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This paper proposes analytic forms of portfolio CoVaR and CoCVaR on the normal tempered stable market model. Since CoCVaR captures the relative risk of the portfolio with respect to a benchmark return, we apply it to the relative portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-29 Young Shin Kim

This paper introduces a unified framework for adaptive portfolio management, integrating dynamic Black-Litterman (BL) optimization with the general factor model, Elastic Net regression, and mean-variance portfolio optimization, which allows…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-02 Chi-Lin Li , Chung-Han Hsieh

This paper presents a comparative analysis of the performances of three portfolio optimization approaches. Three approaches of portfolio optimization that are considered in this work are the mean-variance portfolio (MVP), hierarchical risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Jaydip Sen , Aditya Jaiswal , Anshuman Pathak , Atish Kumar Majee , Kushagra Kumar , Manas Kumar Sarkar , Soubhik Maji

This study explores the use of Transformer-based models to predict both covariance and semi-covariance matrices for ETF portfolio optimization. Traditional portfolio optimization techniques often rely on static covariance estimates or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Jiahao Zhu , Hengzhi Wu

Considering the continuous-time Mean-Variance (MV) portfolio optimization problem, we study a regime-switching market setting and apply reinforcement learning (RL) techniques to assist informed exploration within the control space. We…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-29 Yuling Max Chen , Bin Li , David Saunders

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

This study aims to widen the sphere of pratical applicability of the HAC model combined with the ARMA-APARCH volatility forecast model and the extreme values theory. A sequential process of modeling of the VaR of a portfolio based on the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-21 Dodo Natatou Moutari , Hassane Abba Mallam , Diakarya Barro , Bisso Saley

The mean-variance (MV) model is the core of modern portfolio theory. Nevertheless, it suffers from the over-fitting problem due to the estimation errors of model parameters. We consider the $\ell_{1}$ regularized MV model, which adds an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Xin Xu

Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is an essential paradigm that enhances the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, existing methods typically rely on static policy optimization schemes that…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Yiming Huang , Zhenbo Shi , Shuzheng Gao , Cuiyun Gao , Peiyi Han , Chuanyi Liu

Regime-switching poses both problems and opportunities for portfolio managers. If a switch in the behaviour of the markets is not quickly detected it can be a source of loss, since previous trading positions may be inappropriate in the new…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

The rapidly changing landscapes of modern optimization problems require algorithms that can be adapted in real-time. This paper introduces an Adaptive Metaheuristic Framework (AMF) designed for dynamic environments. It is capable of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Bestoun S. Ahmed

Value-at-risk (VaR), also known as quantile, is a crucial risk measure in finance and other fields. However, optimizing VaR metrics in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is challenging because VaR is non-additive and the traditional dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Li Xia , Jinyan Pan

Financial portfolio management is one of the problems that are most frequently encountered in the investment industry. Nevertheless, it is not widely recognized that both Kelly Criterion and Risk Parity collapse into Mean Variance under…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-11 Yoshiharu Sato

Traditional approaches to portfolio optimization, often rooted in Modern Portfolio Theory and solved via quadratic programming or evolutionary algorithms, struggle with scalability or flexibility, especially in scenarios involving complex…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Christian Oliva , Pedro R. Ventura , Luis F. Lago-Fernández

Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and influenced by both price trends and market sentiment, making effective portfolio management challenging. This paper proposes a dynamic cryptocurrency portfolio strategy that integrates…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Qizhao Chen

Value-at-risk (VaR) has been playing the role of a standard risk measure since its introduction. In practice, the delta-normal approach is usually adopted to approximate the VaR of portfolios with option positions. Its effectiveness,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Junyao Chen , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

The mean and variance of portfolio returns are the standard quantities to measure the expected return and risk of a portfolio. Efficient portfolios that provide optimal trade-offs between mean and variance warrant consideration. To express…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-15 Shengjie Xiu , Xiwen Wang , Daniel P. Palomar

The fundamental principle in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is based on the quantification of the portfolio's risk related to performance. Although MPT has made huge impacts on the investment world and prompted the success and prevalence of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-15 Shi Yu , Haoran Wang , Chaosheng Dong

This research paper delves into the application of Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) in asset-class agnostic portfolio optimization, integrating industry-grade methodologies with quantitative finance. At the heart of this integration is our…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Philip Ndikum , Serge Ndikum

In behavioral finance, aversion affects investors' judgment of future uncertainty when profit and loss occur. Considering investors' aversion to loss and risk, and the ambiguous uncertainty characterizing asset returns, we construct a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Xin Zhang