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This paper covers predicting high-resolution electricity peak demand features given lower-resolution data. This is a relevant setup as it answers whether limited higher-resolution monitoring helps to estimate future high-resolution peak…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Jonathan Berrisch , Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

An influential step in weather forecasting was the introduction of ensemble forecasts in operational use due to their capability to account for the uncertainties in the future state of the atmosphere. However, ensemble weather forecasts are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-25 Mária Lakatos , Sebastian Lerch , Stephan Hemri , Sándor Baran

Accurate prediction of application performance is critical for enabling effective scheduling and resource management in resource-constrained dynamic edge environments. However, achieving predictable performance in such environments remains…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Panagiotis Giannakopoulos , Bart van Knippenberg , Kishor Chandra Joshi , Nicola Calabretta , George Exarchakos

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

The intensive care unit (ICU) comprises a complex hospital environment, where decisions made by clinicians have a high level of risk for the patients' lives. A comprehensive care pathway must then be followed to reduce p complications.…

Forecasts of the trajectory of an infectious agent can help guide public health decision making. A traditional approach to forecasting fits a computational model to structured data and generates a predictive distribution. However, human…

Identification of patients at high risk for readmission could help reduce morbidity and mortality as well as healthcare costs. Most of the existing studies on readmission prediction did not compare the contribution of data categories. In…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-23 Wendong Ge , Hee Yeun Kim , Sonali Desai , Leonid Perlovsky , Alexander Turchin

Emergency department (ED) overcrowding and patient boarding represent critical systemic challenges that compromise care quality. We propose a threshold-based admission policy that redirects non-urgent patients to alternative care pathways,…

Performance · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Sahba Baniasadi , Paul M. Griffin , Prakash Chakraborty

Quantifying uncertainty in clinical predictions is critical for high-stakes diagnosis tasks. Conformal prediction offers a principled approach by providing prediction sets with theoretical coverage guarantees. However, in practice, patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Arjun Chatterjee , Sayeed Sajjad Razin , John Wu , Siddhartha Laghuvarapu , Jathurshan Pradeepkumar , Jimeng Sun

Objective: When patients develop acute respiratory failure, accurately identifying the underlying etiology is essential for determining the best treatment. However, differentiating between common medical diagnoses can be challenging in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Sarah Jabbour , David Fouhey , Ella Kazerooni , Jenna Wiens , Michael W Sjoding

Period-prevalent cohorts are often used for their cost-saving potential in epidemiological studies of survival outcomes. Under this design, prevalent patients allow for evaluations of long-term survival outcomes without the need for long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Nicholas Hartman

After admission to emergency department (ED), patients with critical illnesses are transferred to intensive care unit (ICU) due to unexpected clinical deterioration occurrence. Identifying such unplanned ICU transfers is urgently needed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Chun-An Chou , Qingtao Cao , Shao-Jen Weng , Che-Hung Tsai

Frequent users of emergency departments (ED) pose a significant challenge to hospital emergency services. Despite a wealth of studies in this field, it is hardly understood, what medical conditions lead to frequent attendance. We examine…

Applications · Statistics 2018-09-03 Jens Rauch , Jens Hüsers , Birgit Babitsch , Ursula Hübner

Deep learning architectures have an extremely high-capacity for modeling complex data in a wide variety of domains. However, these architectures have been limited in their ability to support complex prediction problems using insurance…

Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

Radiotherapy treatment planning often relies on time-consuming, trial-and-error adjustments that heavily depend on the expertise of specialists, while existing deep learning methods face limitations in generalization, prediction accuracy,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Hui Xie , Haiqin Hu , Lijuan Ding , Qing Li , Yue Sun , Tao Tan

While the ICD code assignment problem has been widely studied, most works have focused on post-discharge document classification. Models for early forecasting of this information could be used for identifying health risks, suggesting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Cindy Shih-Ting Huang , Clarence Boon Liang Ng , Marek Rei

The effective management of Emergency Department (ED) overcrowding is essential for improving patient outcomes and optimizing healthcare resource allocation. This study validates hospital admission prediction models initially developed…

Persistent demographic disparities have been identified in the treatment of patients seeking care in the emergency department (ED). These may be driven in part by subconscious biases, which providers themselves may struggle to identify. To…

Out-of-distribution (OOD) prediction is often approached by restricting models to causal or invariant covariates, avoiding non-causal spurious associations that may be unstable across environments. Despite its theoretical appeal, this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Shuozhi Zuo , Yixin Wang