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Financial global crisis has devastating impacts to economies since early XX century and continues to impose increasing collateral damages for governments, enterprises, and society in general. Up to now, all efforts to obtain efficient…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Bruna Amin Gonçalves , Laura Carpi , Osvaldo A. Rosso , Martin G. Ravetti , A. P. F Atman

The unprecedented size of the human population, along with its associated economic activities, have an ever increasing impact on global environments. Across the world, countries are concerned about the growing resource consumption and the…

When undertaking cyber security risk assessments, we must assign numeric values to metrics to compute the final expected loss that represents the risk that an organization is exposed to due to cyber threats. Even if risk assessment is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-12-19 Andrew Fielder , Sandra Konig , Emmanouil Panaousis , Stefan Schauer , Stefan Rass

he evaluation of the impact of actions undertaken is essential in management. This paper assesses the impact of efforts considered to mitigate risk and create safe environments on a global scale. We measure this impact by looking at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Christian Mulomba Mukendi , Hyebong Choi

We study the implications of model uncertainty in a climate-economics framework with three types of capital: "dirty" capital that produces carbon emissions when used for production, "clean" capital that generates no emissions but is…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-23 Michael Barnett , William Brock , Lars Peter Hansen , Ruimeng Hu , Joseph Huang

Nature access is increasingly recognised as a public health and equity imperative, yet cities lack standardised ways to measure who benefits from green infrastructure. We present the first national, building-level assessment of the 3-30-300…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-27 Andrés Camilo Zúñiga-González , Anil Madhavapeddy , Ronita Bardhan

Cyber networks are fundamental to many organization's infrastructure, and the size of cyber networks is increasing rapidly. Risk measurement of the entities/endpoints that make up the network via available knowledge about possible threats…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-29 Arda Bayer , David Maluf , Behnaam Aazhang

Difficulties identifying appropriate biodiversity impact metrics remain a major barrier to inclusion of biodiversity considerations in environmentally responsible investment. We propose and analyse a simple science-based local metric: the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-21 Axel G. Rossberg , Jacob D. O'Sullivan , Svetlana Malysheva , Nadav M. Shnerb

Natural hedging allows life insurers to manage longevity risk internally by offsetting the opposite exposures of life insurance and annuity liabilities. Although many studies have proposed natural hedging strategies under different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-22 Lydia J. Gabric , Kenneth Q. Zhou

Adapting a simple biological model, we study the effects of control on the market. Companies are depicted as sites on a lattice and labelled by a fitness parameter (some `company-size' indicator). The chance of survival of a company on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Cuniberti , A. Valleriani , J. L. Vega

In this paper are presented methods of impact analysis on informatics system security accidents, qualitative and quantitative methods, starting with risk and informational system security definitions. It is presented the relationship…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-08 Floarea Baicu , Maria Alexandra Baches

During a financial crisis, the capital markets network frequently exhibits a high correlation between returns. We developed a network analysis framework based on daily returns from 42 countries to determine systemic stability. Our network…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Supanat Kamtue , Pongsak Luangaram , Sirawit Woramongkhon

Personal data breaches from organisations, enabling mass identity fraud, constitute an \emph{extreme risk}. This risk worsens daily as an ever-growing amount of personal data are stored by organisations and on-line, and the attack surface…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-26 Spencer Wheatley , Thomas Maillart , Didier Sornette

How are economic activities linked to geographic locations? To answer this question, we use a data-driven approach that builds on the information about location, ownership and economic activities of the world's 3,000 largest firms and their…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-10 Antonios Garas , Celine Rozenblat , Frank Schweitzer

Quantifying cyber risks is essential for organizations to grasp their vulnerability to threats and make informed decisions. However, current approaches still need to work on blending economic viewpoints to provide insightful analysis. To…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Muriel Figueredo Franco , Aiatur Rahaman Mullick , Santosh Jha

The fragility of financial systems was starkly demonstrated in early 2023 through a cascade of major bank failures in the United States, including the second, third, and fourth largest collapses in the US history. The highly interdependent…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-19 Kamil Fortuna , Janusz Szwabiński

Using a comprehensive sample of 2,585 bankruptcies from 1990 to 2019, we benchmark the performance of various machine learning models in predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms. We find that gradient boosted trees…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-26 Emmanuel Alanis , Sudheer Chava , Agam Shah

We introduce a pathwise approach to analyze the relative performance of an equity portfolio with respect to a benchmark market portfolio. In this energy-entropy framework, the relative performance is decomposed into three components: a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-05 Soumik Pal , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

Climate adaptation could yield significant benefits. However, the uncertainty of which future climate scenarios will occur decreases the feasibility of proactively adapting. Climate adaptation projects could be underwritten by benefits paid…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 John Nay

Public and private actors struggle to assess the vast amounts of information about sustainability commitments made by various institutions. To address this problem, we create a novel tool for automatically detecting corporate, national, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-13 Tobias Schimanski , Julia Bingler , Camilla Hyslop , Mathias Kraus , Markus Leippold
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