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The study of time-varying (dynamic) networks (graphs) is of fundamental importance for computer network analytics. Several methods have been proposed to detect the effect of significant structural changes in a time series of graphs. The…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-25 Peter Wills , Francois G. Meyer

Rapidly changing business environments expose companies to high levels of uncertainty. This uncertainty manifests itself in significant changes that tend to occur over the lifetime of a process and possibly affect its performance. It is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Jan Niklas Adams , Sebastiaan J. van Zelst , Lara Quack , Kathrin Hausmann , Wil M. P. van der Aalst , Thomas Rose

In this paper we propose a new method to assist in labeling data arriving from fast running processes using anomaly detection. A result is the possibility to manually classify data arriving at a high rates to train machine learning models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Tilman Klaeger , Andre Schult , Lukas Oehm

Detecting the emergence of an abrupt change-point is a classic problem in statistics and machine learning. Kernel-based nonparametric statistics have been used for this task which enjoy fewer assumptions on the distributions than the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Shuang Li , Yao Xie , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

The problem of sequentially detecting a moving anomaly which affects different parts of a sensor network with time is studied. Each network sensor is characterized by a non-anomalous and anomalous distribution, governing the generation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Georgios Rovatsos , George V. Moustakides , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In this work we introduce a novel adaptive anomaly detection framework specifically designed for monitoring sequential random finite set (RFS) observations. Our approach effectively distinguishes between In-Control data (normal) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Konstantinos Bourazas , Savvas Papaioannou , Panayiotis Kolios

The ability to detect and adapt to changes in data distributions is crucial to maintain the accuracy and reliability of machine learning models. Detection is generally approached by observing the drift of model performance from a global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Flavio Giobergia , Eliana Pastor , Luca de Alfaro , Elena Baralis

Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Given a stationary point process, an intensity burst is defined as a short time period during which the number of counts is larger than the typical count rate. It might signal a local non-stationarity or the presence of an external…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-04 Marcello Rambaldi , Vladimir Filimonov , Fabrizio Lillo

Change-points in time series data are usually defined as the time instants at which changes in their properties occur. Detecting change-points is critical in a number of applications as diverse as detecting credit card and insurance frauds,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 André Ferrari , Cédric Richard , Anthony Bourrier , Ikram Bouchikhi

We consider a model for random hypergraphs with identifiability, an analogue of connectedness. This model has a phase transition in the proportion of identifiable vertices when the underlying random graph becomes critical. The phase…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christina Goldschmidt

We consider the problem of event detection based upon a (typically multivariate) data stream characterizing some system. Most of the time the system is quiescent - nothing of interest is happening - but occasionally events of interest…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-03-16 Werner Stuetzle , Donald B. Percival , Caren Marzban

We study the problem of estimating locations in time at which the level of technology in an economy changes when given a sequence of time ordered inputs and outputs. We approach the problem through the lens of nonparametric frontier…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Yining Chen , Flavio Ziegelmann

We consider the quickest change detection problem where both the parameters of pre- and post- change distributions are unknown, which prevents the use of classical simple hypothesis testing. Without additional assumptions, optimal solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Firas Jarboui , Viannet Perchet

Anomaly detection to recognize unusual events in large scale systems in a time sensitive manner is critical in many industries, eg. bank fraud, enterprise systems, medical alerts, etc. Large-scale systems often grow in size and complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Srishti Mishra , Tvarita Jain , Dinkar Sitaram

This paper shows that jumps in financial asset prices are often erroneously identified and are, in fact, rare events accounting for a very small proportion of the total price variation. We apply new econometric techniques to a comprehensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-12 Kim Christensen , Roel C. A. Oomen , Mark Podolskij

From personalised medicine to targeted advertising, it is an inherent task to provide a sequence of decisions with historical covariates and outcome data. This requires understanding of both the dynamics and heterogeneity of treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

Nonstationarity of the event rate is a persistent problem in modeling time series of events, such as neuronal spike trains. Motivated by a variety of patterns in neurophysiological spike train recordings, we define a general class of…

We study multiple change point localization under bandit feedback. An unknown piecewise-constant function on a compact interval can be queried sequentially at adaptively chosen inputs, and each query returns a noisy evaluation of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Maximilian Graf , Victor Thuot