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Data-driven forecasts of air quality have recently achieved more accurate short-term predictions. Despite their success, most of the current data-driven solutions lack proper quantifications of model uncertainty that communicate how much to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Abdulmajid Murad , Frank Alexander Kraemer , Kerstin Bach , Gavin Taylor

We present a "module-based hybrid" Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) framework for general nonlinear multi-physics simulation. The proposed methodology, introduced in [\hyperlink{ref1}{1}], supports the independent development of each…

Computational Physics · Physics 2014-10-21 Akshay Mittal , Xiao Chen , Charles Tong , Gianluca Iaccarino

Uncertainty principle is an inherent nature of quantum system that undermines the precise measurement of incompatible observables and hence the applications of quantum theory. Entanglement, another unique feature of quantum physics, was…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-30 Jun-Li Li , Cong-Feng Qiao

Dynamic control via optimized, piecewise-constant pulses is a common paradigm for open-loop control to implement quantum gates. While numerous methods exist for the synthesis of such controls, there are many open questions regarding the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-06-25 S. P. O'Neil , C. A. Weidner , E. A. Jonckheere , F. C. Langbein , S. G. Schirmer

Thermodynamic uncertainty relations (TURs) and kinetic uncertainty relations (KURs) provide tradeoff relations between measurement precision and thermodynamic cost such as entropy production and activity. Conventionally, these relations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-16 Euijoon Kwon , Jae Sung Lee

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is pivotal in enhancing the robustness, reliability, and interpretability of Machine Learning (ML) systems for healthcare, optimizing resources and improving patient care. Despite the emergence of ML-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 L. Julián Lechuga López , Shaza Elsharief , Dhiyaa Al Jorf , Firas Darwish , Congbo Ma , Farah E. Shamout

The design of next-generation alloys through the Integrated Computational Materials Engineering (ICME) approach relies on multi-scale computer simulations to provide thermodynamic properties when experiments are difficult to conduct.…

Many quantum technologies rely on high-precision dynamics, which raises the question of how these are influenced by the experimental uncertainties that are always present in real-life settings. A standard approach in the literature to…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-27 Mogens Dalgaard , Carrie A. Weidner , Felix Motzoi

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

We use functional, Fr\'echet, derivatives to quantify how thermodynamic outputs of a molecular dynamics (MD) simulation depend on the potential used to compute atomic interactions. Our approach quantifies the sensitivity of the quantities…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-04-08 Samuel Temple Reeve , Alejandro Strachan

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is important for reliability assessment and enhancement of machine learning models. In deep learning, uncertainties arise not only from data, but also from the training procedure that often injects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

Climate models are generally calibrated manually by comparing selected climate statistics, such as the global top-of-atmosphere energy balance, to observations. The manual tuning only targets a limited subset of observational data and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-04-06 Michael F. Howland , Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Tapio Schneider

We introduce a new concept called as the mutual uncertainty between two observables in a given quantum state which enjoys similar features like the mutual information for two random variables. Further, we define the conditional uncertainty…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-10-03 Sk Sazim , Satyabrata Adhikari , Arun K. Pati , Pankaj Agrawal

This paper presents an algorithm to apply nonlinear control design approaches in the case of stochastic systems with partial state observation. Deterministic nonlinear control approaches are formulated under the assumption of full state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Mohammad Alsuwaidan , Ahmed Atallah , Sylvia Herbert

We develop an efficient numerical method for the probabilistic quantification of the response statistics of nonlinear multi-degree-of-freedom structural systems under extreme forcing events, emphasizing accurate heavy-tail statistics. The…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2017-06-05 Han Kyul Joo , Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

To take unit commitment (UC) decisions under uncertain net load, most studies utilize a stochastic UC (SUC) model that adopts a one-size-fits-all representation of uncertainty. Disregarding contextual information such as weather forecasts…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-01 Ogun Yurdakul , Feng Qiu , Sahin Albayrak

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

Uncertain differential equations have a wide range of applications. How to obtain estimated values of unknown parameters in uncertain differential equations through observations has always been a subject of concern and research, many…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-24 Guidong Zhang , Yuhong Sheng

Parameter identification is crucial in virtual engineering processes, yet determining appropriate system excitations for identifying specific parameters remains challenging. In practice, extensive experimental programs often fail to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Kevin Schmidt , Nicola Henkelmann , Christoph Mark , Johannes von Keler

In this paper, we consider discrete-time non-linear stochastic dynamical systems with additive process noise in which both the initial state and noise distributions are uncertain. Our goal is to quantify how the uncertainty in these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-19 Steven Adams , Eduardo Figueiredo , Luca Laurenti