparency. However, evidence suggests that these explanations can misrepresent the models' true reasoning processes. One effective way to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Danielle Villa , Maria Chang , Keerthiram Murugesan , Rosario Uceda-Sosa , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy

This study aims to investigate the utilization of Bayesian techniques for the calibration of micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS) accelerometers. These devices have garnered substantial interest in various practical applications and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-13 Oliver Dürr , Po-Yu Fan , Zong-Xian Yin

Frequentist statistical methods, such as hypothesis testing, are standard practice in papers that provide benchmark comparisons. Unfortunately, these methods have often been misused, e.g., without testing for their statistical test…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 David Issa Mattos , Jan Bosch , Helena Holmström Olsson

We present an automated framework for solidifying the cohesion between software specifications, their dependently typed models, and implementation at compile time. Model Checking and type checking are currently separate techniques for…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Thomas Ekström Hansen , Edwin Brady

Systems tend to become more and more complex. This has a direct impact on system engineering processes. Two of the most important phases in these processes are requirements engineering and quality assurance. Two significant complexity…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-03-06 Stephan Weißleder , Hartmut Lackner

Post-hoc explanation methods are gaining popularity for interpreting, understanding, and debugging neural networks. Most analyses using such methods explain decisions in response to inputs drawn from the test set. However, the test set may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Serena Booth , Yilun Zhou , Ankit Shah , Julie Shah

One problem to solve in the context of information fusion, decision-making, and other artificial intelligence challenges is to compute justified beliefs based on evidence. In real-life examples, this evidence may be inconsistent,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Daira Pinto Prieto , Ronald de Haan , Aybüke Özgün

A key step in the Bayesian workflow for model building is the graphical assessment of model predictions, whether these are drawn from the prior or posterior predictive distribution. The goal of these assessments is to identify whether the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Teemu Säilynoja , Andrew R. Johnson , Osvaldo A. Martin , Aki Vehtari

Evaluating competing systems in a comparable way, i.e., benchmarking them, is an undeniable pillar of the scientific method. However, system performance is often summarized via a small number of metrics. The analysis of the evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Quannian Zhang , Michael Röder , Nikit Srivastava , N'Dah Jean Kouagou , Axel-Cyrille Ngonga Ngomo

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential tool for the analysis of complex stochastic models when the likelihood function is numerically unavailable. However, the well-established statistical method of empirical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-05 K. L. Mengersen , P. Pudlo , C. P. Robert

Models of physical systems are used to explain and predict experimental results and observations. When students encounter discrepancies between the actual and expected behavior of a system, they revise their models to include the newly…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-07-06 Laura Ríos , Benjamin Pollard , Dimitri R. Dounas-Frazer , H. J. Lewandowski

Economic evaluations from individual-level data are an important component of the process of technology appraisal, with a view to informing resource allocation decisions. A critical problem in these analyses is that both effectiveness and…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-01 Andrea Gabrio , Alexina J. Mason , Gianluca Baio

We propose an approach on model checking information flow for imperative language with procedures. We characterize our model with pushdown system, which has a stack of unbounded length that naturally models the execution of procedural…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2010-12-15 Cong Sun , Liyong Tang , Zhong Chen

Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Gaussian process priors are a popular choice for Bayesian analysis of regression problems. However, the implementation of these models can be complex, and ensuring that the implementation is correct can be challenging. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-29 John Mcleod , Fergus Simpson

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

Probabilistic models are a critical part of the modern deep learning toolbox - ranging from generative models (VAEs, GANs), sequence to sequence models used in machine translation and speech processing to models over functional spaces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-10 Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Marta Garnelo , Alhussein Fawzi , Pushmeet Kohli

Biomedical research results are being published at a high rate, and with existing search engines, the vast amount of published work is usually easily accessible. However, reproducing published results, either experimental data or…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-06-19 Kai-Wen Liang , Qinsi Wang , Cheryl Telmer , Divyaa Ravichandran , Peter Spirtes , Natasa Miskov-Zivanov

Analyzing the physical and chemical properties of single DNA based molecular machines such as polymerases and helicases often necessitates to track stepping motion on the length scale of base pairs. Although high resolution instruments have…

Biological Physics · Physics 2016-09-07 Joachim Rosskopf , Korbinian Paul-Yuan , Martin B. Plenio , Jens Michaelis