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Whittle-Mat\'ern fields are a recently introduced class of Gaussian processes on metric graphs, which are specified as solutions to a fractional-order stochastic differential equation. Unlike earlier covariance-based approaches for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 David Bolin , Alexandre Simas , Jonas Wallin

We define a new class of Gaussian processes on compact metric graphs such as street or river networks. The proposed models, the Whittle--Mat\'ern fields, are defined via a fractional stochastic differential equation on the compact metric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-07 David Bolin , Alexandre B. Simas , Jonas Wallin

The modeling of spatial point processes has advanced considerably, yet extending these models to non-Euclidean domains, such as road networks, remains a challenging problem. We propose a novel framework for log-Gaussian Cox processes on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-31 David Bolin , Damilya Saduakhas , Alexandre B. Simas

The Mat{\'e}rn family of covariance functions has played a central role in spatial statistics for decades, being a flexible parametric class with one parameter determining the smoothness of the paths of the underlying spatial field. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-10 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño-Carrillo , E. Porcu

We introduce and analyze a nonlocal generalization of Whittle--Mat\'ern Gaussian fields in which the smoothness parameter varies in space through the fractional order, $s=s(x)\in[\underline{s}\,,\bar{s}]\subset(0,1)$. The model is defined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Hamza Ruzayqat , Wenyu Lei , David Bolin , George Turkiyyah , Omar Knio

Spatial statistics is traditionally based on stationary models on $\mathbb{R^d}$ like Mat\'ern fields. The adaptation of traditional spatial statistical methods, originally designed for stationary models in Euclidean spaces, to effectively…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-12 Somnath Chaudhuri , Maria A. Barceló , Pablo Juan , Diego Varga , David Bolin , Haavard Rue , Marc Saez

The family of Mat\'ern kernels are often used in spatial statistics, function approximation and Gaussian process methods in machine learning. One reason for their popularity is the presence of a smoothness parameter that controls, for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-06 Moritz Korte-Stapff , Toni Karvonen , Eric Moulines

The Mat{\'e}rn family of isotropic covariance functions has been central to the theoretical development and application of statistical models for geospatial data. For global data defined over the whole sphere representing planet Earth, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-15 Alfredo Alegría , Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Peter Diggle , Emilio Porcu

This paper investigates Gaussian Markov random field approximations to nonstationary Gaussian fields using graph representations of stochastic partial differential equations. We establish approximation error guarantees building on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Gaussian random fields with Mat\'ern covariance functions are popular models in spatial statistics and machine learning. In this work, we develop a spatio-temporal extension of the Gaussian Mat\'ern fields formulated as solutions to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-06 Finn Lindgren , Haakon Bakka , David Bolin , Elias Krainski , Håvard Rue

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

Geophysical and other natural processes often exhibit non-stationary covariances and this feature is important to take into account for statistical models that attempt to emulate the physical process. A convolution-based model is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-23 Douglas Nychka , Dorit Hammerling , Mitchell Krock , Ashton Wiens

The integration of physical relationships into stochastic models is of major interest e.g. in data assimilation. Here, a multivariate Gaussian random field formulation is introduced, which represents the differential relations of the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-14 Rüdiger Hewer , Petra Friederichs , Andreas Hense , Martin Schlather

In geostatistics, traditional spatial models often rely on the Gaussian Process (GP) to fit stationary covariances to data. It is well known that this approach becomes computationally infeasible when dealing with large data volumes,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-17 Antony Sikorski , Daniel McKenzie , Douglas Nychka

Paradoxically, while the assumptions of second-order stationarity and isotropy appear outdated in light of modern spatial data, they remain remarkably robust in practice, as nonstationary methods often provide marginal improvements in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Federico Blasi , Reinhard Furrer

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

We study estimation and prediction of Gaussian random fields with covariance models belonging to the generalized Wendland (GW) class, under fixed domain asymptotics. As the Mat\'ern case, this class allows a continuous parameterization of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-17 M. Bevilacqua , T. Faouzi , R. Furrer , E. Porcu

We consider Gaussian measures $\mu, \tilde{\mu}$ on a separable Hilbert space, with fractional-order covariance operators $A^{-2\beta}$ resp. $\tilde{A}^{-2\tilde{\beta}}$, and derive necessary and sufficient conditions on $A, \tilde{A}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-19 David Bolin , Kristin Kirchner

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

We present a new method for constructing valid covariance functions of Gaussian processes for spatial analysis in irregular, non-convex domains such as bodies of water. Standard covariance functions based on geodesic distances are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Brian Gilbert , Abhirup Datta
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