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Estimation of a conditional mean (linking a set of features to an outcome of interest) is a fundamental statistical task. While there is an appeal to flexible nonparametric procedures, effective estimation in many classical nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-08 Tianyu Zhang , Noah Simon

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

This study examines a nonparametric inference on a stationary L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process $X = (X_{t})_{t \geq 0}$ with a compound Poisson subordinator. We propose a new spectral estimator for the L\'evy measure of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-12 Daisuke Kurisu

Assume that we observe a sample of size n composed of p-dimensional signals, each signal having independent entries drawn from a scaled Poisson distribution with an unknown intensity. We are interested in estimating the sum of the n unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-19 Olivier Collier , Arnak Dalalyan

Discrete random structures are important tools in Bayesian nonparametrics and the resulting models have proven effective in density estimation, clustering, topic modeling and prediction, among others. In this paper, we consider nested…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Federico Camerlenghi , David B. Dunson , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Abel Rodríguez

We present a new, fully generative model of optical telescope image sets, along with a variational procedure for inference. Each pixel intensity is treated as a Poisson random variable, with a rate parameter dependent on latent properties…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 Jeffrey Regier , Andrew Miller , Jon McAuliffe , Ryan Adams , Matt Hoffman , Dustin Lang , David Schlegel , Prabhat

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

We propose new goodness-of-fit tests for the Poisson distribution. The testing procedure entails fitting a weighted Poisson distribution, which has the Poisson as a special case, to observed data. Based on sample data, we calculate an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-21 Winnie Kirui , Elzanie Bothma , Marius Smuts , Anke Steyn , Jaco Visagie

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

We study the non-stationary Feller process with time varying coefficients. We obtain the exact probability distribution exemplified by its characteristic function and cumulants. In some particular cases we exactly invert the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-17 Jaume Masoliver

The pair correlation function is a fundamental spatial point process characteristic that, given the intensity function, determines second order moments of the point process. Non-parametric estimation of the pair correlation function is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Abdollah Jalilian , Yongtao Guan , Rasmus Waagepetersen

The Voronoi tessellation is the partition of space for a given seeds pattern and the result of the partition depends completely on the type of given pattern "random", Poisson-Voronoi tessellations (PVT), or "non-random", Non Poisson-Voronoi…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-23 M. Ferraro , L. Zaninetti

Intensity estimation for Poisson processes is a classical problem and has been extensively studied over the past few decades. Practical observations, however, often contain compositional noise, i.e. a nonlinear shift along the time axis,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-25 Glenna Schluck , Wei Wu , Anuj Srivastava

Stationary Poisson processes of lines in the plane are studied whose directional distributions are concentrated on $k \ge 3$ equally spread directions. The random lines of such processes decompose the plane into a collection of random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Nils Heerten , Julia Krecklenberg , Christoph Thäle

We study systems of particles on a line which have a maximum, are locally finite and evolve with independent increments. ``Quasi-stationary states'' are defined as probability measures, on the \sigma-algebra generated by the gap variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Ruzmaikina , Michael Aizenman

This paper develops a novel nonparametric significance test based on a tailored nonparametric-type projected weighting function that exhibits appealing theoretical and numerical properties. We derive the asymptotic properties of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Xiaojun Song , Jichao Yuan

We consider a Poisson process $\Phi$ on a general phase space. The expectation of a function of $\Phi$ can be considered as a functional of the intensity measure $\lambda$ of $\Phi$. Extending earlier results of Molchanov and Zuyev [Math.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Günter Last

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

In this paper, we revisit the original ideas of Stein and propose an estimator of the intensity parameter of a homogeneous Poisson point process defined in $\R^d$ and observed in a bounded window. The procedure is based on a new general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Marianne Clausel , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jérôme Lelong