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The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We examine the theoretical properties of the index of agreement loss function $L_W$, the negatively oriented counterpart of Willmott's index of agreement, a common metric in environmental sciences and engineering. We prove that $L_W$ is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

The Gaussian theory of errors has been generalized to situations, where the Gaussian distribution and, hence, the Gaussian rules of error propagation are inadequate. The generalizations are based on Bayes' theorem and a suitable measure.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Hanns L. Harney

This paper considers the problem of recovering the permutation of an n-dimensional random vector X observed in Gaussian noise. First, a general expression for the probability of error is derived when a linear decoder (i.e., linear estimator…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-10 Minoh Jeong , Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone

It was recently proposed to encode the one-sided exponential source X via K parallel channels, Y1, ..., YK , such that the error signals X - Yi, i = 1,...,K, are one-sided exponential and mutually independent given X. Moreover, it was shown…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-04 Uri Erez , Jan Østergaard , Ram Zamir

We consider two nonparametric procedures for estimating a concave distribution function based on data corrupted with additive noise generated by a bounded decreasing density on $(0,\infty)$. For the maximum likelihood (ML) estimator and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-02 Geurt Jongbloed , Frank H. van der Meulen

In many radar scenarios, the radar target or the medium is assumed to possess randomly varying parts. The properties of a target are described by a random process known as the spreading function. Its second order statistics under the WSSUS…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Götz E. Pfander , Pavel Zheltov

The directional precision of the sample mean estimator was calculated analytically for the offset exponential and normal distributions in three-dimensional space both for a finite sample and for limiting cases. It was shown that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-19 Yaroslav Nikitenko

The problem of f-divergence estimation is important in the fields of machine learning, information theory, and statistics. While several nonparametric divergence estimators exist, relatively few have known convergence properties. In…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-16 Kevin R. Moon , Alfred O. Hero

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

We construct an efficient estimator for the error distribution function of the nonparametric regression model Y = r(Z) + e. Our estimator is a kernel smoothed empirical distribution function based on residuals from an under-smoothed local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-26 Ursula U. Müller , Anton Schick , Wolfgang Wefelmeyer

We provide the first proof of convergence for normalized error feedback algorithms across a wide range of machine learning problems. Despite their popularity and efficiency in training deep neural networks, traditional analyses of error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sarit Khirirat , Abdurakhmon Sadiev , Artem Riabinin , Eduard Gorbunov , Peter Richtárik

We consider the regression model with errors-in-variables where we observe $n$ i.i.d. copies of $(Y,Z)$ satisfying $Y=f(X)+\xi, Z=X+\sigma\epsilon$, involving independent and unobserved random variables $X,\xi,\epsilon$. The density $g$ of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-11 Fabienne Comte , Marie-Luce Taupin

In this paper several related estimation problems are addressed from a Bayesian point of view and optimal estimators are obtained for each of them when some natural loss functions are considered. Namely, we are interested in estimating a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 A. G. Nogales

While significant progress has been made in specifying neural networks capable of representing uncertainty, deep networks still often suffer from overconfidence and misaligned predictive distributions. Existing approaches for measuring this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Spencer Young , Riley Sinema , Cole Edgren , Andrew Hall , Nathan Dong , Porter Jenkins

Signal processing makes extensive use of point estimators and accompanying error bounds. These work well up until the likelihood function has two or more high peaks. When it is important for an estimator to remain reliable, it becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ning Xu , Christopher M. Foster , Jonathan H. Manton

This paper studies the prediction of a target $\mathbf{z}$ from a pair of random variables $(\mathbf{x},\mathbf{y})$, where the ground-truth predictor is additive $\mathbb{E}[\mathbf{z} \mid \mathbf{x},\mathbf{y}] = f_\star(\mathbf{x})…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Max Simchowitz , Anurag Ajay , Pulkit Agrawal , Akshay Krishnamurthy

Given the unconfoundedness assumption, we propose new nonparametric estimators for the reduced dimensional conditional average treatment effect (CATE) function. In the first stage, the nuisance functions necessary for identifying CATE are…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-26 Qingliang Fan , Yu-Chin Hsu , Robert P. Lieli , Yichong Zhang

This dissertation shows that careful injection of noise into sample data can substantially speed up Expectation-Maximization algorithms. Expectation-Maximization algorithms are a class of iterative algorithms for extracting maximum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-26 Osonde Adekorede Osoba

We study an estimator for smoothing irregularly sampled data into a smooth map. The estimator has been widely used in astronomy, owing to its low level of noise; it involves a weight function -- or smoothing kernel -- w(\theta). We show…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 Marco Lombardi , Peter Schneider