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Quality-Diversity optimisation (QD) has proven to yield promising results across a broad set of applications. However, QD approaches struggle in the presence of uncertainty in the environment, as it impacts their ability to quantify the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Manon Flageat , Antoine Cully

Among the many ways of quantifying uncertainty in a regression setting, specifying the full quantile function is attractive, as quantiles are amenable to interpretation and evaluation. A model that predicts the true conditional quantiles…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Youngseog Chung , Willie Neiswanger , Ian Char , Jeff Schneider

Conformal prediction methods create prediction bands with distribution-free guarantees but do not explicitly capture epistemic uncertainty, which can lead to overconfident predictions in data-sparse regions. Although recent conformal scores…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-11 Luben M. C. Cabezas , Vagner S. Santos , Thiago R. Ramos , Rafael Izbicki

Quantum Phase Estimation is a crucial component of several front-running quantum algorithms. Improving the efficiency and accuracy of QPE is currently a very active field of research. In this work, we present a hybrid quantum-classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-25 S. M. Lim , C. E. Susa , R. Cohen

Classification using variational quantum circuits is a promising frontier in quantum machine learning. Quantum supervised learning (QSL) applied to classical data using variational quantum circuits involves embedding the data into a quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-16 Yujin Kim , Changjae Im , Taehyun Kim , Tak Hur , Daniel K. Park

Modern black-box predictive models are often accompanied by weak performance guarantees that only hold asymptotically in the size of the dataset or require strong parametric assumptions. In response to this, split conformal prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-27 Roel Hulsman

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free uncertainty quantification method that has gained popularity in the machine learning community due to its finite-sample guarantees and ease of use. Its most common variant, dubbed split conformal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Christos Louizos

Multifidelity forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems often involve multiple quantities of interest and heterogeneous models (e.g., different grids, equations, dimensions, physics, surrogate and reduced-order models). While…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-26 M. Croci , K. E. Willcox , S. J. Wright

Numerical simulations are widely used to predict the behavior of physical systems, with Bayesian approaches being particularly well suited for this purpose. However, experimental observations are necessary to calibrate certain simulator…

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

Parameterized quantum circuits have been extensively used as the basis for machine learning models in regression, classification, and generative tasks. For supervised learning, their expressivity has been thoroughly investigated and several…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-20 Alice Barthe , Michele Grossi , Sofia Vallecorsa , Jordi Tura , Vedran Dunjko

Quantum computing (QC) has gained popularity due to its unique capabilities that are quite different from that of classical computers in terms of speed and methods of operations. This paper proposes hybrid models and methods that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-11-12 Akshay Ajagekar , Travis Humble , Fengqi You

The modeling and uncertainty quantification of closed curves is an important problem in the field of shape analysis, and can have significant ramifications for subsequent statistical tasks. Many of these tasks involve collections of closed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-15 Hengrui Luo , Justin D. Strait

Conformal predictive systems allow forecasters to issue predictive distributions for real-valued future outcomes that have out-of-sample calibration guarantees. On a more abstract level, conformal prediction makes use of in-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Sam Allen , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Alexander Henzi , Gian-Reto Kleger , Johanna Ziegel

We present a new formulation for the emergence of classical dynamics in a quantum world by considering a path integral approach that also incorporates continuous measurements. Our program is conceptually different from the decoherence…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-23 Harsh Arora , Bishal Kumar Das , Baladitya Suri , Vaibhav Madhok

This paper introduces a comprehensive, multi-stage machine learning methodology that effectively integrates information systems and artificial intelligence to enhance decision-making processes within the domain of operations research. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Nijat Mehdiyev , Maxim Majlatow , Peter Fettke

We propose a conformal prediction method for constructing tight simultaneous prediction intervals for multiple, potentially related, numerical outputs given a single input. This method can be combined with any multi-target regression model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Yunjie Fan , Matteo Sesia

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

We propose a variational scheme to represent composite quantum systems using multiple parameterized functions of varying accuracies on both classical and quantum hardware. The approach follows the variational principle over the entire…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-21 Stefano Barison , Filippo Vicentini , Giuseppe Carleo

This study investigates uncertainty quantification (UQ) using quantum-classical hybrid machine learning (ML) models for applications in complex and dynamic fields, such as attaining resiliency in supply chain digital twins and financial…