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We study generalised additive models, with shape restrictions (e.g. monotonicity, convexity, concavity) imposed on each component of the additive prediction function. We show that this framework facilitates a nonparametric estimator of each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-14 Yining Chen , Richard J. Samworth

Mixed-effect models are widely used for the analysis of correlated data such as longitudinal data and repeated measures. In this article, we study an approach to the nonparametric estimation of mixed-effect models. We consider models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Chong Gu , Ping Ma

We propose a novel method to model nonlinear regression problems by adapting the principle of penalization to Partial Least Squares (PLS). Starting with a generalized additive model, we expand the additive component of each variable in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-13 Nicole Kraemer , Anne-Laure Boulesteix , Gerhard Tutz

Laplace approximation is a very useful tool in Bayesian inference and it claims a nearly Gaussian behavior of the posterior. \cite{SpLaplace2022} established some rather accurate finite sample results about the quality of Laplace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Vladimir Spokoiny

Laplace approximations are commonly used to approximate high-dimensional integrals in statistical applications, but the quality of such approximations as the dimension of the integral grows is not well understood. In this paper, we prove a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Helen Ogden

In this paper, we present a novel approach to fitting mixture models based on estimating first the posterior distribution of the auxiliary variables that assign each observation to a group in the mixture. The posterior distributions of the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-29 Virgilio Gomez-Rubio

This paper discusses asymptotic theory for penalized spline estimators in generalized additive models. The purpose of this paper is to establish the asymptotic bias and variance as well as the asymptotic normality of the penalized spline…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-21 Takuma Yoshida , Kanta Naito

We present a unified framework for estimation and analysis of generalized additive models in high dimensions. The framework defines a large class of penalized regression estimators, encompassing many existing methods. An efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-13 Asad Haris , Noah Simon , Ali Shojaie

Marginal-likelihood based model-selection, even though promising, is rarely used in deep learning due to estimation difficulties. Instead, most approaches rely on validation data, which may not be readily available. In this work, we present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Alexander Immer , Matthias Bauer , Vincent Fortuin , Gunnar Rätsch , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Existing computationally efficient methods for penalized likelihood GAM fitting employ iterative smoothness selection on working linear models (or working mixed models). Such schemes fail to converge for a non-negligible proportion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-13 Simon N. Wood

It is common practice to use Laplace approximations to compute marginal likelihoods in Bayesian versions of generalised linear models (GLM). Marginal likelihoods combined with model priors are then used in different search algorithms to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Jon Lachmann , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet , Aliaksadr Hubin

Generalized additive models have been popular among statisticians and data analysts in multivariate nonparametric regression with non-Gaussian responses including binary and count data. In this paper, a new likelihood approach for fitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Kyusang Yu , Byeong U. Park , Enno Mammen

The linearised Laplace method for estimating model uncertainty has received renewed attention in the Bayesian deep learning community. The method provides reliable error bars and admits a closed-form expression for the model evidence,…

Many models require integrals of high-dimensional functions: for instance, to obtain marginal likelihoods. Such integrals may be intractable, or too expensive to compute numerically. Instead, we can use the Laplace approximation (LA). The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Shaun McDonald , David Campbell

A mixture of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions is introduced and used for clustering and classification. A variant of the EM algorithm is developed for parameter estimation by exploiting the relationship with the general inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-09 Brian C. Franczak , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

This paper proposes a maximum-likelihood approach to jointly estimate marginal conditional quantiles of multivariate response variables in a linear regression framework. We consider a slight reparameterization of the Multivariate Asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-06 Lea Petrella , Valentina Raponi

Laplacian-P-splines (LPS) associate the P-splines smoother and the Laplace approximation in a unifying framework for fast and flexible inference under the Bayesian paradigm. Gaussian Markov field priors imposed on penalized latent variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Philippe Lambert , Oswaldo Gressani

Non-random sample selection is a commonplace amongst many empirical studies and it appears when an output variable of interest is available only for a restricted non-random sub-sample of data. We introduce an extension of the generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-18 M. Wojtyś , G. Marra

Estimation of finite mixture models when the mixing distribution support is unknown is an important problem. This paper gives a new approach based on a marginal likelihood for the unknown support. Motivated by a Bayesian Dirichlet prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Ryan Martin

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero