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Let K be a convex set in R d and let K $\lambda$ be the convex hull of a homogeneous Poisson point process P $\lambda$ of intensity $\lambda$ on K. When K is a simple polytope, we establish scaling limits as $\lambda$ $\rightarrow$ $\infty$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-22 Pierre Calka , J. E. Yukich

The Hawks process is a point process with a self-exciting property. It has been used to model earthquakes, social media events, infections, etc., and is getting a lot of attention. However, as a real problem, there are often situations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Masatoshi Goda

This article is concerned with the fluctuations and the concentration properties of a general class of discrete generation and mean field particle interpretations of nonlinear measure valued processes. We combine an original stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-09 Pierre Del Moral , Emmanuel Rio

True Volterra equations are inherently non stationary and therefore do not admit $\textit{genuine stationary regimes}$ over finite horizons. This motivates the study of the finite-time behavior of the solutions to scaled inhomogeneous…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Emmanuel Gnabeyeu , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The Hawkes process is a self-exciting sample point process. It has wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. With the development of storage technology, data-driven models are attracting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

This work addresses the mean-field limit of inertial particle systems with singular interactions in a perturbative regime around Gibbs equilibrium. We prove that small fluctuations around equilibrium are asymptotically governed by the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Mitia Duerinckx , Pierre-Emmanuel Jabin

We generalise the construction of multivariate Hawkes processes to a possibly infinite network of counting processes on a directed graph $\mathbb G$. The process is constructed as the solution to a system of Poisson driven stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Sylvain Delattre , Nicolas Fournier , Marc Hoffmann

We prove a central limit type theorem for critical marked Hawkes processes. We study the case where the marks are i.i.d. with nonnegative values and their common distribution is either heavy tailed or has finite variance. The kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

In this paper we study the combined mean field and homogenization limits for a system of weakly interacting diffusions moving in a two-scale, locally periodic confining potential, of the form considered in~\cite{DuncanPavliotis2016}. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-17 S. N. Gomes , G. A. Pavliotis

We consider the limiting behavior of fluctuations of small noise diffusions with multiple scales around their homogenized deterministic limit. We allow full dependence of the coefficients on the slow and fast motion. These processes arise…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The standard small-time functional central limit theorem of semimartingales has been established in (Gerhold, S., Kleinert, M., Porkert, P., and Shkolnikov, M. (2015). Small time central limit theorems for semimartingales with applications.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Pietro Maria Sparago

We study a diffusion model of phase field type, consisting of a system of two partial differential equations encoding the balances of microforces and microenergy; the two unknowns are the order parameter and the chemical potential. By a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2011-03-24 Pierluigi Colli , Gianni Gilardi , Paolo Podio-Guidugli , Juergen Sprekels

We discuss recent results obtained for the Hamiltonian Mean Field model. The model describes a system of N fully-coupled particles in one dimension and shows a second-order phase transition from a clustered phase to a homogeneous one when…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 V. Latora , A. Rapisarda , S. Ruffo

Many self-exciting systems change because endogenous amplification, as opposed to exogenous forcing, varies. We study a Hawkes process with fixed background rate and kernel, but piecewise time-varying productivity. For exponential kernels…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-12-30 Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Sophie Phillips

This paper considers the effect of least squares procedures for nearly unstable linear time series with strongly dependent innovations. Under a general framework and appropriate scaling, it is shown that ordinary least squares procedures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Boris Buchmann , Ngai Hang Chan

We consider a particle system with a mean-field-type interaction perturbed by some common and individual noises. When the interacting kernels are sublinear and only locally Lipschitz-continuous, relying on arguments based on the tightness…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Angelo Rosello

We establish a process level large deviation principle for systems of interacting Bessel-like diffusion processes. By establishing weak uniqueness for the limiting non-local SDE of McKean-Vlasov type, we conclude that the latter describes…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-14 Tomoyuki Ichiba , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

Motivated by considerations from neuroscience (macroscopic behavior of large ensembles of interacting neurons), we consider a population of mean field interacting diffusions in $\mathbf {R}^m$ in the presence of a random environment and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Eric Luçon , Wilhelm Stannat

We consider a system of $N$ disordered mean-field interacting diffusions within spatial constraints: each particle $\theta_i$ is attached to one site $x_i$ of a periodic lattice and the interaction between particles $\theta_i$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-16 Eric Luçon , Wilhelm Stannat

A field theoretical framework is developed for the Hawkes self-excited point process with arbitrary memory kernels by embedding the original non-Markovian one-dimensional dynamics onto a Markovian infinite-dimensional one. The corresponding…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-23 Kiyoshi Kanazawa , Didier Sornette