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In this paper, we study the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge process (i.e. the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process conditioned to start and end at fixed points) constraints to have a fixed area under its path. We present both anticipative (in this case, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 Alain Mazzolo

Based on a version of Dudley's Wiener process on the mass shell in the momentum Minkowski space of a massive point particle, a model of a relativistic Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process is constructed by addition of a specific drift term. The…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-03-22 Jürgen Potthoff , Robert Schrader

We examine the question of existence and uniqueness of evolution systems of measures for non-autonomous Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-type processes with jumps. In particular, we give examples where we explicitly compute the densities of such families…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Robert Wooster

We derive an explicit representation for the transition law of a $p$-tempered $\alpha$-stable process of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck-type and use it to develop a methodology for simulation. Our results apply in both the univariate and multivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Michael Grabchak

A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich , A. Nawroth , J. Peinke

Using Riemann-Stieltjes methods for integrators of bounded $p$-variation we define a pathwise integral driven by a fractional L\'{e}vy process (FLP). To explicitly solve general fractional stochastic differential equations (SDEs) we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-10 Holger Fink , Claudia Klüppelberg

This paper proves that, under a monotonicity condition, the invariant probability measure of a McKean--Vlasov process can be approximated by weighted empirical measures of some processes including itself. These processes are described by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Kai Du , Yifan Jiang , Jinfeng Li

We propose a novel estimation framework for path-dependent functionals of Levy processes from discretely observed data. Traditional approaches rely on Monte Carlo simulation of full paths, which requires complete model specification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yasutaka Shimizu , Hiroshi Shiraishi

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for the partially observed linear stochastic differential equation. We assume that the unobserved Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process depends on some unknown parameter and estimate the unobserved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Yury A. Kutoyants

This paper focuses on hypothesis testing for the input of a L\'evy-driven storage system by sampling of the storage level. As the likelihood is not explicit we propose two tests that rely on transformation of the data. The first approach…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Michel Mandjes , Liron Ravner

Starting from the notion of multivariate fractional Brownian Motion introduced in [F. Lavancier, A. Philippe, and D. Surgailis. Covariance function of vector self-similar processes. Statistics & Probability Letters, 2009] we define a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

Spatio-temporal modelling is an increasingly popular topic in Statistics. Our paper contributes to this line of research by developing the theory, simulation and inference for a spatio-temporal Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We conduct…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

The main objective of this work is to study a natural class of catalytic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (O-U) processes with a measure-valued random catalyst, for example, super-Brownian motion. We relate this to the class of affine processes that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-19 Juan-Manuel Perez-Abarca , Donald A. Dawson

We present an outline of the theory of certain L\'evy-driven, multivariate stochastic processes, where the processes are represented by rational transfer functions (Continuous-time AutoRegressive Moving Average or CARMA models) and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Robert Stelzer

We consider a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process involving a stochastic forcing term in the drift, as a solution of a linear stochastic differential equation driven by a fractional Brownian motion. For such process we specify mean and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Giacomo Ascione , Yuliya Mishura , Enrica Pirozzi

Let $Z$ be a $H$-valued Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process, $b\colon[0,1]\times H \rightarrow H$ and $h\colon[0,1] \rightarrow H$ be a bounded, Borel measurable functions with $\|b\|_\infty \leq 1$ then $\mathbb E \exp \alpha \left|…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Lukas Wresch

We study the strong approximation of a rough volatility model, in which the log-volatility is given by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Hurst parameter $H<1/2$. Our methods are based on an equidistant discretization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Andreas Neuenkirch , Taras Shalaiko

We construct in the small-time setting the upper and lower estimates for the transition probability density of a L\'evy process in $\rn$. Our approach relies on the complex analysis technique and the asymptotic analysis of the inverse…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-29 V. Knopova

This work develops a measurement-driven and model-based formal verification approach, applicable to systems with partly unknown dynamics. We provide a principled method, grounded on reachability analysis and on Bayesian inference, to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-09-14 Sofie Haesaert , Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Alessandro Abate

The LIBOR market model is very popular for pricing interest rate derivatives, but is known to have several pitfalls. In addition, if the model is driven by a jump process, then the complexity of the drift term is growing exponentially fast…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Antonis Papapantoleon , John Schoenmakers , David Skovmand