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The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu

Scenario generation is an important step in the operation and planning of power systems with high renewable penetrations. In this work, we proposed a data-driven approach for scenario generation using generative adversarial networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Yize Chen , Yishen Wang , Daniel Kirschen , Baosen Zhang

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

In the context of the rising share of new energy generation, accurately generating new energy output scenarios is crucial for day-ahead power system scheduling. Deep learning-based scenario generation methods can address this need, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Changgang Wang , Wei Liu , Yu Cao , Dong Liang , Yang Li , Jingshan Mo

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Yize Chen , Xiyu Wang , Baosen Zhang

Renewable energy is essential for energy security and global warming mitigation. However, power generation from renewable energy sources is uncertain due to volatile weather conditions and complex equipment operations. To improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yuchen Shi , Nan Chen

Local climate information is crucial for impact assessment and decision-making, yet coarse global climate simulations cannot capture small-scale phenomena. Current statistical downscaling methods infer these phenomena as temporally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jonathan Schmidt , Luca Schmidt , Felix Strnad , Nicole Ludwig , Philipp Hennig

The supply of electrical energy is being increasingly sourced from renewable generation resources. The variability and uncertainty of renewable generation, compared to a dispatch-able plant, is a significant dissimilarity of concern to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Farhad Samadi Gazijahani , Javad Salehi

We develop a probabilistic framework for joint simulation of short-term electricity generation from renewable assets. In this paper we describe a method for producing hourly day-ahead scenarios of generated power at grid-scale across…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-11 Mike Ludkovski , Glen Swindle , Eric Grannan

The correlations of multiple renewable power plants (RPPs) should be fully considered in the power system with very high penetration renewable power integration. This paper models the uncertainties, spatial correlation of multiple RPPs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Chenghui Tang , Yishen Wang , Jian Xu , Yuanzhang Sun , Baosen Zhang

Scenario-based probabilistic forecasts have become vital for decision-makers in handling intermittent renewable energies. This paper presents a recent promising deep learning generative approach called denoising diffusion probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Esteban Hernandez Capel , Jonathan Dumas

Averting the impending harms of climate change requires to replace fossil fuels with renewables as a primary source of energy. Non-electric renewable potential being limited, this implies extending the use of electricity generated from wind…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke

To enable the transition from fossil fuels towards renewable energy, the low-voltage grid needs to be reinforced at a faster pace and on a larger scale than was historically the case. To efficiently plan reinforcements, one needs to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-11 J. Soenen , A. Yurtman , T. Becker , K. Vanthournout , H. Blockeel

Off-grid microgrids powered entirely by renewable energy sources face substantial challenges in achieving utility-grade reliability standards. Existing microgrid planning frameworks often prioritize cost minimization while treating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Mohammed Zeehan Saleheen , Markus Wagner , Hao Wang

Driven by global climate change and the ongoing energy transition, the coupling between power supply capabilities and meteorological factors has become increasingly significant. Over the long term, accurately quantifying the power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Xiaochong Dong , Jun Dan , Yingyun Sun , Yang Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Shengwei Mei

The widespread deployment of power electronic technologies is transforming modern power systems into fast, nonlinear, and heterogeneous networks. Conventional modeling and control approaches, rooted in quasi-static analysis and centralized…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-31 Hiya Gada , Rupamathi Jaddivada , Marija Ilic

To address the intermittency of renewable energy source (RES) generation, scenario forecasting offers a series of stochastic realizations for predictive objects with superior flexibility and direct views. Based on a long time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yifei Wu , Bo Wang , Jingshi Cui , Pei-chun Lin , Junzo Watada

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

This work proposes a method of wind farm scenario generation to support real-time optimization tools and presents key findings therein. This work draws upon work from the literature and presents an efficient and scalable method for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-18 Trevor Werho , Junshan Zhang , Vijay Vittal , Yonghong Chen , Anupam Thatte , Long Zhao

Accurate forecasting is critical for reliable power grid operations, particularly as the share of renewable generation, such as wind and solar, continues to grow. Given the inherent uncertainty and variability in renewable generation,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Alireza Moradi , Mathieu Tanneau , Reza Zandehshahvar , Pascal Van Hentenryck
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