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Recent work in synthetic data generation in the time-series domain has focused on the use of Generative Adversarial Networks. We propose a novel architecture for synthetically generating time-series data with the use of Variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Abhyuday Desai , Cynthia Freeman , Zuhui Wang , Ian Beaver

Missing data persists as a major barrier to data analysis across numerous applications. Recently, deep generative models have been used for imputation of missing data, motivated by their ability to capture highly non-linear and complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Breeshey Roskams-Hieter , Jude Wells , Sara Wade

Variational autoencoder (VAE) has widely been utilized for modeling data distributions because it is theoretically elegant, easy to train, and has nice manifold representations. However, when applied to image reconstruction and synthesis…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Dooseop Choi , KyoungWook Min

In just three years, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have emerged as one of the most popular approaches to unsupervised learning of complicated distributions. VAEs are appealing because they are built on top of standard function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-05 Carl Doersch

Probability forecasting is common in the geosciences, the finance sector, and elsewhere. It is sometimes the case that one has multiple probability-forecasts for the same target. How is the information in these multiple forecast systems…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Sarah Higgins , Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

Generating accurate extremes from an observational data set is crucial when seeking to estimate risks associated with the occurrence of future extremes which could be larger than those already observed. Applications range from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Nicolas Lafon , Philippe Naveau , Ronan Fablet

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck

The variational autoencoder (VAE) is a simple and efficient generative artificial intelligence method for modeling complex probability distributions of various types of data, such as images and texts. However, it suffers some main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Xi Chen , Shaofan Li

We propose an algorithm, guided variational autoencoder (Guided-VAE), that is able to learn a controllable generative model by performing latent representation disentanglement learning. The learning objective is achieved by providing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Zheng Ding , Yifan Xu , Weijian Xu , Gaurav Parmar , Yang Yang , Max Welling , Zhuowen Tu

This paper presents VAEneu, an innovative autoregressive method for multistep ahead univariate probabilistic time series forecasting. We employ the conditional VAE framework and optimize the lower bound of the predictive distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Alireza Koochali , Ensiye Tahaei , Andreas Dengel , Sheraz Ahmed

Longitudinal datasets measured repeatedly over time from individual subjects, arise in many biomedical, psychological, social, and other studies. A common approach to analyse high-dimensional data that contains missing values is to learn a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 Siddharth Ramchandran , Gleb Tikhonov , Kalle Kujanpää , Miika Koskinen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Renewable energy sources provide a constantly increasing contribution to the total energy production worldwide. However, the power generation from these sources is highly variable due to their dependence on meteorological conditions.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Thordis Thorarinsdottir , Anders Løland , Alex Lenkoski

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud

Variational auto-encoders (VAEs) are a popular and powerful deep generative model. Previous works on VAEs have assumed a factorized likelihood model, whereby the output uncertainty of each pixel is assumed to be independent. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Gara Dorta , Sara Vicente , Lourdes Agapito , Neill D. F. Campbell , Ivor Simpson

For planning of power systems and for the calibration of operational tools, it is essential to analyse system performance in a large range of representative scenarios. When the available historical data is limited, generative models are a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-16 Chenguang Wang , Ensieh Sharifnia , Zhi Gao , Simon H. Tindemans , Peter Palensky

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in multivariate time series forecasting problems arising in domains such as energy systems and transportation networks, among many others. Although Transformer-based architectures have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Rajdeep Pathak , Rahul Goswami , Madhurima Panja , Palash Ghosh , Tanujit Chakraborty

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting in edge-enabled grids requires balancing forecasting accuracy, robustness under weather-driven distribution shifts, and strict latency constraints. Existing models work well under normal conditions but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Nan Qiao , Shuning Wang , Sijing Duan , Wenpeng Cui , Yuzhe Chen , Qingchen Yang , Xingyuan Hua , Ju Ren

Variational Autoencoder (VAE) and its variations are classic generative models by learning a low-dimensional latent representation to satisfy some prior distribution (e.g., Gaussian distribution). Their advantages over GAN are that they can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-24 Cong Geng , Jia Wang , Li Chen , Zhiyong Gao

Recent advances in generative AI offer promising solutions for synthetic data generation but often rely on large datasets for effective training. To address this limitation, we propose a novel generative model that learns from limited data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Michail Spitieris , Massimiliano Ruocco , Abdulmajid Murad , Alessandro Nocente

Time series data is ubiquitous, with forecasting applications spanning from finance to healthcare. Beyond popular deterministic methods, generative models are gaining attention due to advancements in areas like image synthesis and video…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Jiawen Wei , Lan Jiang , Pengbo Wei , Ziwen Ye , Teng Song , Chen Chen , Guangrui Ma