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Bayesian inverse problems arise in various scientific and engineering domains, and solving them can be computationally demanding. This is especially the case for problems governed by partial differential equations, where the repeated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Juntao Yang , Jeff Adie , Simon See , Adriano Gualandi , Gianmarco Mengaldo

The multilevel Monte Carlo method is applied to an academic example in the field of electromagnetism. The method exhibits a reduced variance by assigning the samples to multiple models with a varying spatial resolution. For the given…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Armin Galetzka , Zeger Bontinck , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods often rely on a preprocessing phase consisting of standard Monte Carlo sampling to estimate correlation coefficients between models of different fidelity to determine the weights and number of samples for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-06-29 Todd A. Oliver , Christopher S. Simmons , Robert D. Moser

In this paper, we consider the implementation of multi-level Monte Carlo method to a stochastic optimal control problem with log-normal coefficients and its surrogate model problem. From the perspective of two optimization problems, i.e.,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Qi Sun , Ju Ming

Quantification and minimization of uncertainty is an important task in the design of electromagnetic devices, which comes with high computational effort. We propose a hybrid approach combining the reliability and accuracy of a Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps

The embedded ensemble propagation approach introduced in [49] has been demonstrated to be a powerful means of reducing the computational cost of sampling-based uncertainty quantification methods, particularly on emerging computational…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-08 Marta D'Elia , Eric Phipps , Ahmad Rushdi , Mohamed Ebeida

The paper addresses Bayesian inferences in inverse problems with uncertainty quantification involving a computationally expensive forward map associated with solving a partial differential equations. To mitigate the computational cost, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-18 A. Galaviz , J. A. Christen , A. Capella

Numerical simulations in climate, chemistry, or astrophysics are computationally too expensive for uncertainty quantification or parameter-exploration at high-resolution. Reduced-order or surrogate models are multiple orders of magnitude…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Björn Lütjens , Catherine H. Crawford , Campbell D Watson , Christopher Hill , Dava Newman

This article proposes a weighted-variational model as an approximated surrogate model to lessen numerical complexity and lower the execution times of brittle fracture simulations. Consequently, Monte Carlo studies of brittle fractures…

Materials Science · Physics 2024-03-04 Luis Blanco-Cocom , Marcos A. Capistrán , Jaroslaw Knap , J. Andrés Christen

Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

Hybrid methods for simulating rarefied gas flows reduce computational cost by coupling a particle-based model, typically the direct simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method, to a continuum-based solver, i.e. a computational fluid dynamics (CFD)…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-28 Arshad Kamal , Arun K. Chinnappan , James R. Kermode , Duncan A. Lockerby

Vertical equilibrium (VE) models have been introduced as computationally efficient alternatives to traditional mass and momentum balance equations for fluid flow in porous media. Since VE models are only accurate in regions where phase…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-21 Ivan Buntic , Bernd Flemisch

Monte Carlo simulations of quantum field theories on a lattice become increasingly expensive as the continuum limit is approached since the cost per independent sample grows with a high power of the inverse lattice spacing. Simulations on…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2021-01-04 Karl Jansen , Eike Hermann Müller , Robert Scheichl

We introduce a method to construct a stochastic surrogate model from the results of dimensionality reduction in forward uncertainty quantification. The hypothesis is that the high-dimensional input augmented by the output of a computational…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Jungho Kim , Sang-ri Yi , Ziqi Wang

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

In this paper we present an algorithm for yield estimation and optimization exploiting Hessian based optimization methods, an adaptive Monte Carlo (MC) strategy, polynomial surrogates and several error indicators. Yield estimation is used…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Niklas Georg , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo methods leverage low-fidelity and surrogate models for variance reduction to make tractable uncertainty quantification even when numerically simulating the physical systems of interest with high-fidelity models is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Ionut-Gabriel Farcas , Benjamin Peherstorfer , Tobias Neckel , Frank Jenko , Hans-Joachim Bungartz

We propose a high-order adaptive numerical solver for the semilinear elliptic boundary value problem modelling magnetic plasma equilibrium in axisymmetric confinement devices. In the fixed boundary case, the equation is posed on curved…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-05-28 Tonatiuh Sánchez-Vizuet , Manuel E. Solano , Antoine J. Cerfon

In this paper we address the problem of the prohibitively large computational cost of existing Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for large--scale applications with high dimensional parameter spaces, e.g. in uncertainty quantification in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-11 T. J. Dodwell , C. Ketelsen , R. Scheichl , A. L. Teckentrup

Estimation of patient-specific model parameters is important for personalized modeling, although sparse and noisy clinical data can introduce significant uncertainty in the estimated parameter values. This importance source of uncertainty,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-04 Jwala Dhamala , John L. Sapp , B. Milan Horácek , Linwei Wang