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While short-range dependence is widely assumed in the literature for its simplicity, long-range dependence is a feature that has been observed in data from finance, hydrology, geophysics and economics. In this paper, we extend a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

We consider the problem of modelling restricted interactions between continuously-observed time series as given by a known static graph (or network) structure. For this purpose, we define a parametric multivariate Graph Ornstein-Uhlenbeck…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-08 Valentin Courgeau , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this paper we develop a framework for estimating Probability of Default (PD) based on stochastic models governing an appropriate asset value processes. In particular, we build upon a L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and consider…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-25 Kyriakos Georgiou , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

We propose a parsimonious stochastic model for characterising the distributional and temporal properties of rainfall. The model is based on an integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the Hougaard L\'evy process. We derive properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Ragnhild C. Noven , Almut E. D. Veraart , Axel Gandy

It is considered Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $ x_t = x_0 e^{-\theta t} + \mu (1-e^{-\theta t}) + \sigma \int_0^t e^{-\theta (t-s)} dW_s$, where $x_0 \in R$, $\theta>0$, $ \mu \in R$ and $\sigma > 0$ are parameters. By use values $(z_k)_{k…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Levan Labadze , Gogi Pantsulaia

We consider the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with an unknown drift parameter and known Hurst parameter $H$. We propose a new method to test the hypothesis of the sign of the parameter and prove the consistency of the test. Contrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-12 Alexander Kukush , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

The question of existence and properties of stationary solutions to Langevin equations driven by noise processes with stationary increments is discussed, with particular focus on noise processes of pseudo-moving-average type. On account of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen , Andreas Basse-O'Connor

We demonstrate that two Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes, that is, solutions to certain stochastic differential equations that are driven by a L\'evy process L have equivalent laws as long as the eigenvalues of the covariance operator…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Grzegorz Bartosz , Tomasz Kania

In this work, we study the class of stochastic process that generalizes the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, hereafter called by \emph{Generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Type Process} and denoted by GOU type process. We consider them driven by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 J. Stein , S. R. C. Lopes , A. V. Medino

In this paper, we study an approximation scheme for L\'evy processes with drift in terms of a representation that is akin to the celebrated Mehler formula for L\'evy-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. The approximation scheme is based on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Max Nendel

An Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process can be considered as a continuous time interpolation of the discrete time AR$(1)$ process. Departing from this fact, we analyse in this work the effect of iterating OU treated as a linear operator that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-02 Argimiro Arratia , Alejandra Cabaña , Enrique M. Cabaña

We study whether a multivariate L\'evy-driven moving average process can shadow arbitrarily closely any continuous path, starting from the present value of the process, with positive conditional probability, which we call the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-16 Mikko S. Pakkanen , Tommi Sottinen , Adil Yazigi

We investigate the problem of estimating the drift parameter of a high-dimensional L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process under sparsity constraints. It is shown that both Lasso and Slope estimators achieve the minimax optimal rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

Given the observation of a high-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process in continuous time, we proceed to the inference of the drift parameter under a row-sparsity assumption. Towards that aim, we consider the negative log-likelihood of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-12 Stéphane Gaïffas , Gustaw Matulewicz

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

Based on the explicit coupling property, the ergodicity and the exponential ergodicity of L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are established.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-22 Jian Wang

This work concerns the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process associated to a positive self-similar Markov process $(X(t))_{t\geq 0}$ which drifts to $\infty$, namely $U(t):= {\rm e}^{-t}X({\rm e}^t-1)$. We point out that $U$ is always a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Jean Bertoin

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of one-dimensional integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy processes of small amplitude. We prove that the integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-06 Robert Hintze , Ilya Pavlyukevich