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In this second part of our two-part paper, we provide a detailed, frequentist framework for propagating uncertainties within our multivariate linear least squares model. This permits us to quantify the impact of uncertainties in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-09 Pranay Seshadri , Andrew Duncan , Duncan Simpson , George Thorne , Geoffrey Parks

Quantifying aleatoric uncertainty in medical image segmentation is critical since it is a reflection of the natural variability observed among expert annotators. A conventional approach is to model the segmentation distribution using the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Phi Van Nguyen , Ngoc Huynh Trinh , Duy Minh Lam Nguyen , Phu Loc Nguyen , Quoc Long Tran

Deep unrolling is an emerging deep learning-based image reconstruction methodology that bridges the gap between model-based and purely deep learning-based image reconstruction methods. Although deep unrolling methods achieve…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-21 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

This work presents a fast, uncertainty-aware sequential data assimilation framework for estimating key aerodynamic states (e.g., instantaneous vorticity fields and aerodynamic loads) during severe gust encounters, where vortex-gust…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-20 Hanieh Mousavi , Anya Jones , Jeff Eldredge

Uncertainty quantification is critical for ensuring robustness in high-stakes machine learning applications. We introduce HybridFlow, a modular hybrid architecture that unifies the modeling of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Peter Van Katwyk , Karianne J. Bergen

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu

The reconstruction and prediction of full-state flows from sparse data are of great scientific and engineering significance yet remain challenging, especially in applications where data are sparse and/or subjected to noise. To this end,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-12-08 Jiaxin Wu , Dunhui Xiao , Min Luo

Novel experimental modalities acquire spatially resolved velocity measurements for steady state and transient flows which are of interest for engineering and biological applications. One of the drawbacks of such high resolution velocity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-12-31 H. Egger , T. Seitz , C. Tropea

This paper proposes a method for reconstructing three-dimensional turbulent flows from sparse measurements without the need for ground truth data during training. A weight-sharing network is developed to infer the full flow fields from…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-11 Yaxin Mo , Luca Magri

This work studies the effectiveness of several machine learning techniques for predicting extreme events occurring in the flow around an airfoil at low Reynolds. For certain Reynolds numbers the aerodynamic forces exhibit intermittent…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-08-13 Samuel H. Rudy , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Explicit quantification of uncertainty in engineering simulations is being increasingly used to inform robust and reliable design practices. In the aerospace industry, computationally-feasible analyses for design optimization purposes often…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-11-13 Jayant Mukhopadhaya , Brian T. Whitehead , John F. Quindlen , Juan J. Alonso

Compressed sensing techniques enable efficient acquisition and recovery of sparse, high-dimensional data signals via low-dimensional projections. In this work, we propose Uncertainty Autoencoders, a learning framework for unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-15 Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

The reliability assessment of a machine learning model's prediction is an important quantity for the deployment in safety critical applications. Not only can it be used to detect novel sceneries, either as out-of-distribution or anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Steve Dias Da Cruz , Bertram Taetz , Thomas Stifter , Didier Stricker

Despite the remarkable success of sampling-based generative models such as flow matching, they can still produce samples of inconsistent or degraded quality. To assess sample reliability and generate higher-quality outputs, we propose…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Juyeop Han , Lukas Lao Beyer , Sertac Karaman

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

We propose a physics-informed data-driven framework for urban wind estimation. This framework validates and incorporates the Reynolds number independence for flows under various working conditions, thus allowing the extrapolation for wind…

Estimating associations between spatial covariates and responses - rather than merely predicting responses - is central to environmental science, epidemiology, and economics. For instance, public health officials might be interested in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 David R. Burt , Renato Berlinghieri , Stephen Bates , Tamara Broderick

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Harrison J. Goldwyn , Mitchell Krock , Johann Rudi , Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac