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Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms represent a suite of robust computational methodologies utilized for state estimation and parameter inference within dynamical systems, particularly in real-time or online environments where data…

We present a minimal control-based continuation algorithm designed to track branches of limit cycles in autonomous systems. The controller can be viewed as three sub-controllers: (i) a derivative feedback controller that is used to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Etienne Gourc , Romain Caron , Fabrice Silva , Christophe Vergez , Bruno Cochelin

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang

In this article we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to partially-observed stochastic processes that start from a set B0 and are stopped or killed at the first hitting time of a known set A. Such processes occur naturally…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-19 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

This paper presents a framework to perform bifurcation analysis in laboratory experiments or simulations. We employ control-based continuation to study the dynamics of a macroscopic variable of a microscopically defined model, exploring the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-02 Ilias Panagiotopoulos , Jens Starke , Jan Sieber , Wolfram Just

We review some of the latest approaches to analysing cardiac electrophysiology data using machine learning and predictive modelling. Cardiac arrhythmias, particularly atrial fibrillation, are a major global healthcare challenge. Treatment…

In this letter we propose the use of physics techniques for entropy determination on constrained parameter optimization problems. The main feature of such techniques, the construction of an unbiased walk on energy space, suggests their use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 A. R. Lima , M. Argollo de Menezes

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Mathematical models of a cellular action potential in cardiac modelling have become increasingly complex, particularly in gating kinetics which control the opening and closing of individual ion channel currents. As cardiac models advance…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 C. Houston , B. Marchand , L. Engelbert , C. D. Cantwell

The locality of solution features in cardiac electrophysiology simulations calls for adaptive methods. Due to the overhead incurred by established mesh refinement and coarsening, however, such approaches failed in accelerating the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Fatemeh Chegini , Thomas Steinke , Martin Weiser

Control-based continuation (CBC) is an experimental method that can reveal stable and unstable dynamics of physical systems. It extends the path-following principles of numerical continuation to experiments, and provides systematic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Mark Blyth , Krasimira Tsaneva-Atanasova , Lucia Marucci , Ludovic Renson

Calibrating mathematical models of biological processes is essential for achieving predictive accuracy and gaining mechanistic insight. However, this task remains challenging due to limited and noisy data, significant biological…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-04 Piotr Gwiazda , Alexey Kazarnikov , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Zuzanna Szymańska

Importance sampling of trajectories has proved a uniquely successful strategy for exploring rare dynamical behaviors of complex systems in an unbiased way. Carrying out this sampling, however, requires an ability to propose changes to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-01 Todd R. Gingrich , Phillip L. Geissler

Modern multi-core systems have a large number of design parameters, most of which are discrete-valued, and this number is likely to keep increasing as chip complexity rises. Further, the accurate evaluation of a potential design choice is…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-07-15 Neha V. Karanjkar , Madhav P. Desai

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

Stochastic systems in biology often exhibit substantial variability within and between cells. This variability, as well as having dramatic functional consequences, provides information about the underlying details of the system's behaviour.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-09 Iain G. Johnston

This EM review article focuses on parameter expansion, a simple technique introduced in the PX-EM algorithm to make EM converge faster while maintaining its simplicity and stability. The primary objective concerns the connection between…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-14 Andrew Lewandowski , Chuanhai Liu , Scott Vander Wiel

Simulations often involve the use of model parameters which are unknown or uncertain. For this reason, simulation experiments are often repeated for multiple combinations of parameter values, often iterating through parameter values lying…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-22 Jessica W. Leigh , David Bryant