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Recently, graph neural networks (GNNs) have proved to be suitable in tasks on unstructured data. Particularly in tasks as community detection, node classification, and link prediction. However, most GNN models still operate with static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Darwin Saire Pilco , Adín Ramírez Rivera

We study a recent class of models which uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to improve forecasting in multivariate time series. The core assumption behind these models is that there is a latent graph between the time series (nodes) that…

Many tasks in graph machine learning, such as link prediction and node classification, are typically solved by using representation learning, in which each node or edge in the network is encoded via an embedding. Though there exists a lot…

The earth system is exceedingly complex and often chaotic in nature, making prediction incredibly challenging: we cannot expect to make perfect predictions all of the time. Instead, we look for specific states of the system that lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Randal J. Barnes

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have excelled in various graph learning tasks, particularly node classification. However, their performance is often hampered by noisy measurements in real-world graphs, which can corrupt critical patterns in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Shuyi Chen , Kaize Ding , Shixiang Zhu

In the current context of accelerated globalization and digitalization, the complexity and uncertainty of financial markets are increasing, and the identification and prevention of economic risks have become a key link in maintaining the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-20 Xin Zhang , Zhen Xu , Yue Liu , Mengfang Sun , Tong Zhou , Wenying Sun

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have emerged as a powerful tool for effectively mining and learning from graph-structured data, with applications spanning numerous domains. However, most research focuses on static graphs, neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Yanping Zheng , Lu Yi , Zhewei Wei

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently become increasingly popular due to their ability to learn complex systems of relations or interactions arising in a broad spectrum of problems ranging from biology and particle physics to social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Emanuele Rossi , Ben Chamberlain , Fabrizio Frasca , Davide Eynard , Federico Monti , Michael Bronstein

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling relational data but face significant challenges in high-stakes domains due to unquantified uncertainty. Conformal prediction (CP) offers statistical coverage guarantees, but existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Zheng Zhang , Jie Bao , Zhixin Zhou , Nicolo Colombo , Lixin Cheng , Rui Luo

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

Selective classification techniques (also known as reject option) have not yet been considered in the context of deep neural networks (DNNs). These techniques can potentially significantly improve DNNs prediction performance by trading-off…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-02 Yonatan Geifman , Ran El-Yaniv

Spatial-temporal graph modeling is an important task to analyze the spatial relations and temporal trends of components in a system. Existing approaches mostly capture the spatial dependency on a fixed graph structure, assuming that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

Leveraging network information for predictive modeling has become widespread in many domains. Within the realm of referral and targeted marketing, influencer detection stands out as an area that could greatly benefit from the incorporation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Elena Tiukhova , Emiliano Penaloza , María Óskarsdóttir , Bart Baesens , Monique Snoeck , Cristián Bravo

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown remarkable performance on graph-structured data. However, recent empirical studies suggest that GNNs are very susceptible to distribution shift. There is still significant ambiguity about why…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Qi Zhu , Yizhu Jiao , Natalia Ponomareva , Jiawei Han , Bryan Perozzi

Link prediction is a crucial problem in graph-structured data. Due to the recent success of graph neural networks (GNNs), a variety of GNN-based models were proposed to tackle the link prediction task. Specifically, GNNs leverage the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Kaiwen Dong , Yijun Tian , Zhichun Guo , Yang Yang , Nitesh V. Chawla

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are powerful machine learning prediction models on graph-structured data. However, GNNs lack rigorous uncertainty estimates, limiting their reliable deployment in settings where the cost of errors is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Kexin Huang , Ying Jin , Emmanuel Candès , Jure Leskovec

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are able to achieve high classification accuracy on many important real world datasets, but provide no rigorous notion of predictive uncertainty. Quantifying the confidence of GNN models is difficult due to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-10 Jase Clarkson

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have recently been demonstrated to perform well on a variety of network-based tasks such as decentralized control and resource allocation, and provide computationally efficient methods for these tasks which have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Raghu Arghal , Eric Lei , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown success in learning from graph structured data containing node/edge feature information, with application to social networks, recommendation, fraud detection and knowledge graph reasoning. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Xiang Song , Runjie Ma , Jiahang Li , Muhan Zhang , David Paul Wipf