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We introduce and study a model of long-run convention formation for rare interactions. Players in this model form beliefs by observing a recency-weighted sample of past interactions, to which they noisily best respond. We propose a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-07 Alexander Aurell , Gustav Karreskog

Discrete stability extends the classical notion of stability to random elements in discrete spaces by defining a scaling operation in a randomised way: an integer is transformed into the corresponding binomial distribution. Similarly…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

For a reversible and ergodic Markov chain $\{X_n,n\geq0\}$ with invariant distribution $\pi$, we show that a valid confidence interval for $\pi(h)$ can be constructed whenever the asymptotic variance $\sigma^2_P(h)$ is finite and positive.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Yves F. Atchadé

An aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space converges to its stationary distribution. When convergence to equilibrium is measured by total variation distance, there exists an optimal coupling and a maximal coupling…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-01 Agnes Coquio

We study the problem of sampling from a distribution $\target$ using the Langevin Monte Carlo algorithm and provide rate of convergences for this algorithm in terms of Wasserstein distance of order $2$. Our result holds as long as the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-04 Thomas Bonis

The convergence of a sequence of point processes with dependent points, defined by a symmetric function of iid high-dimensional random vectors, to a Poisson random measure is proved. This also implies the convergence of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Johannes Heiny , Carolin Kleemann

This paper is a continuation of work arXiv:2006.09583 devoted to establishment of the convergence rate in the strong invariance principle for cumulative processes. We establish optimal rate of convergence for the case when regeneration…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Elena Bashtova , Alexey Shashkin

In this article, we propose a Lyapunov stability approach to analyze the convergence of the density operator of a quantum system. In analog to the classical probability measure for Markovian processes, we show that the set of invariant…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Muhammad F. Emzir , Matthew J. Woolley , Ian R. Petersen

This paper proposes a novel method to estimate the rate parameter of the Poisson distribution. The proposed method employs the Cramer-von Mises type optimization which has been commonly used in estimating parameters of continuous…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-22 Jiwoong Kim

This paper is concerned with the Stein's method associated with a (possibly) asymmetric $\alpha$-stable distribution $Z$, in dimension one. More precisely, its goal is twofold. In the first part, we exhibit a genuine bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-12 Peng Chen , Ivan Nourdin , Lihu Xu

We describe a general strategy for sampling configurations from a given distribution, NOT based on the standard Metropolis (Markov chain) strategy. It uses the fact that nontrivial problems in statistical physics are high dimensional and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 P. Grassberger

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

It is known that the distribution of nonreversible Markov processes breaking the detailed balance condition converges faster to the stationary distribution compared to reversible processes having the same stationary distribution. This is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-30 Francesco Coghi , Raphael Chetrite , Hugo Touchette

Tempered stable distributions are frequently used in financial applications (e.g., for option pricing) in which the tails of stable distributions would be too heavy. Given the non-explicit form of the probability density function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Till Massing

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

The Coupon Collector Problem (CCP) is a well-known combinatorial problem that seeks to estimate the number of random draws required to complete a collection of $n$ distinct coupon types. Various generalizations of this problem have been…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hadas Abraham , Ido Feldman , Eitan Yaakobi

This work focuses on stability of regime-switching diffusions consisting of continuous and discrete components, in which the discrete component switches in a countably infinite set and its switching rates at current time depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Dang H. Nguyen , George Yin

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We present a unified technique for sequential estimation of convex divergences between distributions, including integral probability metrics like the kernel maximum mean discrepancy, $\varphi$-divergences like the Kullback-Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Tudor Manole , Aaditya Ramdas

Stein's method provides a way of bounding the distance of a probability distribution to a target distribution $\mu$. Here we develop Stein's method for the class of discrete Gibbs measures with a density $e^V$, where $V$ is the energy…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Peter Eichelsbacher , Gesine Reinert
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