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This paper proposes a hybrid framework combining LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks with LightGBM and CatBoost for stock price prediction. The framework processes time-series financial data and evaluates performance using seven models:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Chang Yu , Fang Liu , Jie Zhu , Shaobo Guo , Yifan Gao , Zhongheng Yang , Meiwei Liu , Qianwen Xing

This study investigates the performance of machine learning models in forecasting electricity Day-Ahead Market (DAM) prices using short historical training windows, with a focus on detecting seasonal trends and price spikes. We evaluate…

In this note, we compare Bitcoin trading performance using two machine learning models-Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)-and two technical analysis-based strategies: Exponential Moving Average…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 José Ángel Islas Anguiano , Andrés García-Medina

Accurate load forecasting is essential to the operation of modern electric power systems. Given the sensitivity of electricity demand to weather variability and temporal dynamics, capturing non-linear patterns is essential for long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Abhiram Bhupatiraju , Sung Bum Ahn

Accurately forecasting electricity price volatility is crucial for effective risk management and decision-making. Traditional forecasting models often fall short in capturing the complex, non-linear dynamics of electricity markets,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Haochen Xue , Chenghao Liu , Chong Zhang , Yuxuan Chen , Angxiao Zong , Zhaodong Wu , Yulong Li , Jiayi Liu , Kaiyu Liang , Zhixiang Lu , Ruobing Li , Jionglong Su

Predicting stock price movements during Earnings Announcements (EAs) is a significant challenge due to market noise and high-impact price discontinuities. In this study, we evaluate whether pre-announcement news sentiment, firm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Manuel Noseda , Nathan Soldati , Marco Paina

This study investigates the application of the Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) model for both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting of Bitcoin realized volatility. Utilizing a comprehensive set of 69 predictors -- encompassing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Grzegorz Dudek , Mateusz Kasprzyk , Paweł Pełka

Navigating the intricate landscape of financial markets requires adept forecasting of stock price movements. This paper delves into the potential of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for predicting stock dynamics, with a focus on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-29 Nisarg Patel , Harmit Shah , Kishan Mewada

We investigated the use of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) combined with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM), feature engineering and machine learning algorithms to optimize trading decisions. We used five, two, and one year samples of hourly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-27 Gabriel R. Palma , Mariusz Skoczeń , Phil Maguire

In the pharmaceutical industry, where it is common to generate many QSAR models with large numbers of molecules and descriptors, the best QSAR methods are those that can generate the most accurate predictions but that are also insensitive…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Robert P. Sheridan , Andy Liaw , Matthew Tudor

This study proposes a novel hybrid deep learning framework that integrates a Large Language Model (LLM) with a Transformer architecture for stock price forecasting. The research addresses a critical theoretical gap in existing approaches…

One of the major advantages in using Deep Learning for Finance is to embed a large collection of information into investment decisions. A way to do that is by means of compression, that lead us to consider a smaller feature space. Several…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Luigi Troiano , Elena Mejuto , Pravesh Kriplani

In this paper, company investment value evaluation models are established based on comprehensive company information. After data mining and extracting a set of 436 feature parameters, an optimal subset of features is obtained by dimension…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-06 Junfeng Hu , Xiaosa Li , Yuru Xu , Shaowu Wu , Bin Zheng

Applying machine learning methods to forecast stock prices has been one of the research topics of interest in recent years. Almost few studies have been reported based on generative adversarial networks (GANs) in this area, but their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-21 Fateme Shahabi Nejad , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

The representation of feature space is a crucial environment where data points get vectorized and embedded for subsequent modeling. Thus the efficacy of machine learning (ML) algorithms is closely related to the quality of feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-12 Xinhao Zhang , Jinghan Zhang , Banafsheh Rekabdar , Yuanchun Zhou , Pengfei Wang , Kunpeng Liu

This research addresses the critical lack of comprehensive studies on feature scaling by systematically evaluating 12 scaling techniques - including several less common transformations - across 14 different Machine Learning algorithms and…

Myocardial Infarction is a main cause of mortality globally, and accurate risk prediction is crucial for improving patient outcomes. Machine Learning techniques have shown promise in identifying high-risk patients and predicting outcomes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Ana Letícia Garcez Vicente , Roseval Donisete Malaquias Junior , Roseli A. F. Romero

Gradient boosting for decision tree algorithms are increasingly used in actuarial applications as they show superior predictive performance over traditional generalised linear models. Many enhancements to the first gradient boosting machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Dominik Chevalier , Marie-Pier Côté

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are hugely popular for solving tabular data problems. However, practitioners are not only interested in point predictions, but also in probabilistic predictions in order to quantify the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Olivier Sprangers , Sebastian Schelter , Maarten de Rijke

The increasing scale and complexity of global supply chains have led to new challenges spanning various fields, such as supply chain disruptions due to long waiting lines at the ports, material shortages, and inflation. Coupled with the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Haibo Wang , Lutfu S. Sua , Bahram Alidaee
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