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This manuscript makes two contributions to the field of change-point detection. In a generalchange-point setting, we provide a generic algorithm for aggregating local homogeneity testsinto an estimator of change-points in a time series.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-09 Emmanuel Pilliat , Alexandra Carpentier , Nicolas Verzelen

Models of discrete-valued outcomes are easily misspecified if the data exhibit zero-inflation, overdispersion or contamination. Without additional knowledge about the existence and nature of this misspecification, model inference and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Jeremias Knoblauch , Lara Vomfell

Modeling real processes often results in several suitable models. In order to be able to distinguish, or discriminate, which model best represents a phenomenon, one is interested, e.g., in so-called T-optimal designs. These consist of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 David Mogalle , Philipp Seufert , Jan Schwientek , Michael Bortz , Karl-Heinz Küfer

The Bayesian methods for linear inverse problems is studied using hierarchical Gaussian models. The problems are considered with different discretizations, and we analyze the phenomena which appear when the discretization becomes finer. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-14 Tapio Helin , Matti Lassas

This paper gives a replica analysis for the minimum mean square error (MSE) of a massive multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) system by using Bayesian inference. The Bayes-optimal estimator is adopted to estimate the data symbols and the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Chao-Kai Wen , Yongpeng Wu , Kai-Kit Wong , Robert Schober , Pangan Ting

We consider the additive version of the matrix denoising problem, where a random symmetric matrix $S$ of size $n$ has to be inferred from the observation of $Y=S+Z$, with $Z$ an independent random matrix modeling a noise. For prior…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-10-25 Guilhem Semerjian

We consider the problem of noisy Bayesian active learning, where we are given a finite set of functions $\mathcal{H}$, a sample space $\mathcal{X}$, and a label set $\mathcal{L}$. One of the functions in $\mathcal{H}$ assigns labels to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Mohammad Naghshvar , Tara Javidi , Kamalika Chaudhuri

What happens to the optimal interpretation of noisy data when there exists more than one equally plausible interpretation of the data? In a Bayesian model-learning framework the answer depends on the prior expectations of the dynamics of…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Gurinder Singh Atwal , William Bialek

Ensembles of deep neural networks demonstrate improved performance over single models. For enhancing the diversity of ensemble members while keeping their performance, particle-based inference methods offer a promising approach from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Shingo Yashima , Teppei Suzuki , Kohta Ishikawa , Ikuro Sato , Rei Kawakami

We consider penalized regression models under a unified framework where the particular method is determined by the form of the penalty term. We propose a fully Bayesian approach that incorporates both sparse and dense settings and show how…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones

Divergence is not only an important mathematical concept in information theory, but also applied to machine learning problems such as low-dimensional embedding, manifold learning, clustering, classification, and anomaly detection. We…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-22 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wong

For random combinatorial optimization problems, there has been much progress in establishing laws of large numbers and computing limiting constants for the optimal value of various problems. However, there has not been as much success in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Sky Cao

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

Effective and accurate model selection is an important problem in modern data analysis. One of the major challenges is the computational burden required to handle large data sets that cannot be stored or processed on one machine. Another…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Michael Minyi Zhang , Henry Lam , Lizhen Lin

The problem of differentiating a function with bounded second derivative in the presence of bounded measurement noise is considered in both continuous-time and sampled-data settings. Fundamental performance limitations of causal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-28 Richard Seeber , Hernan Haimovich

A novel regularizer of the PARAFAC decomposition factors capturing the tensor's rank is proposed in this paper, as the key enabler for completion of three-way data arrays with missing entries. Set in a Bayesian framework, the tensor…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-01 Juan Andres Bazerque , Gonzalo Mateos , Georgios B. Giannakis

This paper addresses the integration of additional information sources into a Bayesian optimization framework while ensuring that safety constraints are satisfied. The interdependencies between these information sources are modeled using an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Jannis O. Luebsen , Annika Eichler

We study the problem of estimating the mode and maximum of an unknown regression function in the presence of noise. We adopt the Bayesian approach by using tensor-product B-splines and endowing the coefficients with Gaussian priors. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-16 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

The study proposes a new decision theoretic sampling plan (DSP) for Type-I and Type-I hybrid censored samples when the lifetimes of individual items are exponentially distributed with a scale parameter. The DSP is based on an estimator of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-03 Deepak Prajapati , Sharmistha Mitra , Debasis Kundu

Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular technique for facilitating valid predictive inference across a spectrum of machine learning models, under minimal assumption of exchangeability. Recently, Hoff (2023) showed that full conformal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Pankaj Bhagwat , Linglong Kong , Bei Jiang