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Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

Multi-dimensional time series data, such as matrix and tensor-variate time series, are increasingly prevalent in fields such as economics, finance, and climate science. Traditional Transformer models, though adept with sequential data, do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Linghang Kong , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Yuefeng Han

In this paper, we propose ShapTST, a framework that enables time-series transformers to efficiently generate Shapley-value-based explanations alongside predictions in a single forward pass. Shapley values are widely used to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Qisen Cheng , Jinming Xing , Chang Xue , Xiaoran Yang

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is crucial for fine-tuning machine learning models but can be computationally expensive. To reduce costs, Multi-fidelity HPO (MF-HPO) leverages intermediate accuracy levels in the learning process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Romain Egele , Isabelle Guyon , Yixuan Sun , Prasanna Balaprakash

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting involves modeling temporal dependencies within historical records. Transformers have demonstrated remarkable performance in MTS forecasting due to their capability to capture long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Yifan Zhang , Rui Wu , Sergiu M. Dascalu , Frederick C. Harris

Time series forecasting remains a critical challenge across various domains, often complicated by high-dimensional data and long-term dependencies. This paper presents a novel transformer architecture for time series forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Fei Ma , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Multivariate time series (MTS) prediction plays a key role in many fields such as finance, energy and transport, where each individual time series corresponds to the data collected from a certain data source, so-called channel. A typical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Hui Song , A. K. Qin , Flora D. Salim

Device sizing is crucial for meeting performance specifications in operational transconductance amplifiers (OTAs), and this work proposes an automated sizing framework based on a transformer model. The approach first leverages the…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Subhadip Ghosh , Endalk Y. Gebru , Chandramouli V. Kashyap , Ramesh Harjani , Sachin S. Sapatnekar

Existing dynamics prediction frameworks for transient stability analysis (TSA) fail to achieve multi-scenario "universality": the inherent ability of a single, pre-trained architecture to generalize across diverse operating conditions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-22 Chao Shen , Ke Zuo , Mingyang Sun

Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

The electricity sector is undergoing substantial transformations due to the rising electrification of demand, enhanced integration of renewable energy resources, and the emergence of new technologies. These changes are rendering the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Ali Menati , Fatemeh Doudi , Dileep Kalathil , Le Xie

Transformers have shown great power in time series forecasting due to their global-range modeling ability. However, their performance can degenerate terribly on non-stationary real-world data in which the joint distribution changes over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Yong Liu , Haixu Wu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

One of the fundamental problems of using optimization models that use different time series as data input, is the trade-off between model accuracy and computational tractability. To overcome the computational intractability of these full…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Sonja Wogrin

Pipeline parallelism enables training models that exceed single-device memory, but practical throughput remains limited by pipeline bubbles. Although parameter freezing can improve training throughput by adaptively skipping backward…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Seonghye Cho , Jaemin Han , Hyunjin Kim , Euisoo Jung , Jae-Gil Lee

Time series forecasting at scale presents significant challenges for modern prediction systems, particularly when dealing with large sets of synchronized series, such as in a global payment network. In such systems, three key challenges…

Recent advances in machine learning, specifically transformer architecture, have led to significant advancements in commercial domains. These powerful models have demonstrated superior capability to learn complex relationships and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Matthew L. Olson , Shusen Liu , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bogdan Kustowski , Weng-Keen Wong , Rushil Anirudh

This paper shows that time series forecasting Transformer (TSFT) suffers from severe over-fitting problem caused by improper initialization method of unknown decoder inputs, esp. when handling non-stationary time series. Based on this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang

Diffusion models, initially developed for image synthesis, demonstrate remarkable generative capabilities. Recently, their application has expanded to time series forecasting (TSF), yielding promising results. Existing surveys on time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-03 Chen Su , Zhengzhou Cai , Yuanhe Tian , Zhuochao Chang , Zihong Zheng , Yan Song

Mamba has recently emerged as a promising alternative to Transformers, offering near-linear complexity in processing sequential data. However, while channels in time series (TS) data have no specific order in general, recent studies have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Seunghan Lee , Juri Hong , Kibok Lee , Taeyoung Park

Transformers are widely used deep learning architectures. Existing transformers are mostly designed for sequences (texts or time series), images or videos, and graphs. This paper proposes a novel transformer model for massive (up to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang , Tingsong Xiao , Zelin Xu , Shigang Chen , Ronald Fick , Miles Medina , Christine Angelini