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Stepped-wedge cluster randomised trials (SW-CRTs) increasingly evaluate complex interventions, yet methodological guidance for analysing composite endpoints using generalized pairwise comparisons (GPC)remains limited. This work investigates…

We propose a novel multiple testing methodology for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in high-dimensional linear models that integrates model-X knockoff techniques with debiased penalized regression estimators. At the foundation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Jinyuan Chang , Chenlong Li , Cheng Yong Tang , Zhengtian Zhu

The robustness of fault detection algorithms against uncertainty is crucial in the real-world industrial environment. Recently, a new probabilistic design scheme called distributionally robust fault detection (DRFD) has emerged and received…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Yulin Feng , Hailang Jin , Steven X. Ding , Hao Ye , Chao Shang

The evaluation of Information Retrieval (IR) systems typically uses query-document pairs with corresponding human-labelled relevance assessments (qrels). These qrels are used to determine if one system is better than another based on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Jack McKechnie , Graham McDonald , Craig Macdonald

We introduce Deep Adaptive Design (DAD), a method for amortizing the cost of adaptive Bayesian experimental design that allows experiments to be run in real-time. Traditional sequential Bayesian optimal experimental design approaches…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Adam Foster , Desi R. Ivanova , Ilyas Malik , Tom Rainforth

Causal inference on the average treatment effect (ATE) using non-probability samples, such as electronic health records (EHR), faces challenges from sample selection bias and high-dimensional covariates. This requires considering a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Jiacong Du , Xu Shi , Donglin Zeng , Bhramar Mukherjee

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) often include subgroup analyses to assess whether treatment effects vary across pre-specified patient populations. However, these analyses frequently suffer from small sample sizes which limit the power…

When observations are independent, formulae and software are readily available to plan and design studies of appropriate size and power to detect important associations. When observations are correlated or clustered, results obtained from…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-15 David M. Thompson

Group sequential designs (GSDs) are widely used in confirmatory trials to allow interim monitoring while preserving control of the type I error rate. In the frequentist framework, O'Brien-Fleming-type stopping boundaries dominate practice…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Zhangyi He , Feng Yu , Suzie Cro , Laurent Billot

We study distributed binary hypothesis testing with a single sensor and two remote decision centers that are also equipped with local sensors. The communication between the sensor and the two decision centers takes place over three links: a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-07 Mustapha Hamad , Mireille Sarkiss , Michèle Wigger

Replication studies are increasingly conducted to assess the credibility of scientific findings. Most of these replication attempts target studies with a superiority design, but there is a lack of methodology regarding the analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-13 Charlotte Micheloud , Leonhard Held

One approach for increasing the efficiency of randomized trials is the use of "external controls" -- individuals who received the control treatment studied in the trial during routine practice or in prior experimental studies. Existing…

The standard paradigm for confirmatory clinical trials is to compare experimental treatments with a control, for example the standard of care or a placebo. However, it is not always the case that a suitable control exists. Efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Thomas Burnett , Thomas Jaki

Model-based reinforcement learning attempts to use an available or learned model to improve the data efficiency of reinforcement learning. This work proposes a one-step lookback approach that jointly learns the deep incremental model and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Cong Li

Standard A/B tests in online experiments face statistical power challenges when testing multiple candidates simultaneously, while adaptive experimental designs (AED) alone fall short in inferring experiment statistics such as the average…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Qining Zhang , Tanner Fiez , Yi Liu , Wenyang Liu

We introduce implicit Deep Adaptive Design (iDAD), a new method for performing adaptive experiments in real-time with implicit models. iDAD amortizes the cost of Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) by learning a design policy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Desi R. Ivanova , Adam Foster , Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann , Tom Rainforth

Phase-3 clinical trials provide the highest level of evidence on drug safety and effectiveness needed for market approval by implementing large randomized controlled trials (RCTs). However, 30-40% of these trials fail mainly because such…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-09 Sayeri Lala , Niraj K. Jha

Standard statistical methods that do not take proper account of the complexity of survey design can lead to erroneous inferences when applied to survey data due to unequal selection probabilities, clustering, and other design features. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Jae-kwang Kim , J. N. K. Rao , Zhonglei Wang

The one-sample log-rank test is the method of choice for single-arm Phase II trials with time-to-event endpoint. It allows to compare the survival of the patients to a reference survival curve that typically represents the expected survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Jannik Feld , Moritz Fabian Danzer , Andreas Faldum , Rene Schmidt

Conventional multiple hypothesis tests use step-up, step-down, or closed testing methods to control the overall error rates. We will discuss marrying these methods with adaptive multistage sampling rules and stopping rules to perform…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-12 Jay Bartroff , Tze Leung Lai
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