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Echo state networks represent a special type of recurrent neural networks. Recent papers stated that the echo state networks maximize their computational performance on the transition between order and chaos, the so-called edge of chaos.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Filip Matzner

Count data occur widely in many bio-surveillance and healthcare applications, e.g., the numbers of new patients of different types of infectious diseases from different cities/counties/states repeatedly over time, say, daily/weekly/monthly.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-11 Yujie Zhao , Xiaoming Huo , Yajun Mei

The Echo State Network (ESN) is a class of Recurrent Neural Network with a large number of hidden-hidden weights (in the so-called reservoir). Canonical ESN and its variations have recently received significant attention due to their…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Sebastian Basterrech , Gerardo Rubino

We study bi-directional associative neural networks that, exposed to noisy examples of an extensive number of random archetypes, learn the latter (with or without the presence of a teacher) when the supplied information is enough: in this…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-07-18 Martino Salomone Centonze , Ido Kanter , Adriano Barra

A flexible semiparametric class of models is introduced that offers an alternative to classical regression models for count data as the Poisson and negative binomial model, as well as to more general models accounting for excess zeros that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-30 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz

In many real-world problems, there is a limited set of training data, but an abundance of unlabeled data. We propose a new method, Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs), that uses unlabeled data to estimate epistemic uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Melrose Roderick , Felix Berkenkamp , Fatemeh Sheikholeslami , Zico Kolter

Autoregressive neural network models have been used successfully for sequence generation, feature extraction, and hypothesis scoring. This paper presents yet another use for these models: allocating more computation to more difficult…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-03 Loren Lugosch , Derek Nowrouzezahrai , Brett H. Meyer

Echo-state networks are simple models of discrete dynamical systems driven by a time series. By selecting network parameters such that the dynamics of the network is contractive, characterized by a negative maximal Lyapunov exponent, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 L. Storm , K. Gustavsson , B. Mehlig

Count data, for example the number of observed cases of a disease in a city, often arise in the fields of healthcare analytics and epidemiology. In this paper, we consider performing regression on multivariate data in which our outcome is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-21 T. J. Massaro , H. Bozdogan

Bayesian hierarchical models are commonly employed for inference in count datasets, as they account for multiple levels of variation by incorporating prior distributions for parameters at different levels. Examples include Beta-Binomial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Yuexi Wang , Nicholas G. Polson

The advancement of single-cell RNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq) technologies allow us to study the individual level cell-type-specific gene expression networks by direct inference of genes' conditional independence structures. scRNA-seq data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Changhao Ge , Hongzhe Li

Multivariate count models are often justified by their ability to capture latent dependence, but researchers receive little guidance on when this added structure improves on simpler penalized marginal Poisson regression. We study this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Daniel Agyapong , Julien Chiquet , Jane Marks , Toby Dylan Hocking

This paper studies theory and inference of an observation-driven model for time series of counts. It is assumed that the observations follow a Poisson distribution conditioned on an accompanying intensity process, which is equipped with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-18 Chao Wang , Heng Liu , Jian-Feng Yao , Richard A. Davis , Wai Keung Li

Motivated by the challenge of analyzing the dynamics of weekly sea border crossings in the Mediterranean (2015-2025) and the English Channel (2018-2025), we develop a Bayesian dynamic framework for modeling heteroskedastic count time…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-23 Gregor Zens , Jakub Bijak

Although increasingly used as a data resource for assembling cohorts, electronic health records (EHRs) pose many analytic challenges. In particular, a patient's health status influences when and what data are recorded, generating sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-28 Yifei Sun , Charles E. McCulloch , Kieren A. Marr , Chiung-Yu Huang

Echo State Network (ESN) presents a distinguished kind of recurrent neural networks. It is built upon a sparse, random and large hidden infrastructure called reservoir. ESNs have succeeded in dealing with several non-linear problems such as…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Naima Chouikhi , Boudour Ammar , Adel M. Alimi

Echo State Networks (ESN) are a type of Recurrent Neural Network that yields promising results in representing time series and nonlinear dynamic systems. Although they are equipped with a very efficient training procedure, Reservoir…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Jean Panaioti Jordanou , Eric Aislan Antonelo , Eduardo Camponogara , Eduardo Gildin

This work introduces a novel approach for the joint selection of model structure and parameter learning for nonlinear dynamical systems identification. Focusing on a specific Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) family, i.e., Nonlinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Corrado Sgadari , Alessio La Bella , Marcello Farina

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have shown promising performance for language modeling. However, traditional training of RNNs using back-propagation through time often suffers from overfitting. One reason for this is that stochastic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Zhe Gan , Chunyuan Li , Changyou Chen , Yunchen Pu , Qinliang Su , Lawrence Carin

We use the Stein-Chen method to obtain compound Poisson approximations for the distribution of the number of subgraphs in a generalised stochastic block model which are isomorphic to some fixed graph. This model generalises the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Matthew Coulson , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert
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