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Social interactions are stratified in multiple contexts and are subject to complex temporal dynamics. The systematic study of these two features of social systems has started only very recently mainly thanks to the development of multiplex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-12 Quan-Hui Liu , Xinyue Xiong , Qian Zhang , Nicola Perra

The fundamental models of epidemiology describe the progression of an infectious disease through a population using compartmentalized differential equations, but do not incorporate population-level heterogeneity in infection susceptibility.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-04 Christopher Rose , Andrew J. Medford , C. Franklin Goldsmith , Tejs Vegge , Joshua S. Weitz , Andrew A. Peterson

How will the novel coronavirus evolve? I study a simple epidemiological model, in which mutations may change the properties of the virus and its associated disease stochastically and antigenic drifts allow new variants to partially evade…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-27 Patrick Mellacher

As pathogens spread in a population of hosts, immunity is built up and the pool of susceptible individuals is depleted. This generates selective pressure, to which many human RNA viruses, such as influenza virus or SARS-CoV-2, respond with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre Barrat-Charlaix , Richard A. Neher

We introduce and analyze a general model of a population evolving over a network of selectively neutral genotypes. We show that the population's limit distribution on the neutral network is solely determined by the network topology and…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-31 Erik van Nimwegen , James P. Crutchfield , Martijn Huynen

Epidemiological processes are studied within a recently proposed hierarchical network model using the susceptible-infected-refractory dynamics of an epidemic. Within the network model, a population may be characterized by $H$ independent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-06-24 Dafang Zheng , P. M. Hui , Steffen Trimper , Bo Zheng

Recent outbreaks of infectious diseases have been monitored closely from an epidemiological and microbiological perspective. Extracting from this wealth of data the information that is relevant for the evolution of the pathogen and predict…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-10 Baptiste Filoche , Stefan Hohenegger

The sustainable use of multicomponent treatments such as combination therapies, combination vaccines/chemicals, and plants carrying multigenic resistance requires an understanding of how their population-wide deployment affects the speed of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-16 Romain Bourget , Loïc Chaumont , Natalia Sapoukhina

In this work, we review the figures used to characterize an epidemic outbreak most. Particular attention is drawn to epidemic spreading at time-varying transition rates. A time-varying SIR-like model is used to describe the epidemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-06 Hernán De Battista , José García-Clúa , Sebastián Nuñez , Fernando Inthamoussou , Fabricio Garelli

We study the problem of estimating the parameters (i.e., infection rate and recovery rate) governing the spread of epidemics in networks. Such parameters are typically estimated by measuring various characteristics (such as the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-12 Lintao Ye , Philip E. Paré , Shreyas Sundaram

In this brief, we study epidemic spreading dynamics taking place in complex networks. We specifically investigate the effect of synergy, where multiple interactions between nodes result in a combined effect larger than the simple sum of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Masaki Ogura , Wenjie Mei , Kenji Sugimoto

Epidemic models often reflect characteristic features of infectious spreading processes by coupled non-linear differential equations considering different states of health (such as Susceptible, Infected, or Recovered). This compartmental…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-01 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dirk Helbing

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

We investigate the evolution of populations of random Boolean networks under selection for robustness of the dynamics with respect to the perturbation of the state of a node. The fitness landscape contains a huge plateau of maximum fitness…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Tamara Mihaljev , Barbara Drossel

A key problem in modelling the evolution dynamics of infectious diseases is the mathematical representation of the mechanism of transmission of the contagion. Models with a finite number of subpopulations can be described via systems of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Sebastian Anita , Vincenzo Capasso

Several systems can be modeled as sets of interdependent networks where each network contains distinct nodes. Diffusion processes like the spreading of a disease or the propagation of information constitute fundamental phenomena occurring…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-23 Mostafa Salehi , Payam Siyari , Matteo Magnani , Danilo Montesi

Theoretical modeling of computer virus/worm epidemic dynamics is an important problem that has attracted many studies. However, most existing models are adapted from biological epidemic ones. Although biological epidemic models can…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Shouhuai Xu , Wenlian Lu , Li Xu , Zhenxin Zhan

Nowadays, one of the challenges we face when carrying out modeling of epidemic spreading is to develop methods to control disease transmission. In this article we study how the spreading of knowledge of a disease affects the propagation of…

The spreading dynamics of infectious diseases is influenced by individual behaviours, which are in turn affected by the level of awareness about the epidemic. Modelling the co-evolution of disease transmission and behavioural changes within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-27 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

We consider the effect of network structure on the evolution of a population. Models of this kind typically consider a population of fixed size and distribution. Here we consider eco-evolutionary dynamics where population size and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-05 Karan Pattni , Wajid Ali , Mark Broom , Kieran J Sharkey