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We present a new model for credit index derivatives, in the top-down approach. This model has a dynamic loss intensity process with volatility and jumps and can include counterparty risk. It handles CDS, CDO tranches, Nth-to-default and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-10 Louis Paulot

We propose a unified framework for equity and credit risk modeling, where the default time is a doubly stochastic random time with intensity driven by an underlying affine factor process. This approach allows for flexible interactions…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-19 Claudio Fontana , Juan Miguel A. Montes

Sharpe et al. proposed the idea of having an expected utility maximizer choose a probability distribution for future wealth as an input to her investment problem instead of a utility function. They developed a computer program, called The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 Phillip Monin

The problem of portfolio optimization is one of the most important issues in asset management. This paper proposes a new dynamic portfolio strategy based on the time-varying structures of MST networks in Chinese stock markets, where the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Fei Ren , Ya-Nan Lu , Sai-Ping Li , Xiong-Fei Jiang , Li-Xin Zhong , Tian Qiu

We extend the Vasi\v{c}ek loan portfolio model to a setting where liabilities fluctuate randomly and asset values may be subject to systemic jump risk. We derive the probability distribution of the percentage loss of a uniform portfolio and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-07 Luis H. R. Alvarez , Jani Sainio

In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading volume amounts when the dynamics of the risky asset returns are governed by a discrete-time approximation of the Markov-modulated geometric…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-07 Vladimir Dombrovskii , Tatyana Obyedko

The optimal strategies for a long-term static investor are studied. Given a portfolio of a stock and a bond, we derive the optimal allocation of the capitols to maximize the expected long-term growth rate of a utility function of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

The third moment variation of a financial asset return process is defined by the quadratic covariation between the return and square return processes. The skew and fat tail risk of an underlying asset can be hedged using a third moment…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-15 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

This work discusses the benefits of constrained portfolio turnover strategies for small to medium-sized portfolios. We propose a dynamic multi-period model that aims to minimize transaction costs and maximize terminal wealth levels whilst…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-26 Nakul Upadhya , Alexandre Granzer-Guay

We study a class of classification problems best exemplified by the \emph{bank loan} problem, where a lender decides whether or not to issue a loan. The lender only observes whether a customer will repay a loan if the loan is issued to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Aldo Pacchiano , Shaun Singh , Edward Chou , Alexander C. Berg , Jakob Foerster

The energy and material processing industries are traditionally characterized by very large-scale physical capital that is custom-built with long lead times and long lifetimes. However, recent technological advancement in low-cost…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-31 Eric Dahlgren , Tim Leung

Dual risk models are popular for modeling a venture capital or high tech company, for which the running cost is deterministic and the profits arrive stochastically over time. Most of the existing literature on dual risk models concentrated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-14 Arash Fahim , Lingjiong Zhu

This paper considers the portfolio management problem of optimal investment, consumption and life insurance. We are concerned with time inconsistency of optimal strategies. Natural assumptions, like different discount rates for consumption…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-25 Ivar Ekeland , Oumar Mbodji , Traian A. Pirvu

We introduce a novel machine learning model for credit risk by combining tree-boosting with a latent spatio-temporal Gaussian process model accounting for frailty correlation. This allows for modeling non-linearities and interactions among…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-19 Pascal Kündig , Fabio Sigrist

We consider the life-cycle optimal portfolio choice problem faced by an agent receiving labor income and allocating her wealth to risky assets and a riskless bond subject to a borrowing constraint. In this paper, to reflect a realistic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Boualem Djehiche , Fausto Gozzi , Giovanni Zanco , Margherita Zanella

We study time-consistency questions for processes of monetary risk measures that depend on bounded discrete-time processes describing the evolution of financial values. The time horizon can be finite or infinite. We call a process of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Patrick Cheridito , Freddy Delbaen , Michael Kupper

The stochastic multi-armed bandit has provided a framework for studying decision-making in unknown environments. We propose a variant of the stochastic multi-armed bandit where the rewards are sampled from a stochastic linear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Jonathan Gornet , Mehdi Hosseinzadeh , Bruno Sinopoli

We introduce the general arbitrage-free valuation framework for counterparty risk adjustments in presence of bilateral default risk, including default of the investor. We illustrate the symmetry in the valuation and show that the adjustment…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-19 Damiano Brigo , Agostino Capponi

We present an approach to market-consistent multi-period valuation of insurance liability cash flows based on a two-stage valuation procedure. First, a portfolio of traded financial instrument aimed at replicating the liability cash flow is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-15 Hampus Engsner , Mathias Lindholm , Filip Lindskog

A model among many may only be best under certain states of the world. Switching from a model to another can also be costly. Finding a procedure to dynamically choose a model in these circumstances requires to solve a complex estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Francesco Cordoni , Alessio Sancetta