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During the COVID-19 crisis, mechanistic models have guided evidence-based decision making. However, time-critical decisions in a dynamical environment limit the time available to gather supporting evidence. We address this bottleneck by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-15 Agatha Schmidt , Henrik Zunker , Alexander Heinlein , Martin J. Kühn

Effective traffic prediction is a cornerstone of intelligent transportation systems, enabling precise forecasts of traffic flow, speed, and congestion. While traditional spatio-temporal graph neural networks (ST-GNNs) have achieved notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Xiaoyang Cao , Dingyi Zhuang , Jinhua Zhao , Shenhao Wang

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are powerful models for graph-structured data, with broad applications. However, the interplay between GNN parameter optimization, expressivity, and generalization remains poorly understood. We address this by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Samir Moustafa , Lorenz Kummer , Simon Fetzel , Nils M. Kriege , Wilfried N. Gansterer

Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a growing interest in studying epidemiological models. Traditional mechanistic models mathematically describe the transmission mechanisms of infectious diseases. However, they often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Zewen Liu , Guancheng Wan , B. Aditya Prakash , Max S. Y. Lau , Wei Jin

Analysis of geospatial data has traditionally been model-based, with a mean model, customarily specified as a linear regression on the covariates, and a covariance model, encoding the spatial dependence. We relax the strong assumption of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Wentao Zhan , Abhirup Datta

Recently, Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown promising performance in tasks on dynamic graphs such as node classification, link prediction and graph regression. However, few work has studied the temporal edge regression task which has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Lekang Jiang , Caiqi Zhang , Farimah Poursafaei , Shenyang Huang

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are shown to be successful in modeling applications with graph structures. However, training an accurate GNN model requires a large collection of labeled data and expressive features, which might be inaccessible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Ziniu Hu , Changjun Fan , Ting Chen , Kai-Wei Chang , Yizhou Sun

We study epidemic forecasting on real-world health data by a graph-structured recurrent neural network (GSRNN). We achieve state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy on the benchmark CDC dataset. To improve model efficiency, we sparsify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Zhijian Li , Xiyang Luo , Bao Wang , Andrea L. Bertozzi , Jack Xin

Among various spatio-temporal prediction tasks, epidemic forecasting plays a critical role in public health management. Recent studies have demonstrated the strong potential of spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) in extracting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Yufan Zheng , Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Alexander Zhou , Nguyen Quoc Viet Hung , Choujun Zhan , Hongzhi Yin

Graph Neural Networks have gained huge interest in the past few years. These powerful algorithms expanded deep learning models to non-Euclidean space and were able to achieve state of art performance in various applications including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Zahraa Al Sahili , Mariette Awad

Recurring outbreaks of COVID-19 have posed enduring effects on global society, which calls for a predictor of pandemic waves using various data with early availability. Existing prediction models that forecast the first outbreak wave using…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-06-13 J. Xue , T. Yabe , K. Tsubouchi , J. Ma , S. V. Ukkusuri

With rapid expansion of cellular networks and the proliferation of mobile devices, cellular traffic data exhibits complex temporal dynamics and spatial correlations, posing challenges to accurate traffic prediction. Previous methods often…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Ziyi Li , Hui Ma , Fei Xing , Chunjiong Zhang , Ming Yan

Effective epidemic modeling is essential for managing public health crises, requiring robust methods to predict disease spread and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework that advances time series…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 Mousa Alizadeh , Mohammad Hossein Samaei , Azam Seilsepour , Alireza Monavarian , Mohammad TH Beheshti

Human motion prediction is an important and challenging task in many computer vision application domains. Recent work concentrates on utilizing the timing processing ability of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to achieve smooth and reliable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Zigeng Yan , Di-Hua Zhai , Yuanqing Xia

Graphs are a powerful data structure to represent relational data and are widely used to describe complex real-world data structures. Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) have been well-developed in the past years to mathematically model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Chenqing Hua , Sitao Luan , Qian Zhang , Jie Fu

Research in deep learning models to forecast traffic intensities has gained great attention in recent years due to their capability to capture the complex spatio-temporal relationships within the traffic data. However, most state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Amit Roy , Kashob Kumar Roy , Amin Ahsan Ali , M Ashraful Amin , A K M Mahbubur Rahman

Predicting the supply and demand of transport systems is vital for efficient traffic management, control, optimization, and planning. For example, predicting where from/to and when people intend to travel by taxi can support fleet managers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Mathias Niemann Tygesen , Francisco C. Pereira , Filipe Rodrigues

Human mobility estimation is crucial during the COVID-19 pandemic due to its significant guidance for policymakers to make non-pharmaceutical interventions. While deep learning approaches outperform conventional estimation techniques on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Han Bao , Xun Zhou , Yiqun Xie , Yanhua Li , Xiaowei Jia

Traffic forecasting has attracted widespread attention recently. In reality, traffic data usually contains missing values due to sensor or communication errors. The Spatio-temporal feature in traffic data brings more challenges for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Jingwei Zuo , Karine Zeitouni , Yehia Taher , Sandra Garcia-Rodriguez

Multivariate biosignals are prevalent in many medical domains, such as electroencephalography, polysomnography, and electrocardiography. Modeling spatiotemporal dependencies in multivariate biosignals is challenging due to (1) long-range…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Siyi Tang , Jared A. Dunnmon , Liangqiong Qu , Khaled K. Saab , Tina Baykaner , Christopher Lee-Messer , Daniel L. Rubin
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