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We propose a simple test for moment inequalities that has exact size in normal models with known variance and has uniformly asymptotically exact size more generally. The test compares the quasi-likelihood ratio statistic to a chi-squared…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-19 Gregory Cox , Xiaoxia Shi

In this work we provide a review of basic ideas and novel developments about Conformal Prediction -- an innovative distribution-free, non-parametric forecasting method, based on minimal assumptions -- that is able to yield in a very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-01 Matteo Fontana , Gianluca Zeni , Simone Vantini

The comparison of different medical treatments from observational studies or across different clinical studies is often biased by confounding factors such as systematic differences in patient demographics or in the inclusion criteria for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-15 Ekkehard Glimm , Lillian Yau

Testing the significance of a variable or group of variables $X$ for predicting a response $Y$, given additional covariates $Z$, is a ubiquitous task in statistics. A simple but common approach is to specify a linear model, and then test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Anton Rask Lundborg , Ilmun Kim , Rajen D. Shah , Richard J. Samworth

We build confidence balls for the common density $s$ of a real valued sample $X_1,...,X_n$. We use resampling methods to estimate the projection of $s$ onto finite dimensional linear spaces and a model selection procedure to choose an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Matthieu Lerasle

Conformal prediction constructs a confidence set for an unobserved response of a feature vector based on previous identically distributed and exchangeable observations of responses and features. It has a coverage guarantee at any nominal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

We consider the problem of assigning weights to a set of samples or data records, with the goal of achieving a representative weighting, which happens when certain sample averages of the data are close to prescribed values. We frame the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-20 Shane Barratt , Guillermo Angeris , Stephen Boyd

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

We estimate the support of a uniform density, when it is assumed to be a convex polytope or, more generally, a convex body in $\R^d$. In the polytopal case, we construct an estimator achieving a rate which does not depend on the dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-26 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

We consider the problem of approximating the solution of variational problems subject to the constraint that the admissible functions must be convex. This problem is at the interface between convex analysis, convex optimization, variational…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Adam M. Oberman

Constructing tests or confidence regions that control over the error rates in the long-run is probably one of the most important problem in statistics. Yet, the theoretical justification for most methods in statistics is asymptotic. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-23 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

Considering a regression model, we address the question of testing the nullity of the regression function. The testing procedure is available when the variance of the observations is unknown and does not depend on any prior information on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Thi Thien Trang Bui

The research described in this paper is motivated by model checking for parametric single-index models with diverging number of predictors. To construct a test statistic, we first study the asymptotic property of the estimators of involved…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-26 Falong Tan , Lixing Zhu

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtain robust estimates. The weight, attached to each score contribution, is evaluated by comparing the statistical data depth at the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Claudio Agostinelli

Likelihood-based methods of statistical inference provide a useful general methodology that is appealing, as a straightforward asymptotic theory can be applied for their implementation. It is important to assess the relationships between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Thomas J. DiCiccio , Todd A. Kuffner , G. Alastair Young , Russell Zaretzki

Shape constraints yield flexible middle grounds between fully nonparametric and fully parametric approaches to modeling distributions of data. The specific assumption of log-concavity is motivated by applications across economics, survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Robin Dunn , Aditya Gangrade , Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas

Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

We propose a new approach to sequential testing which is an adaptive (on-line) extension of the (off-line) framework developed in [10]. It relies upon testing of pairs of hypotheses in the case where each hypothesis states that the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

This work addresses arbitrary convex vector optimization problems, which constitute a general framework for multi-criteria decision-making in diverse real-world applications. Due to their complexity, such problems are typically tackled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Daniel Dörfler , Rebecca Köhler , Andreas Löhne