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We consider the predictive problem of supervised ranking, where the task is to rank sets of candidate items returned in response to queries. Although there exist statistical procedures that come with guarantees of consistency in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 John C. Duchi , Lester Mackey , Michael I. Jordan

Probabilistic programming methods have revolutionised Bayesian inference, making it easier than ever for practitioners to perform Markov-chain-Monte-Carlo sampling from non-conjugate posterior distributions. Here we focus on Stan, arguably…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-10 Clemens Pichler , Jack Jewson , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco

An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-25 Henrik Nyman , Jie Xiong , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

A stochastic model for behavioral changes by imitative pair interactions of individuals is developed. `Microscopic' assumptions on the specific form of the imitative processes lead to a stochastic version of the game dynamical equations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dirk Helbing

Ranking a vector of alternatives on the basis of a series of paired comparisons is a relevant topic in many instances. A popular example is ranking contestants in sport tournaments. To this purpose, paired comparison models such as the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Guido Masarotto , Cristiano Varin

Traffic forecasting is a challenging spatio-temporal modeling task and a critical component of urban transportation management. Current studies mainly focus on deterministic predictions, with limited considerations on the uncertainty and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Weijiang Xiong , Robert Fonod , Nikolas Geroliminis

Sampling without replacement is a natural online rounding strategy for converting fractional bipartite matching into an integral one. In Online Bipartite Matching, we can use the Balance algorithm to fractionally match each online vertex,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Zhiyi Huang , Chui Shan Lee , Jianqiao Lu , Xinkai Shu

Factorizing low-rank matrices has many applications in machine learning and statistics. For probabilistic models in the Bayes optimal setting, a general expression for the mutual information has been proposed using heuristic statistical…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-24 Jean Barbier , Mohamad Dia , Nicolas Macris , Florent Krzakala , Thibault Lesieur , Lenka Zdeborova

In inference problems involving a multi-dimensional parameter $\theta$, it is often natural to consider decision rules that have a risk which is invariant under some group $G$ of permutations of $\theta$. We show that this implies that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 Erik van Zwet

Order statistics theory is applied in this paper to probabilistic robust control theory to compute the minimum sample size needed to come up with a reliable estimate of an uncertain quantity under continuity assumption of the related…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-13 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou

We consider a method of pairwise variations for smooth optimization problems, which involve polyhedral constraints. It consists in making steps with respect to the difference of two selected extreme points of the feasible set together with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-12 I. V. Konnov

We generalize Taylor's theorem by introducing a stochastic formulation based on an underlying Poisson point process model. We utilize this approach to propose a novel non-linear regression framework and perform statistical inference of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-07 Weichao Wu , Athanasios C. Micheas

In this work, we leverage a generative data model considering comparison noise to develop a fast, precise, and informative ranking algorithm from pairwise comparisons that produces a measure of confidence on each comparison. The problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Filipa Valdeira , Cláudia Soares

Parity-time (PT) symmetric quantum theory can broaden the scope of quantum dynamics beyond unitary evolution which may lead to numerous counter-intuitive phenomena, including single-shot discrimination of non-orthogonal states, faster…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-20 Leela Ganesh Chandra Lakkaraju , Shiladitya Mal , Aditi Sen De

Evaluating generative models is challenging because standard metrics often fail to reflect human preferences. Human evaluations are more reliable but costly and noisy, as participants vary in expertise, attention, and diligence. Pairwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Till Aczel , Lucas Theis , Roger Wattenhofer

This paper studies decision-making and statistical inference for two-sided matching markets via matrix completion. In contrast to the independent sampling assumed in classical matrix completion literature, the observed entries, which arise…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Congyuan Duan , Wanteng Ma , Dong Xia , Kan Xu

The standard paradigm for confirmatory clinical trials is to compare experimental treatments with a control, for example the standard of care or a placebo. However, it is not always the case that a suitable control exists. Efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Thomas Burnett , Thomas Jaki

We present a new connection between self-adjusting binary search trees (BSTs) and heaps, two fundamental, extensively studied, and practically relevant families of data structures. Roughly speaking, we map an arbitrary heap algorithm within…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-01-01 László Kozma , Thatchaphol Saranurak

Pairwise comparisons are a well-known method for modelling of the subjective preferences of a decision maker. A popular implementation of the method is based on solving an eigenvalue problem for M - the matrix of pairwise comparisons. This…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-09-25 Konrad Kułakowski

Beliefs inform the behavior of forward-thinking agents in complex environments. Recently, sequential Bayesian inference has emerged as a mechanism to study belief formation among agents adapting to dynamical conditions. However, we lack…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-11-08 Jordan T Kemp , Max-Olivier Hongler , Olivier Gallay