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Time series analysis by state-space models is widely used in forecasting and extracting unobservable components like level, slope, and seasonality, along with explanatory variables. However, their reliance on traditional Kalman filtering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 André Ramos , Davi Valladão , Alexandre Street

Modeling and inference with multivariate sequences is central in a number of signal processing applications such as acoustics, social network analysis, biomedical, and finance, to name a few. The linear-Gaussian state-space model is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Émilie Chouzenoux , Víctor Elvira

We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSM) are a data-driven stochastic model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They have become increasingly popular in non-parametric modeling approaches since they provide not only a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

The problem of effective use of Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs) to enhance power systems awareness and security is a topic of key interest. The central question to solve is how to use this new measurements to reconstruct the state of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-16 Alexey Bobtsov , Romeo Ortega , Nikolay Nikolaev , Johannes Schiffer , M. Nicolai L. Lorenz-Meyer

Structured state-space models (SSMs) such as S4, stemming from the seminal work of Gu et al., are gaining popularity as effective approaches for modeling sequential data. Deep SSMs demonstrate outstanding performance across a diverse set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Nicola Muca Cirone , Antonio Orvieto , Benjamin Walker , Cristopher Salvi , Terry Lyons

In this paper, we introduce a data-driven modeling approach for dynamics problems with latent variables. The state-space of the proposed model includes artificial latent variables, in addition to observed variables that can be fitted to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Yushuang Luo , Xiantao Li , Wenrui Hao

This paper aims to deal with the control analysis and synthesis problem of data-driven learning, regardless of unknown plant models and iteration-varying uncertainties. For the tracking of any desired target, a Kalman state-space approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-11 Deyuan Meng

We review some recent coarse-graining and multi-scale methods, but also put forward some new ideas for addressing such issues. We find that, if one is guided by nonequilibrium statistical mechanics and thermodynamics, it is possible to…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-06 Patrick Ilg , Vlasis Mavrantzas , Hans Christian Öttinger

Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) has emerged as a promising alternative to classical methods for predicting dynamical systems, offering faster and more generalizable solutions. However, existing models, including recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Zheyuan Hu , Nazanin Ahmadi Daryakenari , Qianli Shen , Kenji Kawaguchi , George Em Karniadakis

Differential equations are important mechanistic models that are integral to many scientific and engineering applications. With the abundance of available data there has been a growing interest in data-driven physics-informed models.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Oliver Hamelijnck , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Recently, state space models (SSM), particularly Mamba, have attracted significant attention from scholars due to their ability to effectively balance computational efficiency and performance. However, most existing visual Mamba methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Leiye Liu , Miao Zhang , Jihao Yin , Tingwei Liu , Wei Ji , Yongri Piao , Huchuan Lu

We consider a nonlinear state-space model with the state transition and observation functions expressed as basis function expansions. The coefficients in the basis function expansions are learned from data. Using a connection to Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-29 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön

Spatial-Temporal Graph (STG) data is characterized as dynamic, heterogenous, and non-stationary, leading to the continuous challenge of spatial-temporal graph learning. In the past few years, various GNN-based methods have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Lincan Li , Hanchen Wang , Wenjie Zhang , Adelle Coster

We consider the problem of performing parameter and state inference in a state-space model (SSM) parametrized by a static parameter $\theta$. A popular idea to address this problem consists of incorporating $\theta$ in the state of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Yuan Chen , Mathieu Gerber , Christophe Andrieu , Randal Douc

A state-space model is a statistical framework for inferring latent states from observed time-series data. However, inference with nonlinear and high-dimensional state-space models remains challenging. To this end, an approach based on…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Yuma Yamaoka , Seiichi Uchida , Shoji Toyota

For model-based estimation methods, the modeling that is as close to reality as possible makes a vital estimation result. In simple applications, it is sufficient to model a system with a single state space model. However, there are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-12 Sebastian Dingler

State Space Models (SSMs), particularly recent selective variants like Mamba, have emerged as a leading architecture for sequence modeling, challenging the dominance of Transformers. However, the success of these state-of-the-art models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Yiyi Wang , Jian'an Zhang , Hongyi Duan , Haoyang Liu , Qingyang Li

We study systems of particles on a line which have a maximum, are locally finite and evolve with independent increments. ``Quasi-stationary states'' are defined as probability measures, on the \sigma-algebra generated by the gap variables,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anastasia Ruzmaikina , Michael Aizenman