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This paper discusses semiparametric inference on hypotheses on the cointegration and the attractor spaces for $I(1)$ linear processes with moderately large cross-sectional dimension. The approach is based on empirical canonical correlations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Massimo Franchi , Paolo Paruolo

Obtaining accurately calibrated redshift distributions of photometric samples is one of the great challenges in photometric surveys like LSST, Euclid, HSC, KiDS, and DES. We present an inference methodology that combines the redshift…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-12-09 M. M. Rau , C. B. Morrison , S. J. Schmidt , S. Wilson , R. Mandelbaum , Y. Y. Mao

Over the past decade, the gravitational lensing of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) has become a powerful tool for probing the matter distribution in the Universe. The standard technique used to reconstruct the CMB lensing signal…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-02 Boryana Hadzhiyska , Blake D. Sherwin , Mathew Madhavacheril , Simone Ferraro

Reconstructing cosmological initial conditions (ICs) from late-time observations is a difficult task, which relies on the use of computationally expensive simulators alongside sophisticated statistical methods to navigate multi-million…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-22 Oleg Savchenko , Florian List , Guillermo Franco Abellán , Noemi Anau Montel , Christoph Weniger

Neural Posterior Estimation methods for simulation-based inference can be ill-suited for dealing with posterior distributions obtained by conditioning on multiple observations, as they tend to require a large number of simulator calls to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tomas Geffner , George Papamakarios , Andriy Mnih

Unbinned likelihood fits aim at maximizing the information one can extract from experimental data, yet their application in realistic statistical analyses is often hindered by the computational cost of profiling systematic uncertainties.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-02-16 Davide Valsecchi , Mauro Donegà , Rainer Wallny

A number of theoretically well-motivated additions to the standard cosmological model predict weak signatures in the form of spatially localized sources embedded in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) fluctuations. We present a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-09-18 Stephen M. Feeney , Matthew C. Johnson , Jason D. McEwen , Daniel J. Mortlock , Hiranya V. Peiris

Given the persistence of various tensions in the "Cosmic Concordance" -- such as the "Hubble Tension", and possible departures from LambdaCDM time evolution -- seen from combinations of complementary data sets (e.g., Cosmic Microwave…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-19 Brett Bochner , Aiden Jin

Simulation-based inference (SBI) offers a flexible and general approach to performing Bayesian inference: In SBI, a neural network is trained on synthetic data simulated from a model and used to rapidly infer posterior distributions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Julius Vetter , Manuel Gloeckler , Daniel Gedon , Jakob H. Macke

We present a framework that for the first time allows Bayesian model comparison to be performed for field-level inference of cosmological models. We achieve this by taking a simulation-based inference (SBI) approach using neural likelihood…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-15 A. Spurio Mancini , K. Lin , J. D. McEwen

Two years of microwave background observations with the Cosmic Background Imager (CBI) have been combined to give a sensitive, high resolution angular power spectrum over the range 400 < l < 3500. This power spectrum has been referenced to…

We present validation tests of emulator-based halo model method for cosmological parameter inference, assuming hypothetical measurements of the projected correlation function of galaxies, $w_{\rm p}(R)$, and the galaxy-galaxy weak lensing,…

The authors propose a robust semi-parametric empirical likelihood method to integrate all available information from multiple samples with a common center of measurements. Two different sets of estimating equations are used to improve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-03 Hsiao-Hsuan Wang , Yuehua Wu , Yuejiao Fu , Xiaogang Wang

Many scientific models are composed of multiple discrete components, and scientists often make heuristic decisions about which components to include. Bayesian inference provides a mathematical framework for systematically selecting model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Cornelius Schröder , Jakob H. Macke

We investigate simulation-based bandpower covariance matrices commonly used in cosmological parameter inferences such as the estimation of the tensor-to-scalar ratio $r$. We find that upper limits on $r$ can be biased low by tens of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-06 Dominic Beck , Ari Cukierman , W. L. Kimmy Wu

The next generation of galaxy surveys has the potential to substantially deepen our understanding of the Universe. This potential hinges on our ability to rigorously address systematic uncertainties. Until now, diagnosing systematic effects…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-18 Tristan Hoellinger , Florent Leclercq

Posterior computation for high-dimensional data with many parameters can be challenging. This article focuses on a new method for approximating posterior distributions of a low- to moderate-dimensional parameter in the presence of a…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-08 Willem van den Boom , Galen Reeves , David B. Dunson

We introduce a deep generative framework for high-dimensional Bayesian inference that enables efficient posterior sampling. As telescopes and simulations rapidly expand the volume and resolution of astrophysical data, fast simulation-based…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-06 Hadi Sotoudeh , Pablo Lemos , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

Continual learning in neural networks aims to learn new tasks without forgetting old tasks. Sequential function-space variational inference (SFSVI) uses a Gaussian variational distribution to approximate the distribution of the outputs of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Menghao Waiyan William Zhu , Pengcheng Hao , Ercan Engin Kuruoğlu

We develop a general formalism for analysing parameter information from non-Gaussian cosmic fields. The method can be adapted to include the nonlinear effects in galaxy redshift surveys, weak lensing surveys and cosmic velocity field…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Andy Taylor , Peter Watts
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