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We present an efficient parametric model checking (PMC) technique for the analysis of software performability, i.e., of the performance and dependability properties of software systems. The new PMC technique works by automatically…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Xinwei Fang , Radu Calinescu , Simos Gerasimou , Faisal Alhwikem

In this paper we present an algorithm for pricing barrier options in one-dimensional Markov models. The approach rests on the construction of an approximating continuous-time Markov chain that closely follows the dynamics of the given…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius

Markov models are widely used to describe processes of stochastic dynamics. Here, we show that Markov models are a natural consequence of the dynamical principle of Maximum Caliber. First, we show that when there are different possible…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Hao Ge , Steve Presse , Kingshuk Ghosh , Ken Dill

The paper addresses the problem of computing maximal conditional expected accumulated rewards until reaching a target state (briefly called maximal conditional expectations) in finite-state Markov decision processes where the condition is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Christel Baier , Joachim Klein , Sascha Klüppelholz , Sascha Wunderlich

The Hawkes model is a past-dependent point process, widely used in various fields for modeling temporal clustering of events. Extending this framework, the multidimensional marked Hawkes process incorporates multiple interacting event types…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion-Blanc , Maya Sadeler-Perrin

Instruction tuning -- tuning large language models on instruction-output pairs -- is a promising technique for making models better adapted to the real world. Yet, the key factors driving the model's capability to understand and follow…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Dylan Zhang , Justin Wang , Francois Charton

We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

Classical physical modelling with associated numerical simulation (model-based), and prognostic methods based on the analysis of large amounts of data (data-driven) are the two most common methods used for the mapping of complex physical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Derick Nganyu Tanyu , Isabel Michel , Andreas Rademacher , Jörg Kuhnert , Peter Maass

Statistical model checking (SMC) is a technique for analysis of probabilistic systems that may be (partially) unknown. We present an SMC algorithm for (unbounded) reachability yielding probably approximately correct (PAC) guarantees on the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Pranav Ashok , Jan Křetínský , Maximilian Weininger

We study a class of systems termed Markov Machines (MM) which process job requests with exponential service times. Assuming a Poison job arrival process, these MMs oscillate between two states, free and busy. We consider the problem of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Sahan Liyanaarachchi , Sennur Ulukus

We consider the verification of multiple expected reward objectives at once on Markov decision processes (MDPs). This enables a trade-off analysis among multiple objectives by obtaining the Pareto front. We focus on strategies that are easy…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Florent Delgrange , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Tim Quatmann , Mickael Randour

Sequential decision making using Markov Decision Process underpins many realworld applications. Both model-based and model free methods have achieved strong results in these settings. However, real-world tasks must balance reward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Janaka Chathuranga Brahmanage , Akshat Kumar

We propose a verified approach to the formal verification of timed properties using model-checking techniques. We focus on properties expressed using real-time specification patterns, which can be viewed as a subset of timed temporal logics…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Nouha Abid , Silvano Dal Zilio , Didier Le Botlan

We consider the problem of computing the satisfaction probability of a formula for stochastic models with parametric uncertainty. We show that this satisfaction probability is a smooth function of the model parameters. This enables us to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2014-10-23 Luca Bortolussi , Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper we present the classical results of Kolmogorov's backward and forward equations to the case of a two-parameter Markov process. These equations relates the infinitesimal transition matrix of the two-parameter Markov process.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Álvaro Calvache , Viswanathan Arunachalam

In this paper, we address the identification problem for the systems characterized by linear time-invariant dynamics with bilinear observation models. More precisely, we consider a suitable parametric description of the system and formulate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-24 Diyou Liu , Mohammad Khosravi

There are two kinds of higher-order extensions of model checking: HORS model checking and HFL model checking. Whilst the former has been applied to automated verification of higher-order functional programs, applications of the latter have…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2018-03-01 Naoki Kobayashi , Takeshi Tsukada , Keiichi Watanabe

We give a short overview of recent results on a specific class of Markov process: the Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). We first recall the definition of these processes and give some general results. On more specific cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Romain Azaïs , Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Alexandre Genadot , Nathalie Krell , Pierre-André Zitt

In this paper, we are interested in the synthesis of schedulers in double-weighted Markov decision processes, which satisfy both a percentile constraint over a weighted reachability condition, and a quantitative constraint on the expected…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Patricia Bouyer , Mauricio González , Nicolas Markey , Mickael Randour

In this note, we present few examples of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and their long time behavior. They share two important features: they are related to concrete models (in biology, networks, chemistry,. . .) and they are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Florent Malrieu