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Climate adaptation could yield significant benefits. However, the uncertainty of which future climate scenarios will occur decreases the feasibility of proactively adapting. Climate adaptation projects could be underwritten by benefits paid…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-06 John Nay

The Global Methane Pledge and other methane measures may potentially undermine CO2 mitigation in certain countries, unless they are considered as additional to the existing Nationally Determined Contributions to strengthen overall…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-08 Katsumasa Tanaka , Kushal Tibrewal , Philippe Ciais , Olivier Boucher

There is much disagreement concerning how best to control global carbon emissions. We explore quantitatively how different control schemes affect the collective emission dynamics of a population of emitting entities. We uncover a complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-12 Zhenyuan Zhao , Dan Fenn , Pak Ming Hui , Neil F. Johnson

Environmental determinism in the past followed from the belief that the gods bestowed political power and the best possible weather on the sponsors of early scholars. Although later discredited in academia because of the associations with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Richard S. J. Tol

Previous studies show that natural disasters decelerate economic growth, and more so in countries with lower financial development. We confirm these results with more recent data. We are the first to show that fiscal stability reduces the…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-16 Valeria Terrones , Richard S. J. Tol

Given the importance of public support for policy change and implementation, public policymakers and researchers have attempted to understand the factors associated with this support for climate change mitigation policy. In this article, we…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-24 Romit Maulik , Junghwa Choi , Wesley Wehde , Prasanna Balaprakash

The socioeconomic impact of pollution naturally comes with uncertainty due to, e.g., current new technological developments in emissions' abatement or demographic changes. On top of that, the trend of the future costs of the environmental…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Matteo Basei , Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

This article aims to explore an empirical approach to analyze the macroeconomicsdeterminants of default of borrowers. For this purpose, we have measured the impact of the adverse economic conditions on the degradation of the credit…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-29 Anas Yassine , Abdelmadjid Ibenrissoul

We study how the climate transition through a low-carbon economy, implemented by carbon pricing, propagates in a credit portfolio and precisely describe how carbon price dynamics affects credit risk measures such as probability of default,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-22 Géraldine Bouveret , Jean-François Chassagneux , Smail Ibbou , Antoine Jacquier , Lionel Sopgoui

Despite the amount of savings available and the money supply managed by financial institutions, significant market failures and the failure of carbon pricing strategies prevent sufficient financing of the transition, notably through bank…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-15 Laura Chémali , Camille Souffron

Many empirical studies have shown that government quality is a key determinant of vulnerability to natural disasters. Protection against natural disasters can be a public good -- flood protection, for example -- or a natural monopoly --…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-29 Richard S. J. Tol

Natural hazards can considerably impact the overall society of a country. As some degree of public sector involvement is always necessary to deal with the consequences of natural disasters, central governments have increasingly invested in…

General Economics · Economics 2020-06-11 Selene Perazzini

This article develops multiple novel climate risk measures (or variables) based on the television news coverage by Bloomberg, CNBC, and Fox Business, and examines how they affect the systematic and idiosyncratic risks of clean energy firms…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Wasim Ahmad , Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Suruchi Shrimali , Preeti Roy

Do governments adjust budgetary policy to rising public debt, precluding fiscal unsustainability? Using budget data for 52 industrial and emerging economies since 1990, we apply panel methods accounting for cross-sectional dependence and…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-18 Paolo Canofari , Alessandro Piergallini , Marco Tedeschi

On the way towards carbon neutrality, climate stress testing provides estimates for the physical and transition risks that climate change poses to the economy and the financial system. Missing firm-level CO2 emissions data severely impedes…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-17 Zlata Tabachová , Christian Diem , Johannes Stangl , András Borsos , Stefan Thurner

An important issue within the present economic crisis is understanding the dynamics of the public debt of a given country, and how the behavior of average consumers and tax payers in that country affects it. Starting from a model of the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-28 Roberto De Luca , Marco Di Mauro , Angelo Falzarano , Adele Naddeo

Conventional economic analysis of stringent climate change mitigation policy generally concludes various levels of economic slowdown as a result of substantial spending on low carbon technology. Equilibrium economics however could not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-01-29 J. F. Mercure , H. Pollitt , U. Chewpreecha , P. Salas , A. Foley , P. B. Holden , N. R. Edwards

This paper examines the pivotal role central banks play in advancing sustainable finance, a crucial component in addressing global environmental and social challenges. As supervisors of financial stability and economic growth, central banks…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 A T M Omor Faruq , Md Toufiqul Huq

Carbon credits are a key component of most national and organizational climate strategies. Financing and delivering carbon credits from forest-related activities faces multiple risks at the project and asset levels. Financial mechanisms are…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-14 Hanna Fiegenbaum

We study the implications of model uncertainty in a climate-economics framework with three types of capital: "dirty" capital that produces carbon emissions when used for production, "clean" capital that generates no emissions but is…

General Economics · Economics 2023-10-23 Michael Barnett , William Brock , Lars Peter Hansen , Ruimeng Hu , Joseph Huang