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How well do firearm markets comply with firearm restrictions? The Massachusetts Attorney General issued an Enforcement Notice in 2016 to announce a new interpretation of the key phrase "copies and duplicates" in the state's assault weapons…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-03 Meenakshi Balakrishna , Kenneth C. Wilbur

Roll call data are widely used to assess legislators' preferences and ideology, as well as test theories of legislative behavior. In particular, roll call data is often used to determine whether the revealed preferences of legislators are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-01-29 Chelsea Lofland , Abel Rodriguez , Scott Moser

The number of active shooter incidents in the US has been increasing alarmingly. It is imperative for the government as well as the public to understand these events. Though both analytic and agent-based models have been proposed for…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Liang Hong

The polarization of political opinions among members of the U.S. legislative chambers measured by their voting records is greater today than it was thirty years ago. Previous research efforts to find causes of such increase have suggested…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-18 Xiaoyan Lu , Jianxi Gao , Boleslaw K. Szymanski

Understanding how best to estimate state-level policy effects is important, and several unanswered questions remain, particularly about the ability of statistical models to disentangle the effects of concurrently enacted policies. In…

Election data represent a precious source of information to study human behavior at a large scale. In proportional elections with open lists, the number of votes received by a candidate, rescaled by the average performance of all…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-25 Arnab Chatterjee , Marija Mitrović , Santo Fortunato

Accounting for undecided and uncertain voters is a challenging issue for predicting election results from public opinion polls. Undecided voters typify the uncertainty of swing voters in polls but are often ignored or allocated to each…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-18 Joshua J Bon , Timothy Ballard , Bernard Baffour

There is growing concern that over the past decade, industrialized democratic nations are becoming increasingly politically polarized. Indeed, elections in the US, UK, France, and Germany have all seen tightly won races, with notable…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-07 Dennies Bor , Benjamin Seiyon Lee , Edward J. Oughton

Epidemic disease can spread during mass gatherings. We assessed the impact on the local-area trajectory of the COVID-19 epidemic of a type of mass gathering about which comprehensive data were available. Here, we examined five types of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-13 Eric M. Feltham , Laura Forastiere , Marcus Alexander , Nicholas A. Christakis

This exploratory study examines the strategies of social bots on Twitter that were retweeted following a mass shooting event. Using a case study method to frame our work, we collected over seven million tweets during a one-month period…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-08-29 Vanessa L. Kitzie , Ehsan Mohammadi , Amir Karami

Social media play an increasingly important role in political communication. Various studies investigated how individuals adopt social media for political discussion, to share their views about politics and policy, or to mobilize and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Xinxin Yang , Bo-Chiuan Chen , Mrinmoy Maity , Emilio Ferrara

Gun related violence is a complex issue and accounts for a large proportion of violent incidents. In the research reported in this paper, we set out to investigate the pro-gun and anti-gun sentiments expressed on a social media platform,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-05 Nan Wang , Blesson Varghese , Peter D. Donnelly

The increasing frequency of mass shootings in the United States has, unfortunately, become a norm. While the issue of gun control in the US involves complex legal concerns, there are also societal issues at play. One such social issue is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Fatemeh Tahmasbi , Aakarsha Chug , Barry Bradlyn , Jeremy Blackburn

We study in details the turnout rate statistics for 77 elections in 11 different countries. We show that the empirical results established in a previous paper for French elections appear to hold much more generally. We find in particular…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-03 Christian Borghesi , Jean-Claude Raynal , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

When looking at mass shooting incidents, suicidal shooters seem to carry an even more extreme sense of terror and brutality. The current study aimed to examine how mass shooters suicidality and suicide behavioral threshold influence the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-27 Quan-Hoang Vuong , Minh-Hoang Nguyen , Ruining Jin , Tam-Tri Le

Elections constitute a paradigm of decision-making problems that have puzzled experts of different disciplines for decades. We study two decision-making problems, where groups make decisions that impact only themselves as a group. In both…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-01-21 Christian Borghesi , Laura Hernández , Rémi Louf , Fabrice Caparros

Congressional district lines in many U.S. states are drawn by partisan actors, raising concerns about gerrymandering. To separate the partisan effects of redistricting from the effects of other factors including geography and redistricting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-15 Christopher T. Kenny , Cory McCartan , Tyler Simko , Shiro Kuriwaki , Kosuke Imai

Existing theories of gun violence predict stable spatial concentrations and contagious diffusion of gun violence into surrounding areas. Recent empirical studies have reported confirmatory evidence of such spatiotemporal diffusion of gun…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-22 Charles Loeffler , Seth Flaxman

Special interest groups (SIGs) in the U.S. participate in a range of political activities, such as lobbying and making campaign donations, to influence policy decisions in the legislative and executive branches. The competing interests of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Jiseon Kim , Dongkwan Kim , Joohye Jeong , Alice Oh , In Song Kim

In an era where societal narratives are increasingly shaped by algorithmic curation, investigating the political neutrality of LLMs is an important research question. This study presents a fresh perspective on quantifying the political…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Supriti Vijay , Aman Priyanshu , Ashique R. KhudaBukhsh