Related papers: Asymptotics of survival probabilities and lower ta…
We consider the gap probability for the Pearcey and Airy processes; we set up a Riemann--Hilbert approach (different from the standard one) whereby the asymptotic analysis for large gap/large time of the Pearcey process is shown to…
This paper provides a first attempt to incorporate the massive discontinuous changes in the spatio-temporal dynamics of epidemics. Namely, we propose an extended class of epidemic models, governed by coupled stochastic semilinear partial…
We formulate the insurance risk process in a general Levy process setting, and give general theorems for the ruin probability and the asymptotic distribution of the overshoot of the process above a high level, when the process drifts to…
We consider a class of L\'evy-type processes on which spectral analysis technics can be made to produce optimal results, in particular for the decay rate of their survival probability and for the spectral gap of their ground state…
We investigate some recursive procedures based on an exact or ``approximate'' Euler scheme with decreasing step in vue to computation of invariant measures of solutions to S.D.E. driven by a L\'evy process. Our results are valid for a large…
We construct the law of L\'{e}vy processes conditioned to stay positive under general hypotheses. We obtain a Williams type path decomposition at the minimum of these processes. This result is then applied to prove the weak convergence of…
The challenges posed by complex stochastic models used in computational ecology, biology and genetics have stimulated the development of approximate approaches to statistical inference. Here we focus on Synthetic Likelihood (SL), a…
We derive formulae for some ratios of the Macdonald functions, which are simpler and easier to treat than known formulae. The result gives two applications in probability theory. One is the formula for the L{\'e}vy measure of the…
The least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator is popular in location, regression, machine learning, and AI literature. Despite the empirical version of least trimmed squares (LTS) being repeatedly studied in the literature, the population…
We construct a Hunt process that can be described as an isotropic $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process reflected from the complement of a bounded open Lipschitz set. In fact, we introduce a new analytic method for concatenating Markov processes.…
Let $(L_t)_{t \geq 0}$ be a $k$-dimensional L\'evy process and $\sigma: \mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}^{d \times k}$ a continuous function such that the L\'evy-driven stochastic differential equation (SDE) $$dX_t = \sigma(X_{t-}) \, dL_t,…
In the present paper, a new and simple approach is provided for proving rigorously that for general L\'evy financial markets the minimal entropy martingale measure and the Esscher martingale measure coincide. The method consists in…
In this paper, we study the speed of extinction of continuous state branching processes in subcritical L\'evy environments. More precisely, when the associated L\'evy process to the environment drifts to $-\infty$ and, under a suitable…
The classical notion of L\'evy process is generalized to one that takes as its values probabilities on a first order model equipped with a commutative semigroup. This is achieved by applying a convolution product on definable probabilities…
In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…
We investigate the application of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm for the estimation of tail probabilities of solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations evaluated at a given time, and of associated temporal averages. We…
In the present work, we consider spectrally positive L\'evy processes $(X_t,t\geq0)$ not drifting to $+\infty$ and we are interested in conditioning these processes to reach arbitrarily large heights (in the sense of the height process…
We consider the one-sided exit problem for (fractionally) integrated random walks and L\'evy processes. We prove that the rate of decrease of the non-exit probability -- the so-called survival exponent -- is universal in this class of…
We consider some special classes of L\'evy processes with no gaussian component whose L\'evy measure is of the type $\pi(dx)=e^{\gamma x}\nu(e^x-1) dx$, where $\nu$ is the density of the stable L\'evy measure and $\gamma$ is a positive…
We consider the problem of efficient estimation of the drift parameter of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process driven by a L\'{e}vy process when high-frequency observations are given. The estimator is constructed from the time-continuous…