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Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) (Chipman et. al., 2010) is a powerful predictive model that often outperforms alternative models at out-of-sample prediction. BART is especially well-suited to settings with unstructured predictor…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-15 Jingyu He , Saar Yalov , P. Richard Hahn

Frequentist and Bayesian methods differ in many aspects, but share some basic optimal properties. In real-life classification and regression problems, situations exist in which a model based on one of the methods is preferable based on some…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-29 Tanujit Chakraborty , Gauri Kamat , Ashis Kumar Chakraborty

Algorithms for binary classification based on adaptive tree partitioning are formulated and analyzed for both their risk performance and their friendliness to numerical implementation. The algorithms can be viewed as generating a set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Peter Binev , Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ronald DeVore

Decision trees are important both as interpretable models amenable to high-stakes decision-making, and as building blocks of ensemble methods such as random forests and gradient boosting. Their statistical properties, however, are not well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Yan Shuo Tan , Abhineet Agarwal , Bin Yu

To deal with various datasets over different complexity, this paper presents an self-adaptive learning model that combines the proposed Dynamic Connected Neural Decision Networks (DNDN) and a new pruning method--Dynamic Soft Pruning (DSP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Xinyu Fan

Various modifications of decision trees have been extensively used during the past years due to their high efficiency and interpretability. Tree node splitting based on relevant feature selection is a key step of decision tree learning, at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-05 Dmitry Ignatov , Andrey Ignatov

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

Although it is an extremely effective, easy-to-use, and increasingly popular tool for nonparametric regression, the Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model is limited by the fact that it can only produce discontinuous output.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Ryan Yee , Soham Ghosh , Sameer K. Deshpande

We develop a Bayesian "sum-of-trees" model where each tree is constrained by a regularization prior to be a weak learner, and fitting and inference are accomplished via an iterative Bayesian backfitting MCMC algorithm that generates samples…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-08 Hugh A. Chipman , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch

The discretization of continuous numerical attributes remains a persistent computational bottleneck in the induction of decision trees, particularly as dataset dimensions scale. Building upon the recently proposed MSD-Splitting technique --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Jake Lee

Subset selection is a valuable tool for interpretable learning, scientific discovery, and data compression. However, classical subset selection is often avoided due to selection instability, lack of regularization, and difficulties with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-17 Daniel R. Kowal

Joint distributions over many variables are frequently modeled by decomposing them into products of simpler, lower-dimensional conditional distributions, such as in sparsely connected Bayesian networks. However, automatically learning such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Scott Davies , Andrew Moore

In this paper, we propose a new random forest algorithm that constructs the trees using a novel adaptive split-balancing method. Rather than relying on the widely-used random feature selection, we propose a permutation-based balanced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Yuqian Zhang , Weijie Ji , Jelena Bradic

Tree-based models are widely recognized for their interpretability and have proven effective in various application domains, particularly in high-stakes domains. However, learning decision trees (DTs) poses a significant challenge due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Sascha Marton

Bayesian Decision Trees are known for their probabilistic interpretability. However, their construction can sometimes be costly. In this article we present a general Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm applicable to both regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Andreea-Ingrid Cross

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Many machine learning tools for regression are based on recursive partitioning of the covariate space into smaller regions, where the regression function can be estimated locally. Among these, regression trees and their ensembles have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Stephanie van der Pas , Veronika Rockova

This paper develops a performant Bayesian approach to conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation in regression discontinuity designs (RDD), an increasingly prevalent form of quasi-experiment that facilitates causal inference.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 Rafael Alcantara , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert F. Lopes

We present the first adaptive strategy for active learning in the setting of classification with smooth decision boundary. The problem of adaptivity (to unknown distributional parameters) has remained opened since the seminal work of Castro…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-28 Andrea Locatelli , Alexandra Carpentier , Samory Kpotufe

Symbolic regression has recently gained traction in AI-driven scientific discovery, aiming to recover explicit closed-form expressions from data that reveal underlying physical laws. Despite recent advances, existing methods remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Somjit Roy , Pritam Dey , Bani K. Mallick