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Scenario generation is a fundamental and crucial tool for decision-making in power systems with high-penetration renewables. Based on big historical data, a novel federated deep generative learning framework, called Fed-LSGAN, is proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Yang Li , Jiazheng Li , Yi Wang

We develop and evaluate tolerance interval methods for dynamic treatment regimes (DTRs) that can provide more detailed prognostic information to patients who will follow an estimated optimal regime. Although the problem of constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-26 Daniel J. Lizotte , Arezoo Tahmasebi

Estimating and detecting faults is crucial in ensuring safe and efficient automated systems. In the presence of disturbances, noise or varying system dynamics, such estimation is even more challenging. To address this challenge, this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Chris van der Ploeg , Emilia Silvas , Nathan van de Wouw , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

In the field of statistical learning and data analysis, estimating precision matrices (i.e., the inverse of covariance matrices) is a critical task, particularly for understanding dependency structures among variables. However, traditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Zhongfeng Qin , Hao Xu , Wenhao Cui , Wan Tian

Dynamic contingency screening is a challenging task in dynamic security assessment, when traditional numerical approaches are computationally intensive and often not able to repeatedly solve full AC power flow for all possible contingencies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Quan Tran , Suresh S. Muknahallipatna , Dongliang Duan , Nga Nguyen

This work considers the problem of calculating an interval-valued state estimate for a nonlinear system subject to bounded inputs and measurement errors. Such state estimators are often called interval observers. Interval observers can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Stuart M. Harwood , Paul I. Barton

Applying machine learning methods to forecast stock prices has been one of the research topics of interest in recent years. Almost few studies have been reported based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) in this area, but their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-21 Fateme Shahabi Nejad , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

This paper reviews two main types of prediction interval methods under a parametric framework. First, we describe methods based on an (approximate) pivotal quantity. Examples include the plug-in, pivotal, and calibration methods. Then we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Qinglong Tian , Daniel J. Nordman , William Q. Meeker

Accurate and reliable energy time series prediction is of great significance for power generation planning and allocation. At present, deep learning time series prediction has become the mainstream method. However, the multi-scale time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Wei Li , Zixin Wang , Qizheng Sun , Qixiang Gao , Fenglei Yang

This paper proposes a method for generating typical scenarios based on system-level macroscopic characteristics of power system and considering its stability properties. First, considering uncertainties such as renewable energy generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Tao Li , Chen Shen

Short-term industrial enterprises power system forecasting is an important issue for both load control and machine protection. Scientists focus on load forecasting but ignore other valuable electric-meters which should provide guidance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Xiaoqiao Chen

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

Although deep learning has achieved impressive advances in transient stability assessment of power systems, the insufficient and imbalanced samples still trap the training effect of the data-driven methods. This paper proposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Gengshi Han , Shunyu Liu , Kaixuan Chen , Na Yu , Zunlei Feng , Mingli Song

This paper proposes a novel robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems affected by model uncertainty described by interval matrices. The key feature of the proposed method is a bound on the uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

The growing importance of intraday electricity trading in Europe calls for improved price forecasting and tailored decision-support tools. In this paper, we propose a novel generative neural network model to generate probabilistic path…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Jieyu Chen , Sebastian Lerch , Melanie Schienle , Tomasz Serafin , Rafał Weron

We present a general, efficient technique for providing contextual predictions that are "multivalid" in various senses, against an online sequence of adversarially chosen examples $(x,y)$. This means that the resulting estimates correctly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Varun Gupta , Christopher Jung , Georgy Noarov , Mallesh M. Pai , Aaron Roth

Integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) technology has been explored as a potential advancement for future wireless networks, striving to effectively use spectral resources for both communication and sensing. The integration of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-25 Alice Faisal , Ibrahim Al-Nahhal , Kyesan Lee , Octavia A. Dobre , Hyundong Shin

Scenario generation is an important step in the operation and planning of power systems with high renewable penetrations. In this work, we proposed a data-driven approach for scenario generation using generative adversarial networks, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Yize Chen , Yishen Wang , Daniel Kirschen , Baosen Zhang

Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu

A spatial point process can be characterized by an intensity function which predicts the number of events that occur across space. In this paper, we develop a method to infer predictive intensity intervals by learning a spatial model using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-06 Muhammad Osama , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica