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The win ratio is increasingly used in randomized trials due to its intuitive clinical interpretation, ability to incorporate the relative importance of composite endpoints, and its capacity for combining different types of outcomes (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Tracy Bergemann , Tim Hanson

The t-statistic is a widely-used scale-invariant statistic for testing the null hypothesis that the mean is zero. Martingale methods enable sequential testing with the t-statistic at every sample size, while controlling the probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Peter D. Grünwald , Wouter M. Koolen

Hierarchically-organized data arise naturally in many psychology and neuroscience studies. As the standard assumption of independent and identically distributed samples does not hold for such data, two important problems are to accurately…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Irene Dowding , Stefan Haufe

Continual learning aims to enable models to acquire new knowledge while retaining previously learned information. Prompt-based methods have shown remarkable performance in this domain; however, they typically rely on key-value pairing,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Haihua Luo , Xuming Ran , Zhengji Li , Huiyan Xue , Tingting Jiang , Jiangrong Shen , Tommi Kärkkäinen , Qi Xu , Fengyu Cong

Interim analyses are vital in clinical trials for early decision-making. While frequentist implications are well-established, the consequences of repeated Bayesian interim monitoring for efficacy, specifically regarding multiplicity, remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Suyu Liu , Beibei Guo , Laura Thompson , Lei Nie , Ying Yuan

Selective inference is the problem of giving valid answers to statistical questions chosen in a data-driven manner. A standard solution to selective inference is simultaneous inference, which delivers valid answers to the set of all…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Tijana Zrnic , William Fithian

The sequential multiple testing problem is considered under two generalized error metrics. Under the first one, the probability of at least $k$ mistakes, of any kind, is controlled. Under the second, the probabilities of at least $k_1$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris

Particularly in genomics, but also in other fields, it has become commonplace to undertake highly multiple Student's $t$-tests based on relatively small sample sizes. The literature on this topic is continually expanding, but the main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Peter Hall , Qiying Wang

Runtime verification encompasses several lightweight techniques for checking whether a system's current execution satisfies a given specification. We focus on runtime verification for Linear Temporal Logic (LTL). Previous work describes…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Javier Esparza , Vincent Fischer

We introduce probability estimation, a broadly applicable framework to certify randomness in a finite sequence of measurement results without assuming that these results are independent and identically distributed. Probability estimation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-11-30 Yanbao Zhang , Emanuel Knill , Peter Bierhorst

Suppose we observe a Poisson process in real time for which the intensity may take on two possible values $\lambda_0$ and $\lambda_1$. Suppose further that the priori probability of the true intensity is not given. We solve a minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Hongwei Mei

Sampling is a fundamental technique, and sampling without replacement is often desirable when duplicate samples are not beneficial. Within machine learning, sampling is useful for generating diverse outputs from a trained model. We present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Kensen Shi , David Bieber , Charles Sutton

After variable selection, standard inferential procedures for regression parameters may not be uniformly valid; there is no finite-sample size at which a standard test is guaranteed to approximately attain its nominal size. This problem is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Oliver Dukes , Vahe Avagyan , Stijn Vansteelandt

Statistical significance testing is widely accepted as a means to assess how well a difference in effectiveness reflects an actual difference between systems, as opposed to random noise because of the selection of topics. According to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-06-07 Julián Urbano , Harlley Lima , Alan Hanjalic

Switchback experiments--alternating treatment and control over time--are widely used when unit-level randomization is infeasible, outcomes are aggregated, or user interference is unavoidable. In practice, experimentation must support fast…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Jizhou Liu , Liang Zhong

This paper investigates the effect of quantization on the performance of the Neyman-Pearson test. It is assumed that a sensing unit observes samples of a correlated stationary ergodic multivariate process. Each sample is passed through an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-09-05 Joffrey Villard , Pascal Bianchi

There are phenomena that cannot be measured without subjective testing. However, subjective testing is a complex issue with many influencing factors. These interplay to yield either precise or incorrect results. Researchers require a tool…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Jakub Nawała , Lucjan Janowski , Bogdan Ćmiel , Krzysztof Rusek

In this paper we propose a computationally efficient multiple hypothesis testing procedure for persistent homology. The computational efficiency of our procedure is based on the observation that one can empirically simulate a null…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Mikael Vejdemo-Johansson , Sayan Mukherjee

We propose new statistical tests, in high-dimensional settings, for testing the independence of two random vectors and their conditional independence given a third random vector. The key idea is simple, i.e., we first transform each…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-28 Jinyuan Chang , Yue Du , Jing He , Qiwei Yao

Many model selection algorithms produce a path of fits specifying a sequence of increasingly complex models. Given such a sequence and the data used to produce them, we consider the problem of choosing the least complex model that is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-09 William Fithian , Jonathan Taylor , Robert Tibshirani , Ryan Tibshirani
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