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It is well-known that the posterior density of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian likelihood is also Gaussian, hence completely described by its covariance and expectation. Sampling from a Gaussian posterior may be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

We employ the variational formulation and the Euler-Lagrange equations to study the steady-state error in linear non-causal estimators (smoothers). We give a complete description of the steady-state error for inputs that are polynomial in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-02-04 D. Ezri , B. Z. Bobrovsky , Z. Schuss

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

The analysis of high-dimensional dynamical systems generally requires the integration of simulation data with experimental measurements. Experimental data often has substantial amounts of measurement noise that compromises the ability to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Samuel Rudy , Steven Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

We show how to extract the implicit copula of a response vector from a Bayesian regularized regression smoother with Gaussian disturbances. The copula can be used to compare smoothers that employ different shrinkage priors and function…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-30 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith

This work addresses the problem of state estimation in multivariable dynamic systems with quantized outputs, a common scenario in applications involving low-resolution sensors or communication constraints. A novel method is proposed to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-10 Angel L. Cedeño , Rodrigo A. González , Boris I. Godoy , Juan C. Agüero

Practical implementations of Gaussian smoothing algorithms have received a great deal of attention in the last 60 years. However, almost all work focuses on estimating complete time series (''fixed-interval smoothing'', $\mathcal{O}(K)$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-24 Nicholas Krämer

Sparsity constraints on the control inputs of a linear dynamical system naturally arise in several practical applications such as networked control, computer vision, seismic signal processing, and cyber-physical systems. In this work, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-11 Rupam Kalyan Chakraborty , Geethu Joseph , Chandra R. Murthy

We investigate the numerical approximation of integrals over $\mathbb{R}^d$ equipped with the standard Gaussian measure $\gamma$ for integrands belonging to the Gaussian-weighted Sobolev spaces $W^\alpha_p(\mathbb{R}^d, \gamma)$ of mixed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Dinh Dũng , Van Kien Nguyen

This article is devoted to the stochastic anticipating equations with the extended stochastic integral with respect to the Gaussian processes of a special type. In the particular cases the solutions of such an equations are the well-known…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrey A Dorogovtsev

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

This paper deals with state estimation of nonlinear stochastic dynamic models. In particular, the stochastic integration rule, which provides asymptotically unbiased estimates of the moments of nonlinearly transformed Gaussian random…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-15 Jindrich Dunik , Jakub Matousek , Ondrej Straka , Erik Blasch , John Hiles , Ruixin Niu

In the paper, we develop an ensemble-based implicit sampling method for Bayesian inverse problems. For Bayesian inference, the iterative ensemble smoother (IES) and implicit sampling are integrated to obtain importance ensemble samples,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Yuming Ba , Lijian Jiang

Sampling from nonsmooth target probability distributions is essential in various applications, including the Bayesian Lasso. We propose a splitting-based sampling algorithm for the time-implicit discretization of the probability flow for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-14 Fuqun Han , Stanley Osher , Wuchen Li

Normal priors with unknown variance (NUV) have long been known to promote sparsity and to blend well with parameter learning by expectation maximization (EM). In this paper, we advocate this approach for linear state space models for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-10 Hans-Andrea Loeliger , Lukas Bruderer , Hampus Malmberg , Federico Wadehn , Nour Zalmai

This thesis is mainly concerned with state-space approaches for solving deep (temporal) Gaussian process (DGP) regression problems. More specifically, we represent DGPs as hierarchically composed systems of stochastic differential equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-25 Zheng Zhao

The density of states for a particle moving in a random potential with a Gaussian correlator is calculated exactly using the functional integral technique. It is achieved by expressing the functional degrees of freedom in terms of the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 O. K. Vorov , A. V. Vagov

We present an adaptive smoother for linear state-space models with unknown process and measurement noise covariances. The proposed method utilizes the variational Bayes technique to perform approximate inference. The resulting smoother is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Tohid Ardeshiri , Emre Özkan , Umut Orguner , Fredrik Gustafsson

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön