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Conformal inference provides a general distribution-free method to rigorously calibrate the output of any machine learning algorithm for novelty detection. While this approach has many strengths, it has the limitation of being randomized,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Meshi Bashari , Amir Epstein , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

E-values have gained attention as potential alternatives to p-values as measures of uncertainty, significance and evidence. In brief, e-values are realized by random variables with expectation at most one under the null; examples include…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-16 Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Conformal selection (CS) uses calibration data to identify test inputs whose unobserved outcomes are likely to satisfy a pre-specified minimal quality requirement, while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR). Existing methods fix the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Meiyi Zhu , Osvaldo Simeone

This paper presents a powerful methodology for flexible full-data nonparametric novelty detection that offers distribution-free false discovery rate (FDR) control guarantees. Building on the full conformal inference framework and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Junu Lee , Ilia Popov , Zhimei Ren

The problem of selecting a handful of truly relevant variables in supervised machine learning algorithms is a challenging problem in terms of untestable assumptions that must hold and unavailability of theoretical assurances that selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Mehdi Rostami , Olli Saarela

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) is a popular approach to multiple testing, variable selection, and related problems of simultaneous inference. In many contemporary applications, models are not specified by discrete variables,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Mateo Díaz , Venkat Chandrasekaran

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in variable selection becomes challenging when predictors are correlated, as existing methods often exclude all members of correlated groups and consequently perform poorly for prediction. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Sarah Organ , Toby Kenney , Hong Gu

We present a novel necessary and sufficient principle for False Discovery Rate (FDR) control. This e-Partitioning Principle says that a procedure controls FDR if and only if it is a special case of a general e-Partitioning procedure. By…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-15 Jelle Goeman , Rianne de Heide , Aldo Solari

While data-driven confounder selection requires careful consideration, it is frequently employed in observational studies. Widely recognized criteria for confounder selection include the minimal-set approach, which involves selecting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-21 Kazuharu Harada , Masataka Taguri

After the seminal Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) procedure for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) was proposed, dozens of papers have attempted to improve its power by adapting to the unknown proportion of nulls. We observe that most null…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

Variable selection has been widely used in data analysis for the past decades, and it becomes increasingly important in the Big Data era as there are usually hundreds of variables available in a dataset. To enhance interpretability of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Yuxiang Xie , Kwun Chuen Gary Chan

The e-BH procedure is an e-value-based multiple testing procedure that provably controls the false discovery rate (FDR) under any dependence structure between the e-values. Despite this appealing theoretical FDR control guarantee, the e-BH…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-29 Junu Lee , Zhimei Ren

Most link prediction methods return estimates of the connection probability of missing edges in a graph. Such output can be used to rank the missing edges from most to least likely to be a true edge, but does not directly provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Ariane Marandon

We consider the problem of constructing distribution-free prediction sets for data from two-layer hierarchical distributions. For iid data, prediction sets can be constructed using the method of conformal prediction. The validity of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-25 Robin Dunn , Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas

Addressing the simultaneous identification of contributory variables while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in high-dimensional data is a crucial statistical challenge. In this paper, we propose a novel model-free variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Yixin Han , Xu Guo , Changliang Zou

We consider the problem of comparing a reference distribution with several other distributions. Given a sample from both the reference and the comparison groups, we aim to identify the comparison groups whose distributions differ from that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-26 Yonghoon Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

We introduce a new class of methods for finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control in multiple testing problems with dependent test statistics where the dependence is fully or partially known. Our approach separately calibrates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-22 William Fithian , Lihua Lei

The recent e-Benjamini-Hochberg (e-BH) procedure for multiple hypothesis testing is known to control the false discovery rate (FDR) under arbitrary dependence between the input e-values. This paper points out an important subtlety when…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-06 Hongjian Wang , Sanjit Dandapanthula , Aaditya Ramdas

Stability and reproducibility are essential considerations in various applications of statistical methods. False Discovery Rate (FDR) control methods are able to control false signals in scientific discoveries. However, many FDR control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Jiajun Sun , Zhanrui Cai , Wei Zhong

This paper is concerned with false discovery rate (FDR) control in large-scale multiple testing problems. We first propose a new data-driven testing procedure for controlling the FDR in large-scale t-tests for one-sample mean problem. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-02 Changliang Zou , Haojie Ren , Xu Guo , Runze Li
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