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Evaluating the causal effect of recommendations is an important objective because the causal effect on user interactions can directly leads to an increase in sales and user engagement. To select an optimal recommendation model, it is common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Masahiro Sato

In recent years, real-world external controls have grown in popularity as a tool to empower randomized placebo-controlled trials, particularly in rare diseases or cases where balanced randomization is unethical or impractical. However, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Mingyang Shan , Wenyu Ye , Ilya Lipkovich , Douglas Faries

Experimental design is an approach for selecting samples among a given set so as to obtain the best estimator for a given criterion. In the context of linear regression, several optimal designs have been derived, each associated with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Geovani Rizk , Igor Colin , Albert Thomas , Moez Draief

The efficiency of an experimental design is ultimately measured in terms of time and resources needed for the experiment. Optimal sequential (multi-stage) design is studied in the situation where each stage involves a fixed cost. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-08 Juha Karvanen

We describe an application of machine learning to a real-world computer assisted labeling task. Our experimental results expose significant deviations from the IID assumption commonly used in machine learning. These results suggest that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Julaiti Alafate , Yoav Freund , David T. Sandwell , Brook Tozer

eBay's experimentation platform runs hundreds of A/B tests on any given day. The platform integrates with the tracking infrastructure and customer experience servers, provides the sampling service for experiments, and has the responsibility…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-10 Keyu Nie , Zezhong Zhang , Bingquan Xu , Tao Yuan

In the group testing problem, the goal is to identify a subset of defective items within a larger set of items based on tests whose outcomes indicate whether any defective item is present. This problem is relevant in areas such as medical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Nelvin Tan , Way Tan , Jonathan Scarlett

Response adaptive randomization (RAR) is appealing from methodological, ethical, and pragmatic perspectives in the sense that subjects are more likely to be randomized to better performing treatment groups based on accumulating data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Lu Cui , Ziqian Geng , Lanju Zhang , Yihua Gu , Ivan S. F. Chan

With the current trend in Model-Based Systems Engineering towards Digital Engineering and early Validation & Verification, experiments are increasingly used to estimate system parameters and explore design decisions. Managing such…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Johan Cederbladh , Loek Cleophas , Eduard Kamburjan , Lucas Lima , Rakshit Mittal , Hans Vangheluwe

Completely randomized experiments have been the gold standard for drawing causal inference because they can balance all potential confounding on average. However, they may suffer from unbalanced covariates for realized treatment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Yuhao Wang , Xinran Li

Model-based experimental design is attracting increasing attention in chemical process engineering. Typically, an iterative procedure is pursued: an approximate model is devised, prescribed experiments are then performed and the resulting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Charlie Vanaret , Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Gleb Karpov , Gleb Ryzhakov , Ivan Oseledets , Norbert Asprion , Michael Bortz

This paper studies inference in two-stage randomized experiments under covariate-adaptive randomization. In the initial stage of this experimental design, clusters (e.g., households, schools, or graph partitions) are stratified and randomly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Jizhou Liu

Externally controlled trials (ECTs) are increasingly used when randomized controls are infeasible, unethical, or insufficient, including applications in rare diseases, oncology, pediatrics, and post-approval effectiveness research. Although…

In computerized adaptive testing (CAT), items (questions) are selected in real time based on the already observed responses, so that the ability of the examinee can be estimated as accurately as possible. This is typically formulated as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-08 Shiyu Wang , Georgios Fellouris , Hua-Hua Chang

Research ideation requires navigating trade-offs across multiple evaluative dimensions, yet most AI-assisted ideation tools leave this multi-dimensional reasoning unsupported, or reducing evaluation to unipolar scales where "more is…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Zijian Ding , Fenghai Li , Ziyi Wang , Joel Chan

This paper proposes an adaptive random experiment design (ARED) algorithm that can be applied to optimize the multiple factors and levels experiments. The algorithm takes real-time model error as the adaptive condition, and outputs a model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-01 Zhou Qiao , Duan Xiaochang , Tang Wei

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a sub-field of statistics focused on developing methods to make efficient use of experimental resources. Any potential design is evaluated in terms of a utility function, such as the (theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Noble Kennamer , Steven Walton , Alexander Ihler

Recommender systems often suffer from selection bias as users tend to rate their preferred items. The datasets collected under such conditions exhibit entries missing not at random and thus are not randomized-controlled trials representing…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Wonbin Kweon , Hwanjo Yu

Computer Adaptive Testing (CAT) aims to accurately estimate an individual's ability using only a subset of an Item Response Theory (IRT) instrument. Many applications also require diverse item exposure across testing sessions, preventing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Tina Su , Edison Choe , Joshua C. Chang

The assortment planning problem is a central piece in the revenue management strategy of any company in the retail industry. In this paper, we study a robust assortment optimization problem for substitutable products under a sequential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Saharnaz Mehrani , Jorge A. Sefair
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