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Neural density estimators have proven remarkably powerful in performing efficient simulation-based Bayesian inference in various research domains. In particular, the BayesFlow framework uses a two-step approach to enable amortized parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Marvin Schmitt , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Ullrich Köthe , Stefan T. Radev

The total number and luminosity function of the population of dwarf galaxies of the Milky Way (MW) provide important constraints on the nature of the dark matter and on the astrophysics of galaxy formation at low masses. However, only a…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2018-07-18 Oliver Newton , Marius Cautun , Adrian Jenkins , Carlos S. Frenk , John Helly

Strong gravitational lensing gives access to the total mass distribution of galaxies. It can unveil a great deal of information about the lenses dark matter content when combined with the study of the lenses light profile. However,…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-08-02 Judith Biernaux , Pierre Magain , Clementine Hauret

We combine hierarchical Bayesian modeling with a flow-based deep generative network, in order to demonstrate that one can efficiently constraint numerical gravitational wave (GW) population models at a previously intractable complexity.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-07-07 Kaze W. K. Wong , Gabriella Contardo , Shirley Ho

We develop a framework for modelling the Milky Way using stellar streams and a wide range of photometric and kinematic observations. Through the use of mock data we demonstrate that a standard suite of Galactic observations leads to…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2014-03-05 Nathan Deg , Lawrence Widrow

Machine learning has the potential to improve the reconstruction of the dark matter profile of galaxies with respect to traditional methods, like rotation curves. We demonstrate on the simulation suite Illustris-TNG that a steerable…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-10-23 Martín de los Rios , Serafina Di Gioia , Fabio Iocco , Roberto Trotta

We present a Bayesian inference methodology for the estimation of orbital parameters on single-line spectroscopic binaries with astrometric data, based on the No-U-Turn sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Our approach is designed to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-27 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

In the gravitational-wave analysis of pulsar-timing-array datasets, parameter estimation is usually performed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to explore posterior probability densities. We introduce an alternative procedure that…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-16 Michele Vallisneri , Marco Crisostomi , Aaron D. Johnson , Patrick M. Meyers

We introduce an algorithm to marginalize the likelihood for a gravitational wave signal from a quasi-circular binary merger over its extrinsic parameters, accounting for the effects of higher harmonics and spin-induced precession. The…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-08-06 Javier Roulet , Jonathan Mushkin , Digvijay Wadekar , Tejaswi Venumadhav , Barak Zackay , Matias Zaldarriaga

A Bayesian approach is developed for the inference of an eddy-diffusivity field from Lagrangian trajectory data. The motion of Lagrangian particles is modelled by a stochastic differential equation associated with the advection-diffusion…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Y. K. Ying , J. R. Maddison , J. Vanneste

Cosmological simulations of galaxy clusters are unable to resolve dwarf galaxies due to limited numerical resolution which drives the artificial disruption of dark matter substructures. We address these limitations by combining the results…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2026-04-28 Pradyumna Sadhu , Laura V. Sales , Julio F. Navarro , Raphaël Errani , Jose Benavides , Eric W. Peng

The standard approach to inference from cosmic large-scale structure data employs summary statistics that are compared to analytic models in a Gaussian likelihood with pre-computed covariance. To overcome the idealising assumptions about…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-24 Kiyam Lin , Maximilian von Wietersheim-Kramsta , Benjamin Joachimi , Stephen Feeney

Reliable low-latency gravitational wave parameter estimation is essential to target limited electromagnetic followup facilities toward astrophysically interesting and electromagnetically relevant sources of gravitational waves. In this…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-09-09 Brandon Miller , Richard O'Shaughnessy , Tyson B. Littenberg , Ben Farr

The ability to differentiate between different models of inflation through the imprint of primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG) requires stringent constraints on the local PNG parameter $f_{\text{NL}}^{\text{loc}}$. Upcoming data from the large…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-16 Chandra Shekhar Saraf , David Parkinson

We explore a novel analysis framework for parameter inference with large-scale CMB polarization data. Our method uses simulation-based inference combined with the needlet internal linear combination (NILC) algorithm and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-19 Adriaan J. Duivenvoorden , Kristen Surrao , Adrian E. Bayer , Alexandre E. Adler , Nadia Dachlythra , Susanna Azzoni , J. Colin Hill

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

We seek to achieve the Holy Grail of Bayesian inference for gravitational-wave astronomy: using deep-learning techniques to instantly produce the posterior $p(\theta|D)$ for the source parameters $\theta$, given the detector data $D$. To do…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-01-31 Alvin J. K. Chua , Michele Vallisneri

Extracting the properties of a binary system emitting gravitational waves relies on models describing the last stages of the compact binary coalescence. In this article, we study potential biases inherent to current tidal waveform…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-07-31 Anuradha Samajdar , Tim Dietrich

Weak gravitational lensing surveys are rapidly becoming important tools to probe directly the mass density fluctuations in the universe and its background dynamics. Earlier studies have shown that it is possible to model the statistics of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 Patrick Valageas , Andrew J. Barber , Dipak Munshi

We study the shapes of Milky Way satellites in the context of the tidal stirring scenario for the formation of dwarf spheroidal galaxies. The standard procedures used to measure shapes involve smoothing and binning of data and thus may not…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Ewa L. Lokas , Steven R. Majewski , Stelios Kazantzidis , Lucio Mayer , Jeffrey L. Carlin , David L. Nidever , Leonidas A. Moustakas
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