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In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Brian M. Sadler , Victor Elvira

Efficient sampling of many-dimensional and multimodal density functions is a task of great interest in many research fields. We describe an algorithm that allows parallelizing inherently serial Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-10 Vasyl Hafych , Philipp Eller , Oliver Schulz , Allen Caldwell

Integration over non-negative integrands is a central problem in machine learning (e.g. for model averaging, (hyper-)parameter marginalisation, and computing posterior predictive distributions). Bayesian Quadrature is a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Ed Wagstaff , Saad Hamid , Michael Osborne

We propose a method for deterministic sampling of arbitrary continuous angular density functions. With deterministic sampling, good estimation results can typically be achieved with much smaller numbers of samples compared to the commonly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-03 Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck

We survey some of the recent advances in mean estimation and regression function estimation. In particular, we describe sub-Gaussian mean estimators for possibly heavy-tailed data both in the univariate and multivariate settings. We focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

The fast computation of large kernel sums is a challenging task, which arises as a subproblem in any kernel method. We approach the problem by slicing, which relies on random projections to one-dimensional subspaces and fast Fourier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Johannes Hertrich , Tim Jahn , Michael Quellmalz

Intractable generative models are models for which the likelihood is unavailable but sampling is possible. Most approaches to parameter inference in this setting require the computation of some discrepancy between the data and the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-05 Ziang Niu , Johanna Meier , François-Xavier Briol

We propose a Monte Carlo sampler from the reverse diffusion process. Unlike the practice of diffusion models, where the intermediary updates -- the score functions -- are learned with a neural network, we transform the score matching…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-14 Xunpeng Huang , Hanze Dong , Yifan Hao , Yi-An Ma , Tong Zhang

We provide a theoretical foundation for non-parametric estimation of functions of random variables using kernel mean embeddings. We show that for any continuous function $f$, consistent estimators of the mean embedding of a random variable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Carl-Johann Simon-Gabriel , Adam Ścibior , Ilya Tolstikhin , Bernhard Schölkopf

Mean plane measurements of the Kuiper Belt from observational data are of interest for their potential to test dynamical models of the solar system. Recent measurements have yielded inconsistent results. Here we report a measurement of the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-05 Ian C. Matheson , Renu Malhotra

We propose a novel sampling framework for inference in probabilistic models: an active learning approach that converges more quickly (in wall-clock time) than Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) benchmarks. The central challenge in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-04 Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Roman Garnett , Philipp Hennig , Stephen J. Roberts

Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

In empirical risk optimization, it has been observed that stochastic gradient implementations that rely on random reshuffling of the data achieve better performance than implementations that rely on sampling the data uniformly. Recent works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-30 Bicheng Ying , Kun Yuan , Stefan Vlaski , Ali H. Sayed

Bayesian optimisation is a popular approach for optimising expensive black-box functions. The next location to be evaluated is selected via maximising an acquisition function that balances exploitation and exploration. Gaussian processes,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-11 George De Ath , Jonathan E. Fieldsend , Richard M. Everson

The naive importance sampling estimator, based on samples from a single importance density, can be numerically unstable. Instead, we consider generalized importance sampling estimators where samples from more than one probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-12 Vivekananda Roy , Aixin Tan , James M. Flegal

We prove asymptotic convergence for a general class of $k$-means algorithms performed over streaming data from a distribution: the centers asymptotically converge to the set of stationary points of the $k$-means cost function. To do so, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-23 Sanjoy Dasgupta , Gaurav Mahajan , Geelon So

In this paper a method of obtaining smooth analytical estimates of probability densities, radial distribution functions and potentials of mean force from sampled data in a statistically controlled fashion is presented. The approach is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-02-08 Ramses van Zon , Jeremy Schofield

The performance of kernel density estimators is usually studied via Taylor expansions and asymptotic approximation arguments, in which the bandwidth parameter tends to zero with increasing sample size. In contrast, this paper focusses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-25 Nils Lid Hjort , Nikolai G. Ushakov

K-Means clustering algorithm is one of the most commonly used clustering algorithms because of its simplicity and efficiency. K-Means clustering algorithm based on Euclidean distance only pays attention to the linear distance between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Yiqun Zhang , Houbiao Li

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis